ADM vs JPM Stock Comparison
JPM currently leads ADM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 52 vs 48. The clearest difference is quality, while ADM has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between ADM and JPM?
JPM leads the current stock comparison as JPMorgan Chase & Co., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM leads
JPM leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support JPM, its lead is widening, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JPM over ADM, 52 versus 48 as of Oct 21, 2026. JPM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while ADM holds the stronger value profile. JPM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Archer-Daniels-Midland Company and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ADM and JPM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality35 vs 46JPM +11
- Value54 vs 44ADM +10
- Risk Resilience60 vs 68JPM +8
- Momentum51 vs 58JPM +7
4 of 6 evidence groups favor JPM. JPM’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; ADM keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1
New signals
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
JPM's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ADM and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
ADM (Archer-Daniels-Midland Company): the counter-case, on value, valuation, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 24% against 14.8%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
JPMJPM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ADMADM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ADMADM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
JPMJPM on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 8 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ADM | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -0.5% | +11.3% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +46.8% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | ADM | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 7.21% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.440 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.040 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #180 | #120 |
JPM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.04% a year against ADM's 7.21%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | JPM | 48 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | JPMon balance | revenue growth 10.7% vs -7.6%; EPS growth 201.6% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 7.7% vs 17.9%; gross margin 6.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 2.5% vs 28.2% — JPM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ADM | Value 54 vs 44 |
| Technicals | ADM | Price vs 50-day -3.5% vs -3.4%; vs 200-day 6.3% vs 4% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 60 vs 68 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside -0.5% vs 11.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ADM and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JPM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- JPM +4
- 48 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- ADM +6
- 53 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 43 vs 43
- 90 sessions ago
- JPM +3
- 50 vs 53
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Oct 13 when ADM moved ahead of JPM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ADM
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only JPM
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
ADM is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -1.37%, AIQ -1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ADM closes the Quality gap — currently 11 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge.
- 2ADM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3JPM's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JPM leads on balance| Metric | ADM | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.7% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 201.6% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 6.9% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 2.5% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 7.7% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.4 | 3.32 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | ADM | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -3.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.3% | -1.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -7% | -3.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Year to date | 40% | 4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 27.9% | 12.3% |
Technicals
ADM has the stronger structure| Metric | ADM | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.6 | 57.4 |
| ADX (14) | 13.4 | 20.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.5% | -3.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 6.3% | 4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 24% | 14.8% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | ADM | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.08 | 0.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.86 | 0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.37 | 0.66 |
| Max drawdown | -12.3% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | -8.7% | -8.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 28% | 22.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ADM or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JPM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 52 against ADM's 48. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. ADM is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ADM or JPM the better buy right now?
JPM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor JPM over ADM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Quality by 11 points; ADM leads Value by 10 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ADM or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply -0.5% upside for ADM and +11.3% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ADM or JPM?
ADM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ADM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ADM or JPM?
ADM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ADM or JPM?
JPM on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ADM or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 8 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ADM more profitable than JPM?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 6.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 2.5% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 7.7% vs 17.9%.
Is JPM's lead over ADM getting stronger or weaker?
JPM lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-13, when ADM moved ahead of JPM.
What would change the ADM vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ADM closes the Quality gap — currently 11 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge; ADM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; JPM's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ADM and JPM?
ADM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ADM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ADM and JPM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.