ADT vs JPM Stock Comparison
ADT currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 53. The clearest difference is value, while JPM has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between ADT and JPM?
ADT leads the current stock comparison as ADT Inc., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
ADT Inc. vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
ADT leads
ADT leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 4 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JPM on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support ADT, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
ADT Inc.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ADT over JPM, 61 versus 53 as of Oct 31, 2026. ADT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while JPM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ADT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JPM. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. ADT lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
Compare ADT Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ADT and JPM against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value73 vs 44ADT +29
- Risk Resilience49 vs 69JPM +20
- Momentum79 vs 61ADT +18
- Quality40 vs 46JPM +6
3 of 6 evidence groups favor ADT. ADT’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; JPM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +20
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
ADT's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ADT and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ADT (ADT Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ADTADT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ADTADT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ADTADT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points.
Momentum
ADTADT on the Momentum factor, by 18 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ADT, analyst targets favor JPM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ADT | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -23.9% | +10.7% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +6.7% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | ADT | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.46% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.140 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $0.220 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 1 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #120 |
ADT grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.46% a year against JPM's 9.04%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ADT | 61 vs 53 |
| Fundamentals | JPMon balance | revenue growth 2.6% vs -7.6%; EPS growth -4.8% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 16.8% vs 17.9%; gross margin 51.4% vs 63.2%; operating margin 25% vs 28.2% — JPM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ADT | Value 73 vs 44 |
| Technicals | ADT | Price vs 50-day 43.4% vs -2%; vs 200-day 4.9% vs 5.2% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 49 vs 69 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside -23.9% vs 10.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ADT and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ADT.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28ADT lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 8 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ADT +8
- 61 vs 53
- 7 sessions ago
- ADT +10
- 60 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- ADT +4
- 48 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- ADT +4
- 56 vs 52
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Sep 14 when ADT moved ahead of JPM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only ADT
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.79%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.57%)
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: BB Upper Band Breach, MACD Bullish Crossover.
ADT leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 4 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.1%, AIQ +4 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.9%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Value gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADT's edge.
- 2JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3ADT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JPM leads on balance| Metric | ADT | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 2.6% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -4.8% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 51.4% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 25% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 16.8% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 2.21 | 3.32 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | ADT | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 8.5% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 15% | 2.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -1.3% | -3.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 3.3% | 9.7% |
| Year to date | -8.2% | 5.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -15.4% | 12.9% |
Technicals
ADT has the stronger structure| Metric | ADT | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 77.6 | 60.9 |
| ADX (14) | 25.5 | 15 |
| Price vs 50-day | 43.4% | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 37.3% | 13% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | ADT | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.51 | 0.41 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.62 | 0.56 |
| Max drawdown | -31.2% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | -16.2% | -7.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.3% | 22% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ADT or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ADT is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 61 against JPM's 53. The edge comes from value and momentum. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ADT or JPM the better buy right now?
ADT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ADT over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ADT leads Value by 29 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; ADT leads Momentum by 18 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ADT or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply -23.9% upside for ADT and +10.7% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ADT. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ADT or JPM?
ADT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ADT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 29 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ADT or JPM?
ADT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ADT or JPM?
ADT on the Momentum factor, by 18 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ADT or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ADT more profitable than JPM?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 51.4% vs 63.2%; operating margin 25% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 16.8% vs 17.9%.
Is ADT's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
ADT lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 4 to 8 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-14, when ADT moved ahead of JPM.
What would change the ADT vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Value gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADT's edge; JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; ADT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 3 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ADT and JPM?
ADT: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ADT is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ADT and JPM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.