ALLE vs JPM Stock Comparison
ALLE currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 68 vs 53. The clearest difference is momentum, while JPM has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between ALLE and JPM?
ALLE leads the current stock comparison as Allegion plc, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Allegion plc vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
ALLE leads
ALLE leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality, and the lead has widened from 12 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JPM on target upside.
Stable: 4 of 6 evidence groups support ALLE, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Allegion plc
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ALLE over JPM, 68 versus 53 as of Oct 31, 2026. ALLE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while JPM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ALLE also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JPM. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ALLE today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. ALLE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Allegion plc and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ALLE and JPM against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum89 vs 61ALLE +28
- Quality69 vs 46ALLE +23
- Risk Resilience57 vs 69JPM +12
- Value54 vs 44ALLE +10
4 of 6 evidence groups favor ALLE. ALLE’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; JPM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
ALLE's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ALLE and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ALLE (Allegion plc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ALLEALLE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ALLEALLE on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ALLEALLE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points.
Momentum
ALLEALLE on the Momentum factor, by 28 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ALLE, analyst targets favor JPM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | ALLE | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -6.9% | +10.7% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +31.1% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 4 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | ALLE | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.77% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.280 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $2.040 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #111 | #120 |
ALLE grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.77% a year against JPM's 9.04%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ALLE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ALLE | 68 vs 53 |
| Fundamentals | ALLEon balance | revenue growth 1.8% vs -7.6%; EPS growth 20.9% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 32.7% vs 17.9%; gross margin 45.1% vs 63.2%; operating margin 21.5% vs 28.2% — ALLE takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ALLE | Value 54 vs 44 |
| Technicals | ALLE | Price vs 50-day 18.4% vs -2%; vs 200-day 20.1% vs 5.2% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 57 vs 69 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside -6.9% vs 10.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ALLE and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ALLE.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28ALLE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ALLE +15
- 68 vs 53
- 7 sessions ago
- ALLE +19
- 69 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- ALLE +12
- 56 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- ALLE +6
- 58 vs 52
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only ALLE
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.2%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
ALLE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.33%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.9%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to ALLE's edge.
- 2JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3ALLE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ALLE leads on balance| Metric | ALLE | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 1.8% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 20.9% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 45.1% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 21.5% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 32.7% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.94 | 3.32 |
Performance
ALLE leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | ALLE | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 13.6% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 17.5% | 2.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 15% | -3.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 23.9% | 9.7% |
| Year to date | 12.7% | 5.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 6.5% | 12.9% |
Technicals
ALLE has the stronger structure| Metric | ALLE | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 85.7 | 60.9 |
| ADX (14) | 26.9 | 15 |
| Price vs 50-day | 18.4% | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 20.1% | 5.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 44.4% | 13% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | ALLE | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.43 | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.24 | 0.41 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| Max drawdown | -30.1% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | 0% | -7.1% |
| Annualized volatility | 29.6% | 22% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.2% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ALLE or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ALLE is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 68 against JPM's 53. The edge comes from momentum and quality. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ALLE or JPM the better buy right now?
ALLE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ALLE over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ALLE leads Momentum by 28 points; ALLE leads Quality by 23 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ALLE or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply -6.9% upside for ALLE and +10.7% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ALLE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ALLE or JPM?
ALLE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ALLE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 10 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ALLE or JPM?
ALLE on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ALLE or JPM?
ALLE on the Momentum factor, by 28 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ALLE or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ALLE more profitable than JPM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 45.1% vs 63.2%; operating margin 21.5% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 32.7% vs 17.9%. ALLE leads on one measure and JPM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ALLE's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
ALLE lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the ALLE vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 28 points behind, the largest single contributor to ALLE's edge; JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; ALLE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ALLE and JPM?
ALLE: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ALLE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare ALLE and JPM with others
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This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.