AMAT vs NXPI Stock Comparison
NXPI currently leads AMAT in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 45. The clearest difference is momentum, while AMAT has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between AMAT and NXPI?
NXPI leads the current stock comparison as NXP Semiconductors N.V., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Applied Materials, Inc. vs NXP Semiconductors N.V.
NXPI leads
NXPI leads by 16 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from AMAT. Wall Street currently favors AMAT on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support NXPI, and the lead recently changed hands.
Applied Materials, Inc.
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NXPI over AMAT, 61 versus 45 as of Oct 21, 2026. NXPI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while AMAT holds the stronger quality profile. NXPI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors AMAT. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. NXPI lead: Reversed — AMAT led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 16.
Compare Applied Materials, Inc. and NXP Semiconductors N.V. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare AMAT and NXPI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum8 vs 55NXPI +47
- Value32 vs 66NXPI +34
- Quality88 vs 69AMAT +19
- Risk Resilience45 vs 44Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor NXPI. NXPI’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; AMAT keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
New signals
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.53%)
NXPI's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMAT and NXPI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
AMAT (Applied Materials, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 45.5% against 33.2%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NXPINXPI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
AMATAMAT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NXPINXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points.
Momentum
NXPINXPI on the Momentum factor, by 47 points.
Lower downside
NXPINXPI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
AMATAMAT on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors NXPI, analyst targets favor AMAT. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AMAT | NXPI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +49.5% | +16.7% | AMAT has more room |
| Target dispersion | +68.7% | +52.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 24 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | AMAT | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 15.39% | 22.01% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.870 | $1.500 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.780 | $4.056 |
| Years increased | 5 | 3 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #32 | not ranked |
NXPI grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 22.01% a year against AMAT's 15.39%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window. They are ranked in different cohorts — US dividend-paying corporations and variable-dividend payers — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NXPI | 45 vs 61 |
| Fundamentals | AMATon balance | revenue growth 15.2% vs 9.9%; EPS growth -9.3% vs -31.5%; TTM ROE 40.4% vs 28%; gross margin 49.4% vs 55.9%; operating margin 30.5% vs 28.7% — AMAT takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | NXPI | Value 32 vs 66 |
| Technicals | NXPI | Price vs 50-day -14.3% vs 5.3%; vs 200-day -6.7% vs -3.5% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 45 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | AMAT | Target upside 49.5% vs 16.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMAT and NXPI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 16 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NXPI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20NXPI lead: Reversed — AMAT led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 16.
- Today
- NXPI +16
- 45 vs 61
- 7 sessions ago
- NXPI +12
- 46 vs 58
- 30 sessions ago
- AMAT +2
- 66 vs 64
- 90 sessions ago
- AMAT +4
- 57 vs 53
The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Oct 13 when NXPI moved ahead of AMAT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only AMAT
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.37%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
Only NXPI
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (7.00%)
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode, MACD Bearish Crossover.
AMAT is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.98%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AMAT closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge.
- 2AMAT's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AMAT leads on balance| Metric | AMAT | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 15.2% | 9.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -9.3% | -31.5% |
| Gross margin | 49.4% | 55.9% |
| Operating margin | 30.5% | 28.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 40.4% | 28% |
| Debt to equity | 0.29 | 0.96 |
Performance
NXPI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | AMAT | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -12.8% | 5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -14.3% | 0% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -26.9% | -14.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.1% | 5.8% |
| Year to date | 57.6% | 9.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 79.9% | 9.3% |
Technicals
NXPI has the stronger structure| Metric | AMAT | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 19.7 | 50.1 |
| ADX (14) | 24.8 | 13 |
| Price vs 50-day | -14.3% | 5.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | -6.7% | -3.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 45.5% | 33.2% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AMAT | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.69 | 1.72 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.22 | 0.37 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.95 | 0.7 |
| Max drawdown | -44% | -34.2% |
| Current drawdown | -44% | -28.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 60% | 49.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.2% | -4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMAT or NXPI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NXPI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 61 against AMAT's 45. The edge comes from momentum and value. AMAT is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMAT or NXPI the better buy right now?
NXPI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NXPI over AMAT?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NXPI leads Momentum by 47 points; NXPI leads Value by 34 points; AMAT leads Quality by 19 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMAT or NXPI?
Analyst price targets imply +49.5% upside for AMAT and +16.7% for NXPI, so the Street currently favors AMAT. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors NXPI. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMAT or NXPI?
NXPI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMAT or NXPI?
AMAT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMAT or NXPI?
NXPI on the Momentum factor, by 47 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMAT or NXPI?
NXPI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. NXPI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMAT more profitable than NXPI?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 49.4% vs 55.9%; operating margin 30.5% vs 28.7%; ttm roe 40.4% vs 28%. AMAT leads on two measures and NXPI on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is NXPI's lead over AMAT getting stronger or weaker?
NXPI lead: Reversed — AMAT led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 16. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 5 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-13, when NXPI moved ahead of AMAT.
What would change the AMAT vs NXPI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AMAT closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge; AMAT's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AMAT and NXPI?
AMAT: 2 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. NXPI: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMAT is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On NXPI it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare AMAT and NXPI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.