AMZN vs SHOP Stock Comparison

Amazon.com, Inc. vs Shopify Inc.

Data as of Sep 2, 2026· market close· Cross-sector · Consumer Cyclical vs Technology· Coverage 54/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 4/10

AMZN leads

AMZN leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.

Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support AMZN, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 4 of 6Comparison trend: Stable
AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
51/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10
SHOP

Shopify Inc.

AIQ Score
47/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AMZN over SHOP, 51 versus 47 as of Sep 2, 2026. AMZN's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while SHOP holds the stronger momentum profile. AMZN also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMZN today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. AMZN lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Amazon.com, Inc. and Shopify Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

AMZN advantage
0
SHOP advantage
  • Quality30%77 vs 66
    AMZN +11
  • Risk Resilience15%53 vs 43
    AMZN +10
  • Momentum25%48 vs 53
    SHOP +5
  • Value30%27 vs 24
    Even

4 of 6 evidence groups favor AMZN. AMZN’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; SHOP keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.

AMZN0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

SHOP0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

AMZN's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMZN and SHOP both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

AMZN (Amazon.com, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.

SHOP (Shopify Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 72.6% against 26.9%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

AMZN

AMZN on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

AMZN

AMZN on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

SHOP

SHOP on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.

Lower downside

AMZN

AMZN on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.

Analyst upside

AMZN

AMZN on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureAMZNSHOPNote
Implied upside to target+26.7%+14.2%AMZN has more room
Target dispersion+35.5%+46.3%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering3017Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMZN. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreAMZN51 vs 47
FundamentalsAMZNon balancerevenue growth 10.5% vs 13%; EPS growth 106.4% vs 3.6%; ROE 30.5% vs 15.1%; gross margin 50.8% vs 47.8%; operating margin 12.1% vs 13.9% — AMZN takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationEvenValue 27 vs 24
TechnicalsSHOPPrice vs 50-day 1.3% vs 6.4%; vs 200-day 8.8% vs 12.2%
Risk ResilienceAMZNRisk Resilience 53 vs 43
Analyst expectationsAMZNTarget upside 26.7% vs 14.2%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMZN and SHOP and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AMZN.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 Sep 1

AMZN lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 20AMZN leads above the line · SHOP leads belowSep 1
Today
AMZN +4
51 vs 47
7 sessions ago
SHOP +1
48 vs 49
30 sessions ago
AMZN +5
60 vs 55
90 sessions ago
SHOP +5
45 vs 50

The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Aug 28 when AMZN moved ahead of SHOP.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

AMZNConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (5.54%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon
SHOPConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (0.11%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon

AMZN leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

AMZNNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.17%, AIQ 0 points).

SHOPNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.09%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1SHOP closes the Quality gap — currently 11 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMZN's edge.
  2. 2SHOP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
  3. 3AMZN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

AMZN leads on balance
MetricAMZNSHOP
Revenue growth (YoY)10.5%13%
EPS growth (YoY)106.4%3.6%
Gross margin50.8%47.8%
Operating margin12.1%13.9%
Return on equity30.5%15.1%
Debt to equity0.40.01

Technicals

SHOP has the stronger structure
MetricAMZNSHOP
RSI (14)38.144.1
ADX (14)18.929.5
Price vs 50-day1.3%6.4%
Price vs 200-day8.8%12.2%
Volatility (1M, annualized)26.9%72.6%

Risk

AMZN is the more resilient
MetricAMZNSHOP
Beta1.441.87
Sharpe ratio0.390.29
Sortino ratio0.730.43
Max drawdown-21.7%-46.7%
Current drawdown-8.5%-17.7%
Annualized volatility34.8%57.6%
Value at risk (95%)-3.1%-5.9%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, AMZN or SHOP?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AMZN is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 51 against SHOP's 47. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. SHOP is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is AMZN or SHOP the better buy right now?

AMZN carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor AMZN over SHOP?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. AMZN leads Quality by 11 points; AMZN leads Risk Resilience by 10 points; SHOP leads Momentum by 5 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, AMZN or SHOP?

Analyst price targets imply +26.7% upside for AMZN and +14.2% for SHOP, so the Street currently favors AMZN. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, AMZN or SHOP?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, AMZN or SHOP?

AMZN on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, AMZN or SHOP?

SHOP on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, AMZN or SHOP?

AMZN is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMZN on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is AMZN more profitable than SHOP?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 50.8% vs 47.8%; operating margin 12.1% vs 13.9%; roe 30.5% vs 15.1%. AMZN leads on two measures and SHOP on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is AMZN's lead over SHOP getting stronger or weaker?

AMZN lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-28, when AMZN moved ahead of SHOP.

What would change the AMZN vs SHOP verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SHOP closes the Quality gap — currently 11 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMZN's edge; SHOP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; AMZN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about AMZN and SHOP?

AMZN: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. SHOP: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMZN is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SHOP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare AMZN and SHOP with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.