AMZN vs TGT Stock Comparison
Amazon.com, Inc. vs Target Corporation
TGT leads
TGT leads by 5 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from AMZN. Wall Street currently favors AMZN on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support TGT, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Amazon.com, Inc.
Target Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TGT over AMZN, 56 versus 51 as of Sep 2, 2026. TGT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while AMZN holds the stronger quality profile. TGT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors AMZN. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TGT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. TGT lead: Reversed — AMZN led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TGT now leads by 5.
Compare Amazon.com, Inc. and Target Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%77 vs 47AMZN +30
- Value30%27 vs 54TGT +27
- Momentum25%48 vs 71TGT +23
- Risk Resilience15%53 vs 55Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor TGT. TGT’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; AMZN keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
TGT's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMZN and TGT both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TGT (Target Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
AMZN (Amazon.com, Inc.): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TGTTGT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
AMZNAMZN on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TGTTGT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points.
Momentum
TGTTGT on the Momentum factor, by 23 points.
Lower downside
AMZNAMZN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
AMZNAMZN on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TGT, analyst targets favor AMZN. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AMZN | TGT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +26.7% | -8.3% | AMZN has more room |
| Target dispersion | +35.5% | +56.9% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 30 | 21 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TGT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TGT | 51 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | AMZN | revenue growth 10.5% vs -16.5%; EPS growth 106.4% vs -25.5%; ROE 30.5% vs 21.7%; gross margin 50.8% vs 28.1%; operating margin 12.1% vs 4.5% |
| Valuation | TGT | Value 27 vs 54 |
| Technicals | TGT | Price vs 50-day 1.3% vs 13.8%; vs 200-day 8.8% vs 32.9% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 53 vs 55 |
| Analyst expectations | AMZN | Target upside 26.7% vs -8.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMZN and TGT and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TGT.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1TGT lead: Reversed — AMZN led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TGT now leads by 5.
- Today
- TGT +5
- 51 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- TGT +11
- 48 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- AMZN +1
- 60 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- TGT +14
- 45 vs 59
The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Aug 11 when TGT moved ahead of AMZN.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.54%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
4 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (19.65%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
AMZN is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.17%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.62%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AMZN closes the Value gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to TGT's edge.
- 2AMZN generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3TGT's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
AMZN leads on balance| Metric | AMZN | TGT |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 10.5% | -16.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 106.4% | -25.5% |
| Gross margin | 50.8% | 28.1% |
| Operating margin | 12.1% | 4.5% |
| Return on equity | 30.5% | 21.7% |
| Debt to equity | 0.4 | 1.15 |
Technicals
TGT has the stronger structure| Metric | AMZN | TGT |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 38.1 | 60.2 |
| ADX (14) | 18.9 | 36.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 1.3% | 13.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8.8% | 32.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.9% | 32.4% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AMZN | TGT |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.44 | 0.44 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.39 | 1.7 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.73 | 2.77 |
| Max drawdown | -21.7% | -13.8% |
| Current drawdown | -8.5% | -5.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 34.8% | 30.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.1% | -3.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMZN or TGT?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TGT is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 56 against AMZN's 51. The edge comes from value and momentum. AMZN is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMZN or TGT the better buy right now?
TGT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 5 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TGT over AMZN?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. AMZN leads Quality by 30 points; TGT leads Value by 27 points; TGT leads Momentum by 23 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMZN or TGT?
Analyst price targets imply +26.7% upside for AMZN and -8.3% for TGT, so the Street currently favors AMZN. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TGT. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMZN or TGT?
TGT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TGT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMZN or TGT?
AMZN on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMZN or TGT?
TGT on the Momentum factor, by 23 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMZN or TGT?
AMZN is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMZN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMZN more profitable than TGT?
AMZN leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 50.8% vs 28.1%; operating margin 12.1% vs 4.5%; roe 30.5% vs 21.7%.
Is TGT's lead over AMZN getting stronger or weaker?
TGT lead: Reversed — AMZN led by 1 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; TGT now leads by 5. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 9 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-11, when TGT moved ahead of AMZN.
What would change the AMZN vs TGT verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AMZN closes the Value gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to TGT's edge; AMZN generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; TGT's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AMZN and TGT?
AMZN: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TGT: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMZN is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TGT it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AMZN and TGT with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.