APA vs SPY Stock Comparison
Compare APA vs SPY on performance, valuation, growth, fundamentals, momentum and risk; the current AIQ evidence does not show a clear headline leader.
What is the main difference between APA and SPY?
APA and SPY are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
APA Corporation vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
APA and SPY are effectively level
APA and SPY are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
APA Corporation
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate APA and SPY as of Oct 31, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare APA Corporation and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare APA and SPY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience45 vs 87SPY +42
- Value62 vs 41APA +21
- Momentum79 vs 59APA +20
- Quality65 vs 84SPY +19
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
APA's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — APA and SPY both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
APAAPA on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points.
Momentum
APAAPA on the Momentum factor, by 20 points.
Lower downside
SPYSPY on Risk Resilience, by 42 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | APA | SPY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -12.1% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +56% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 65 vs 65 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | APA | Value 62 vs 41 |
| Technicals | APA | Price vs 50-day 16.8% vs -1.6%; vs 200-day 36.4% vs 6.1% |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 45 vs 87 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 0 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 12 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 65 vs 65
- 7 sessions ago
- APA +6
- 65 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- SPY +12
- 58 vs 70
- 90 sessions ago
- APA +1
- 63 vs 62
The lead changed hands 13 times in this window, most recently on Oct 22 when APA moved ahead of SPY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only APA
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
Only SPY
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (0.90%)
- EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 3 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, 52-Week High Proximity, Uptrend Structure Active.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.54%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.77%, AIQ +1 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | APA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.1% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 67.5% | — |
| Gross margin | 38.8% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.8% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 26.3% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.55 | — |
Performance
APA leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | APA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3% | -0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 23% | 1.3% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 40.7% | 4.1% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 26.8% | 8.5% |
| Year to date | 107.3% | 13.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 114.5% | 14% |
Technicals
APA has the stronger structure| Metric | APA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 77.3 | 48.6 |
| ADX (14) | 32.6 | 14 |
| Price vs 50-day | 16.8% | -1.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 36.4% | 6.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 31% | 10% |
Risk
SPY is the more resilient| Metric | APA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.97 | 1 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.97 | 0.68 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.18 | 1.04 |
| Max drawdown | -28.2% | -9.1% |
| Current drawdown | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 44.4% | 12.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.8% | -1.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, APA or SPY?
Analyst price targets imply -12.1% upside for APA and not covered for SPY. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, APA or SPY?
APA is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. APA on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, APA or SPY?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, APA or SPY?
APA on the Momentum factor, by 20 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, APA or SPY?
SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 42 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is APA more profitable than SPY?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
What do the current signals say about APA and SPY?
APA: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. SPY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on APA is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SPY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.