APP vs SPY Stock Comparison

Compare APP and SPY across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 0 points
APP
Technology
vs
SPY
Equity
APP
AppLovin Corporation
Price
$324
Day move
+3.01%
AIQ Score
60/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Technology
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Price
$764
Day move
+0.85%
AIQ Score
60/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Equity

What is the main difference between APP and SPY?

APP and SPY are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

AppLovin Corporation vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· APP (stock) vs SPY (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 3/10

APP and SPY are effectively level

APP and SPY are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Weakening
APP

AppLovin Corporation

AIQ Score
60/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

AIQ Score
60/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate APP and SPY as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Compare AppLovin Corporation and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

APP
+319.5%
SPY
+69.7%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

APP $41,954 · SPY $16,970

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

Compare APP and SPY against another ticker

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

APP advantage
0
SPY advantage
  • Risk Resilience36 vs 89
    SPY +53
  • Momentum61 vs 39
    APP +22
  • Value47 vs 39
    APP +8
  • Quality83 vs 84
    Even

Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

APP+2 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +6

No new signals fired.

SPY-3 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -13

No new signals fired.

SPY's lead narrowed by 5 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — APP and SPY both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

Even

Neither separates on the overall score.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

APP

APP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.

Momentum

APP

APP on the Momentum factor, by 22 points.

Lower downside

SPY

SPY on Risk Resilience, by 53 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureAPPSPYNote
Implied upside to target+74.2%Level
Target dispersion+83.8%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering15Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven60 vs 60
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationAPPValue 47 vs 39
TechnicalsSPYPrice vs 50-day -15.3% vs 0.8%; vs 200-day -34.9% vs 6.2%
Risk ResilienceSPYRisk Resilience 36 vs 89
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 0 points over 30 sessions.

May 4APP leads above the line · SPY leads belowSep 10
Today
Level
60 vs 60
7 sessions ago
SPY +4
60 vs 64
30 sessions ago
SPY +21
48 vs 69
90 sessions ago
APP +3
62 vs 59

The lead changed hands 5 times in this window, most recently on Jul 6 when APP moved ahead of SPY.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

APPConflicted

1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (26.26%)
  • 52-Week Low Proximity bearish, risk, long horizon (0.9%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active bearish, trend, long horizon
SPYConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (6.24%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity bullish, risk, long horizon (2.5%)

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

APPConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +3.01%, AIQ +2 points).

SPYDivergence

Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.85%, AIQ -3 points).

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricAPPSPY
Revenue growth (YoY)4.4%
EPS growth (YoY)5.6%
Gross margin88.5%
Operating margin77.4%
Return on equity (TTM)193.1%
Debt to equity1.11

Performance

SPY leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricAPPSPY
1 week (5 sessions)-1.4%-1%
1 month (20 sessions)3.5%-1.9%
3 months (63 sessions)-36.2%4.5%
6 months (126 sessions)-31.8%12.1%
Year to date-53.3%11.1%
1 year (252 sessions)-39.9%16.8%

Technicals

SPY has the stronger structure
MetricAPPSPY
RSI (14)53.445.1
ADX (14)2612.3
Price vs 50-day-15.3%0.8%
Price vs 200-day-34.9%6.2%
Volatility (1M, annualized)39.6%8.5%

Risk

SPY is the more resilient
MetricAPPSPY
Beta2.091
Sharpe ratio-0.460.95
Sortino ratio-0.571.38
Max drawdown-59.3%-9.1%
Current drawdown-57.1%-2.6%
Annualized volatility73.2%12.9%
Value at risk (95%)-7.6%-1.4%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which has more analyst upside, APP or SPY?

Analyst price targets imply +74.2% upside for APP and not covered for SPY. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, APP or SPY?

APP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. APP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, APP or SPY?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, APP or SPY?

APP on the Momentum factor, by 22 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, APP or SPY?

SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 53 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is APP more profitable than SPY?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What do the current signals say about APP and SPY?

APP: 1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SPY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on APP is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.