ARLO vs XLK Stock Comparison

Compare ARLO and XLK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 11, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 0 points
ARLO
Technology
vs
XLK
Equity
ARLO
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Price
$13.19
Day move
+1.46%
AIQ Score
59/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Technology
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Price
$188
Day move
+1.32%
AIQ Score
59/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Equity

What is the main difference between ARLO and XLK?

ARLO and XLK are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Arlo Technologies, Inc. vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Data as of Sep 11, 2026· market close· ARLO (stock) vs XLK (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 3/10

ARLO and XLK are effectively level

ARLO and XLK are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Stable
ARLO

Arlo Technologies, Inc.

AIQ Score
59/100
AIQ Edge Score
8/10
XLK

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

AIQ Score
59/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate ARLO and XLK as of Sep 11, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Compare Arlo Technologies, Inc. and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

ARLO
+101.2%
XLK
+136.4%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

ARLO $20,124 · XLK $23,643

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

Compare ARLO and XLK against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

ARLO advantage
0
XLK advantage
  • Value70 vs 36
    ARLO +34
  • Momentum41 vs 65
    XLK +24
  • Risk Resilience41 vs 62
    XLK +21
  • Quality71 vs 74
    Even

Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.

ARLO+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +3

No new signals fired.

XLK-1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -5

No new signals fired.

XLK's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ARLO and XLK both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

Even

Neither separates on the overall score.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

ARLO

ARLO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points.

Momentum

XLK

XLK on the Momentum factor, by 24 points.

Lower downside

XLK

XLK on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureARLOXLKNote
Implied upside to target+41.5%Level
Target dispersion+16.1%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering3Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven59 vs 59
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationARLOValue 70 vs 36
TechnicalsXLKPrice vs 50-day -3.3% vs 2.7%; vs 200-day -4.3% vs 15%
Risk ResilienceXLKRisk Resilience 41 vs 62
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

How the comparison changed

119 daily snapshots · May 4 Sep 10

ARLO lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 0 points over 30 sessions.

May 4ARLO leads above the line · XLK leads belowSep 10
Today
Level
59 vs 59
7 sessions ago
ARLO +9
65 vs 56
30 sessions ago
ARLO +1
60 vs 59
90 sessions ago
ARLO +16
59 vs 43

The lead changed hands 9 times in this window, most recently on Sep 9 when XLK moved ahead of ARLO.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

ARLO

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (0.47%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.91%)
XLK

4 bullish / 0 bearish

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (13.41%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

ARLOConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.46%, AIQ +1 points).

XLKDivergence

Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.32%, AIQ -1 points).

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricARLOXLK
Revenue growth (YoY)3.7%
EPS growth (YoY)-78.6%
Gross margin46%
Operating margin2.7%
Return on equity (TTM)21.2%
Debt to equity0.04

Performance

XLK leads 5 of 6 windows
MetricARLOXLK
1 week (5 sessions)-0.3%0.9%
1 month (20 sessions)-6.7%-1.9%
3 months (63 sessions)5.5%4.9%
6 months (126 sessions)-7.2%31.9%
Year to date-7.1%28.7%
1 year (252 sessions)-28.1%39.9%

Technicals

XLK has the stronger structure
MetricARLOXLK
RSI (14)49.554.1
ADX (14)14.810.4
Price vs 50-day-3.3%2.7%
Price vs 200-day-4.3%15%
Volatility (1M, annualized)47.5%20.6%

Risk

XLK is the more resilient
MetricARLOXLK
Beta1.511.75
Sharpe ratio-0.391.25
Sortino ratio-0.611.94
Max drawdown-42.2%-16.1%
Current drawdown-33.1%-6.5%
Annualized volatility52.5%26.4%
Value at risk (95%)-5.1%-2.6%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which has more analyst upside, ARLO or XLK?

Analyst price targets imply +41.5% upside for ARLO and not covered for XLK. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, ARLO or XLK?

ARLO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ARLO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 34 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, ARLO or XLK?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, ARLO or XLK?

XLK on the Momentum factor, by 24 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, ARLO or XLK?

XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is ARLO more profitable than XLK?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What do the current signals say about ARLO and XLK?

ARLO: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 2 neutral. XLK: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. The most decision-relevant rule on ARLO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XLK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.