AVGO vs BAI Stock Comparison

Broadcom Inc. vs iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· Cross-sector · Technology vs Financial Services· Coverage 54/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 4/10

AVGO leads

AVGO leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 21 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 2 of 4 evidence groups support AVGO, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 2 of 4Comparison trend: Weakening
AVGO

Broadcom Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
47/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10
BAI

iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF

AIQ Score
40/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AVGO over BAI, 47 versus 40 as of Sep 5, 2026. AVGO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while BAI holds the stronger momentum profile. AVGO also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor AVGO today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. AVGO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 7 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Broadcom Inc. and iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

AVGO advantage
0
BAI advantage
  • Risk Resilience15%53 vs 23
    AVGO +30
  • Quality30%85 vs 64
    AVGO +21
  • Momentum25%20 vs 37
    BAI +17
  • Value30%30 vs 28
    Even

2 of 4 evidence groups favor AVGO. AVGO’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; BAI keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.

AVGO0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Risk Resilience +1

No new signals fired.

BAI0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

No new signals fired.

AVGO's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AVGO and BAI both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

AVGO (Broadcom Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.

BAI (iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

AVGO

AVGO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

BAI

BAI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points.

Lower downside

AVGO

AVGO on Risk Resilience, by 30 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureAVGOBAINote
Implied upside to target+40.1%Level
Target dispersion+36.3%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering15Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor AVGO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreAVGO47 vs 40
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationEvenValue 30 vs 28
TechnicalsBAIPrice vs 50-day -6.7% vs -0.7%; vs 200-day -3.2% vs 11.2%
Risk ResilienceAVGORisk Resilience 53 vs 23
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AVGO and BAI and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
  • Only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AVGO.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 Sep 4

AVGO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 7 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 23AVGO leads above the line · BAI leads belowSep 4
Today
AVGO +7
47 vs 40
7 sessions ago
AVGO +3
45 vs 42
30 sessions ago
AVGO +21
64 vs 43
90 sessions ago
AVGO +7
50 vs 43

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

AVGOConflicted

2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (3.74%)
  • RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce bullish, momentum, short horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.64%)
BAIConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (11.99%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • Beta Spike Warning bearish, risk, long horizon

AVGO leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

AVGONo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.21%, AIQ 0 points).

BAINo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.53%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1BAI closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVGO's edge.
  2. 2BAI's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it.
  3. 3AVGO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate AVGO's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricAVGOBAI
Revenue growth (YoY)14.9%
EPS growth (YoY)26.5%
Gross margin67%
Operating margin43.7%
Return on equity (TTM)36.4%
Debt to equity0.74

Performance

BAI leads 6 of 6 windows
MetricAVGOBAI
1 week (5 sessions)-3%1.1%
1 month (20 sessions)-16.3%0%
3 months (63 sessions)-7.2%-2.1%
6 months (126 sessions)8.3%36.4%
Year to date3.4%33.9%
1 year (252 sessions)18.4%42.6%

Technicals

BAI has the stronger structure
MetricAVGOBAI
RSI (14)29.236.2
ADX (14)23.714
Price vs 50-day-6.7%-0.7%
Price vs 200-day-3.2%11.2%
Volatility (1M, annualized)35.2%34.2%

Risk

AVGO is the more resilient
MetricAVGOBAI
Beta2.152.6
Sharpe ratio0.480.91
Sortino ratio0.731.3
Max drawdown-28.9%-30.9%
Current drawdown-25.7%-17.8%
Annualized volatility48.4%43.9%
Value at risk (95%)-4.4%-4.9%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, AVGO or BAI?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AVGO is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 47 against BAI's 40. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. BAI is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is AVGO or BAI the better buy right now?

AVGO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.

Why does the AIQ Score favor AVGO over BAI?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. AVGO leads Risk Resilience by 30 points; AVGO leads Quality by 21 points; BAI leads Momentum by 17 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, AVGO or BAI?

Analyst price targets imply +40.1% upside for AVGO and not covered for BAI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, AVGO or BAI?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, AVGO or BAI?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, AVGO or BAI?

BAI on the Momentum factor, by 17 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, AVGO or BAI?

AVGO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AVGO on Risk Resilience, by 30 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is AVGO more profitable than BAI?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is AVGO's lead over BAI getting stronger or weaker?

AVGO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 21 to 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the AVGO vs BAI verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BAI closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 30 points behind, the largest single contributor to AVGO's edge; BAI's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it; AVGO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 14 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate AVGO's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about AVGO and BAI?

AVGO: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. BAI: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AVGO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On BAI it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare AVGO and BAI with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.