BALL vs SPY Stock Comparison

Compare BALL and SPY across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 6, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 13 points
BALL
Consumer Cyclical
vs
SPY
Equity
BALL
Ball Corporation
Price
$62.67
Day move
-0.41%
AIQ Score
51/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Leads
Price
$770
Day move
-0.39%
AIQ Score
64/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Equity

What is the main difference between BALL and SPY?

SPY leads the current stock comparison as State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Ball Corporation vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Data as of Sep 6, 2026· market close· BALL (stock) vs SPY (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictStableAIQ Comparison Conviction 8/10

SPY leads

SPY leads by 13 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.

Stable: 3 of 4 evidence groups support SPY.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4
BALL

Ball Corporation

AIQ Score
51/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
64/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over BALL, 64 versus 51 as of Sep 6, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while BALL holds the stronger value profile. SPY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability.

Compare Ball Corporation and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

BALL
-9.3%
SPY
+93.0%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

BALL $9,071 · SPY $19,299

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

BALL advantage
0
SPY advantage
  • Quality30%36 vs 84
    SPY +48
  • Risk Resilience15%67 vs 89
    SPY +22
  • Value30%54 vs 39
    BALL +15
  • Momentum25%57 vs 57
    Even

3 of 4 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; BALL keeps a meaningful value edge.

The central trade-off

SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.

BALL (Ball Corporation): the counter-case, on value, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 14.9% against 8.1%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

SPY

SPY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

BALL

BALL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points.

Momentum

Even

The two are level on Momentum.

Lower downside

SPY

SPY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureBALLSPYNote
Implied upside to target+19.7%Level
Target dispersion+8%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering4Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreSPY51 vs 64
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationBALLValue 54 vs 39
TechnicalsSPYPrice vs 50-day -0.4% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day 6% vs 8.1%
Risk ResilienceSPYRisk Resilience 67 vs 89
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BALL and SPY and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Stable

The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 13 points. (supports the conclusion holding)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1BALL closes the Quality gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
  2. 2BALL generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
  3. 3SPY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricBALLSPY
Revenue growth (YoY)10.9%
EPS growth (YoY)6.5%
Gross margin16.4%
Operating margin11.1%
Return on equity (TTM)17%
Debt to equity1.26

Performance

Split across windows
MetricBALLSPY
1 week (5 sessions)-1.7%0.1%
1 month (20 sessions)-1.2%-0.4%
3 months (63 sessions)18.4%4.4%
6 months (126 sessions)0.2%14.5%
Year to date18.3%12.9%
1 year (252 sessions)24%19.6%

Technicals

SPY has the stronger structure
MetricBALLSPY
RSI (14)60.847.5
ADX (14)11.513.6
Price vs 50-day-0.4%1.8%
Price vs 200-day6%8.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)14.9%8.1%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, BALL or SPY?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 64 against BALL's 51. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. BALL is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is BALL or SPY the better buy right now?

SPY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.

Why does the AIQ Score favor SPY over BALL?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SPY leads Quality by 48 points; SPY leads Risk Resilience by 22 points; BALL leads Value by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, BALL or SPY?

Analyst price targets imply +19.7% upside for BALL and not covered for SPY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, BALL or SPY?

BALL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. BALL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 15 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, BALL or SPY?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, BALL or SPY?

The two are level on Momentum. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, BALL or SPY?

SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is BALL more profitable than SPY?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What would change the BALL vs SPY verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BALL closes the Quality gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge; BALL generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; SPY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.