BGC vs JPM Stock Comparison
BGC currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 56 vs 52. The clearest difference is value, while JPM has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between BGC and JPM?
BGC leads the current stock comparison as BGC Group, Inc, with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
BGC Group, Inc vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
BGC leads
BGC leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 10 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JPM on target upside.
Fragile: 4 of 6 evidence groups support BGC, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
BGC Group, Inc
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors BGC over JPM, 56 versus 52 as of Oct 21, 2026. BGC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and quality, while JPM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. BGC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JPM. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BGC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. BGC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare BGC Group, Inc and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare BGC and JPM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value62 vs 44BGC +18
- Risk Resilience58 vs 68JPM +10
- Quality55 vs 46BGC +9
- Momentum50 vs 58JPM +8
4 of 6 evidence groups favor BGC. BGC’s edge is concentrated in value and quality; JPM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
BGC's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BGC and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
BGC (BGC Group, Inc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and quality.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, momentum, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
BGCBGC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
BGCBGC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
BGCBGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 18 points.
Momentum
JPMJPM on the Momentum factor, by 8 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 10 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors BGC, analyst targets favor JPM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | BGC | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -2.8% | +11.3% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Strong Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | BGC | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | -13.99% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $0.170 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $0.080 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 2 | 5 |
| No cut in window | No (1) | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #120 |
JPM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.04% a year against BGC's -13.99%. JPM never reduced its regular dividend in the window; BGC did in 1 year. They are ranked in different cohorts — variable-dividend payers and US dividend-paying corporations — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor BGC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | BGC | 56 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | BGCon balance | revenue growth -9.4% vs -7.6%; EPS growth -16.7% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 19.2% vs 17.9%; gross margin 80% vs 63.2%; operating margin 11.9% vs 28.2% — BGC takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | BGC | Value 62 vs 44 |
| Technicals | BGC | Price vs 50-day 0.9% vs -3.4%; vs 200-day 8.3% vs 4% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 58 vs 68 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside -2.8% vs 11.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BGC and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on BGC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20BGC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- BGC +4
- 56 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- BGC +8
- 55 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- BGC +10
- 53 vs 43
- 90 sessions ago
- BGC +2
- 55 vs 53
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Aug 18 when JPM moved ahead of BGC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only BGC
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only JPM
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
BGC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.72%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Value gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to BGC's edge.
- 2JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active.
- 3BGC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate BGC's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
BGC leads on balance| Metric | BGC | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -9.4% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -16.7% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 80% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 11.9% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 1.6 | 3.32 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | BGC | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.2% | -1.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1% | -3.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 2.1% | 7.1% |
| Year to date | 30.2% | 4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 27.8% | 12.3% |
Technicals
BGC has the stronger structure| Metric | BGC | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.8 | 57.4 |
| ADX (14) | 16.5 | 20.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.9% | -3.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8.3% | 4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 32.8% | 14.8% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | BGC | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.32 | 0.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.76 | 0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.21 | 0.66 |
| Max drawdown | -19.7% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | -8.1% | -8.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 33.3% | 22.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, BGC or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, BGC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 56 against JPM's 52. The edge comes from value and quality. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is BGC or JPM the better buy right now?
BGC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor BGC over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. BGC leads Value by 18 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 10 points; BGC leads Quality by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, BGC or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply -2.8% upside for BGC and +11.3% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors BGC. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, BGC or JPM?
BGC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. BGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 18 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, BGC or JPM?
BGC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, BGC or JPM?
JPM on the Momentum factor, by 8 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, BGC or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 10 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is BGC more profitable than JPM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 80% vs 63.2%; operating margin 11.9% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 19.2% vs 17.9%. BGC leads on two measures and JPM on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is BGC's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
BGC lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 7 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-18, when JPM moved ahead of BGC.
What would change the BGC vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Value gap — currently 18 points behind, the largest single contributor to BGC's edge; JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active; BGC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 6 points over 30 sessions, and a further 4-point move would eliminate BGC's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about BGC and JPM?
BGC: 1 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BGC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare BGC and JPM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.