BGC vs QQQ Stock Comparison
BGC Group, Inc vs Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
BGC leads
BGC leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.
Fragile: 3 of 4 evidence groups support BGC, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
BGC Group, Inc
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors BGC over QQQ, 63 versus 59 as of Sep 5, 2026. BGC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while QQQ holds the stronger quality profile. BGC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor BGC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. BGC lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BGC now leads by 4.
Compare BGC Group, Inc and Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare BGC and QQQ against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%63 vs 30BGC +33
- Quality30%55 vs 83QQQ +28
- Momentum25%78 vs 54BGC +24
- Risk Resilience15%54 vs 75QQQ +21
3 of 4 evidence groups favor BGC. BGC’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; QQQ keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
BGC's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BGC and QQQ both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
BGC (BGC Group, Inc): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
BGCBGC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
BGCBGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points.
Momentum
BGCBGC on the Momentum factor, by 24 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 21 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | BGC | QQQ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -5.5% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | 0% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Strong Buy | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor BGC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | BGC | 63 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | BGC | Value 63 vs 30 |
| Technicals | BGC | Price vs 50-day 7.8% vs 1.1%; vs 200-day 18.4% vs 9.3% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 54 vs 75 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BGC and QQQ and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on BGC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4BGC lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BGC now leads by 4.
- Today
- BGC +4
- 63 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- BGC +5
- 64 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +12
- 55 vs 67
- 90 sessions ago
- QQQ +3
- 55 vs 58
The lead changed hands 11 times in this window, most recently on Aug 21 when BGC moved ahead of QQQ.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.85%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.12%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
QQQ is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.16%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.18%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to BGC's edge.
- 2QQQ generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3BGC's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | BGC | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -9.4% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -16.7% | — |
| Gross margin | 80% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.9% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19.2% | — |
| Debt to equity | 1.6 | — |
Performance
BGC leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | BGC | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 17.6% | -0.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 12.1% | 2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 30.3% | 19.9% |
| Year to date | 36% | 17% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 24.3% | 26.1% |
Technicals
BGC has the stronger structure| Metric | BGC | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.6 | 42.1 |
| ADX (14) | 15.3 | 10.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 18.4% | 9.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 41.9% | 12.9% |
Risk
QQQ is the more resilient| Metric | BGC | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.34 | 1.43 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.65 | 1.04 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.06 | 1.55 |
| Max drawdown | -19.7% | -12.2% |
| Current drawdown | -3.8% | -3.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 32.7% | 19.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.9% | -1.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, BGC or QQQ?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, BGC is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 63 against QQQ's 59. The edge comes from value and momentum. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is BGC or QQQ the better buy right now?
BGC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor BGC over QQQ?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. BGC leads Value by 33 points; QQQ leads Quality by 28 points; BGC leads Momentum by 24 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, BGC or QQQ?
Analyst price targets imply -5.5% upside for BGC and not covered for QQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, BGC or QQQ?
BGC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. BGC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 33 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, BGC or QQQ?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, BGC or QQQ?
BGC on the Momentum factor, by 24 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, BGC or QQQ?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 21 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is BGC more profitable than QQQ?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is BGC's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?
BGC lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 12 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; BGC now leads by 4. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 11 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-21, when BGC moved ahead of QQQ.
What would change the BGC vs QQQ verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Value gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to BGC's edge; QQQ generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; BGC's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about BGC and QQQ?
BGC: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. QQQ: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on BGC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On QQQ it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.