BGCP vs SPY Stock Comparison
SPY currently leads BGCP in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 58 vs 45. The clearest difference is risk resilience.
What is the main difference between BGCP and SPY?
SPY leads the current stock comparison as State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
BGC Partners, Inc. vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPY leads
SPY leads by 13 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 22 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 2 of 3 evidence groups support SPY, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
BGC Partners, Inc.
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over BGCP, 58 versus 45 as of Nov 1, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality. 2 of 3 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 13 points over 30 sessions.
Compare BGC Partners, Inc. and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare BGCP and SPY against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience41 vs 85SPY +44
- Quality55 vs 83SPY +28
- Value38 vs 41Even
2 of 3 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session.
Largest factor move: Momentum -27
New signals
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
SPY's lead narrowed by 7 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — BGCP and SPY both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPYSPY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SPYSPY on Risk Resilience, by 44 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 3 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPY | 45 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | Even | Value 38 vs 41 |
| Technicals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 41 vs 85 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of BGCP and SPY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 13 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 13 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SPY +13
- 45 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- SPY +14
- 45 vs 59
- 30 sessions ago
- SPY +22
- 46 vs 68
- 90 sessions ago
- SPY +18
- 46 vs 64
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
No active signals
No signal that the other name lacks.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only SPY
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.30%)
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.02%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (2.6%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
SPY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -1.77%, AIQ -7 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1BGCP closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
- 2BGCP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 13-point move would eliminate SPY's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | BGCP | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -11.5% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 0% | — |
| Gross margin | 80% | — |
| Operating margin | 11.9% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 19.2% | — |
| Debt to equity | 1.6 | — |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | BGCP | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | — | -0.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | — | -1.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | — | -0.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | — | 4.9% |
| Year to date | — | 10.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | — | 11.1% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | BGCP | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | — | 34.3 |
| ADX (14) | — | 15.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | — | -1.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | — | 4.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | — | 11.6% |
Risk
SPY is the more resilient| Metric | BGCP | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | — | 1 |
| Sharpe ratio | — | 0.59 |
| Sortino ratio | — | 0.89 |
| Max drawdown | — | -9.1% |
| Current drawdown | — | -3% |
| Annualized volatility | — | 12.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | — | -1.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, BGCP or SPY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPY is the stronger of the two as of Nov 1, 2026, scoring 58 against BGCP's 45. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is BGCP or SPY the better buy right now?
SPY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Nov 1, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 2 of 3 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPY over BGCP?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SPY leads Risk Resilience by 44 points; SPY leads Quality by 28 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which is better value, BGCP or SPY?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, BGCP or SPY?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, BGCP or SPY?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, BGCP or SPY?
SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 44 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is BGCP more profitable than SPY?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is SPY's lead over BGCP getting stronger or weaker?
SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 13 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-30. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the BGCP vs SPY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: BGCP closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 44 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge; BGCP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 13-point move would eliminate SPY's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about BGCP and SPY?
BGCP: No active signals. SPY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. On SPY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.