CRS vs SPY Stock Comparison

SPY currently leads CRS in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 65 vs 42. The clearest difference is momentum.

Market data as of Oct 31, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 23 points
CRS
Basic Materials
vs
SPY
Equity
CRS
Carpenter Technology Corporation
Price
$283
Day move
-5.24%
AIQ Score
42/100
Best edge
Balanced
Sector
Basic Materials
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Leads
Price
$756
Day move
-1.77%
AIQ Score
65/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Equity

What is the main difference between CRS and SPY?

SPY leads the current stock comparison as State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

Carpenter Technology Corporation vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Data as of Oct 31, 2026· market close· CRS (stock) vs SPY (ETF)· Coverage 65/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictStableAIQ Comparison Conviction 9/10

SPY leads

SPY leads by 23 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 20 points over 30 sessions.

Stable: 3 of 4 evidence groups support SPY, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Strengthening
CRS

Carpenter Technology Corporation

AIQ Score
42/100
AIQ Edge Score
2/10
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
65/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over CRS, 65 versus 42 as of Oct 31, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience. SPY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. SPY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 20 to 23 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Carpenter Technology Corporation and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.

CRS
+820.8%
SPY
+79.5%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

CRS $92,080 · SPY $17,952

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

Compare CRS and SPY against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

CRS advantage
0
SPY advantage
  • Momentum12 vs 59
    SPY +47
  • Risk Resilience51 vs 87
    SPY +36
  • Quality66 vs 83
    SPY +17
  • Value39 vs 41
    Even

3 of 4 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.

CRS0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.

SPY0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Quality -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.

SPY's lead was unchanged in the latest session.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — CRS and SPY both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

SPY

SPY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

SPY

SPY on the Momentum factor, by 47 points.

Lower downside

SPY

SPY on Risk Resilience, by 36 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureCRSSPYNote
Implied upside to target+87.5%—Level
Target dispersion+48%—Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuy—Context, not a primary driver
Analysts covering4—Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreSPY42 vs 65
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationEvenValue 39 vs 41
TechnicalsSPYPrice vs 50-day -30.8% vs -1.6%; vs 200-day -35.9% vs 6.1%
Risk ResilienceSPYRisk Resilience 51 vs 87
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of CRS and SPY and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Stable

The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 23 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30

SPY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 20 to 23 points over 30 sessions.

Jul 1CRS leads above the line · SPY leads belowOct 30
Today
SPY +23
42 vs 65
7 sessions ago
SPY +18
41 vs 59
30 sessions ago
SPY +20
48 vs 68
90 sessions ago
SPY +25
39 vs 64

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

CRSConflicted

1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

Only CRS

  • Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (8.45%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (6.43%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
  • 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (3.0%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
SPYConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted

Only SPY

  • Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.42%)
  • ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (0.90%)
  • EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.1%)
  • Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon

Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.

SPY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

CRSNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -5.24%, AIQ 0 points).

SPYNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.77%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1CRS closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
  2. 2CRS's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricCRSSPY
Revenue growth (YoY)-6.2%—
EPS growth (YoY)0.3%—
Gross margin31.2%—
Operating margin23.4%—
Return on equity (TTM)26.9%—
Debt to equity0.32—

Performance

SPY leads 6 of 6 windows
MetricCRSSPY
1 week (5 sessions)-23.2%-0.1%
1 month (20 sessions)-26.4%1.3%
3 months (63 sessions)-44.4%4.1%
6 months (126 sessions)-31.1%8.5%
Year to date-8.1%13.3%
1 year (252 sessions)-6.8%14%

Technicals

SPY has the stronger structure
MetricCRSSPY
RSI (14)8.148.6
ADX (14)63.414
Price vs 50-day-30.8%-1.6%
Price vs 200-day-35.9%6.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)74.3%10%

Risk

SPY is the more resilient
MetricCRSSPY
Beta1.621
Sharpe ratio-0.050.68
Sortino ratio-0.071.04
Max drawdown-54.8%-9.1%
Current drawdown-54.8%-0.9%
Annualized volatility47.7%12.7%
Value at risk (95%)-4.2%-1.4%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, CRS or SPY?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPY is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 65 against CRS's 42. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is CRS or SPY the better buy right now?

SPY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.

Why does the AIQ Score favor SPY over CRS?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. SPY leads Momentum by 47 points; SPY leads Risk Resilience by 36 points; SPY leads Quality by 17 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, CRS or SPY?

Analyst price targets imply +87.5% upside for CRS and not covered for SPY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, CRS or SPY?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, CRS or SPY?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, CRS or SPY?

SPY on the Momentum factor, by 47 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, CRS or SPY?

SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 36 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is CRS more profitable than SPY?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is SPY's lead over CRS getting stronger or weaker?

SPY lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 20 to 23 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-07-01 and 2026-10-30. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the CRS vs SPY verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: CRS closes the Momentum gap — currently 47 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge; CRS's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about CRS and SPY?

CRS: 1 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SPY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on CRS is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.