CRWD vs XLK Stock Comparison

Compare CRWD and XLK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.

Market data as of Sep 9, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 9 points
CRWD
Technology
vs
XLK
Equity
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Price
$210
Day move
-1.45%
AIQ Score
47/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Technology
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Leads
Price
$188
Day move
+0.32%
AIQ Score
56/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Equity

What is the main difference between CRWD and XLK?

XLK leads the current stock comparison as State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Data as of Sep 9, 2026· market close· CRWD (stock) vs XLK (ETF)· Coverage 66/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 6/10

XLK leads

XLK leads by 9 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 6 points over 30 sessions.

Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support XLK, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Strengthening
CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

AIQ Score
47/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10
XLK

State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
56/100
AIQ Edge Score
6/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XLK over CRWD, 56 versus 47 as of Sep 9, 2026. XLK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while CRWD holds the stronger momentum profile. XLK also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. XLK lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 9 points over 30 sessions.

Compare CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Performance over time

Price-return comparison using available daily close history.

CRWD
+225.3%
XLK
+139.1%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000

CRWD $32,534 · XLK $23,914

Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.

Compare CRWD and XLK against another ticker

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

CRWD advantage
0
XLK advantage
  • Quality59 vs 74
    XLK +15
  • Risk Resilience47 vs 61
    XLK +14
  • Value24 vs 36
    XLK +12
  • Momentum62 vs 57
    CRWD +5

3 of 4 evidence groups favor XLK. XLK’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; CRWD keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-07, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-06.

CRWD0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

XLK0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

XLK's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — CRWD and XLK both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

XLK (State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.

CRWD (CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 93.1% against 20.9%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

XLK

XLK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

XLK

XLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.

Momentum

CRWD

CRWD on the Momentum factor, by 5 points.

Lower downside

XLK

XLK on Risk Resilience, by 14 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureCRWDXLKNote
Implied upside to target-0.9%Level
Target dispersion+154.5%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering32Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreXLK47 vs 56
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationXLKValue 24 vs 36
TechnicalsCRWDPrice vs 50-day 4.6% vs 2.9%; vs 200-day 49.6% vs 16.8%
Risk ResilienceXLKRisk Resilience 47 vs 61
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of CRWD and XLK and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 9 points.
  • The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XLK.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 28 Sep 7

XLK lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 9 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 28CRWD leads above the line · XLK leads belowSep 7
Today
XLK +9
47 vs 56
7 sessions ago
XLK +9
46 vs 55
30 sessions ago
XLK +6
53 vs 59
90 sessions ago
CRWD +2
52 vs 50

The lead changed hands 4 times in this window, most recently on Jul 22 when XLK moved ahead of CRWD.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

CRWD

4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (40.93%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon
XLKConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (13.88%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon

XLK leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

CRWDNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.45%, AIQ 0 points).

XLKNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.32%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1CRWD closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge.
  2. 2CRWD's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed.
  3. 3XLK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricCRWDXLK
Revenue growth (YoY)6.2%
EPS growth (YoY)-81.1%
Gross margin75.2%
Operating margin-2.2%
Return on equity (TTM)1.3%
Debt to equity0.16

Performance

CRWD leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricCRWDXLK
1 week (5 sessions)-2.4%0.9%
1 month (20 sessions)-0.6%-0.4%
3 months (63 sessions)27%3.9%
6 months (126 sessions)98.7%36.4%
Year to date81.8%30.1%
1 year (252 sessions)106.3%43.3%

Technicals

CRWD has the stronger structure
MetricCRWDXLK
RSI (14)49.744.9
ADX (14)21.611.1
Price vs 50-day4.6%2.9%
Price vs 200-day49.6%16.8%
Volatility (1M, annualized)93.1%20.9%

Risk

XLK is the more resilient
MetricCRWDXLK
Beta-1.171.75
Sharpe ratio0.981.34
Sortino ratio2.752.06
Max drawdown-77.1%-16.1%
Current drawdown-72.8%-5.5%
Annualized volatility314.1%26.4%
Value at risk (95%)-5.1%-2.6%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, CRWD or XLK?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XLK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 9, 2026, scoring 56 against CRWD's 47. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. CRWD is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is CRWD or XLK the better buy right now?

XLK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 9, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor XLK over CRWD?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. XLK leads Quality by 15 points; XLK leads Risk Resilience by 14 points; XLK leads Value by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, CRWD or XLK?

Analyst price targets imply -0.9% upside for CRWD and not covered for XLK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, CRWD or XLK?

XLK is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. XLK on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, CRWD or XLK?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, CRWD or XLK?

CRWD on the Momentum factor, by 5 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, CRWD or XLK?

XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 14 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is CRWD more profitable than XLK?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is XLK's lead over CRWD getting stronger or weaker?

XLK lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 6 to 9 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-28 and 2026-09-07. The lead has changed hands 4 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-22, when XLK moved ahead of CRWD.

What would change the CRWD vs XLK verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: CRWD closes the Quality gap — currently 15 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge; CRWD's existing bullish trend signals translate into factor-score gains — the rules are already firing, but the scores have not yet followed; XLK's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about CRWD and XLK?

CRWD: 4 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. XLK: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on CRWD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XLK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.