CSCO vs SHOP Stock Comparison
Cisco Systems, Inc. vs Shopify Inc.
CSCO leads
CSCO leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Risk Resilience, but the lead has narrowed from 11 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 5 of 6 evidence groups support CSCO, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Cisco Systems, Inc.
Shopify Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors CSCO over SHOP, 53 versus 47 as of Sep 2, 2026. CSCO's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and risk resilience, while SHOP holds the stronger momentum profile. CSCO also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor CSCO today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. CSCO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 11 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Cisco Systems, Inc. and Shopify Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%49 vs 24CSCO +25
- Momentum25%31 vs 53SHOP +22
- Risk Resilience15%55 vs 43CSCO +12
- Quality30%74 vs 66CSCO +8
5 of 6 evidence groups favor CSCO. CSCO’s edge is concentrated in value and risk resilience; SHOP keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
CSCO's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — CSCO and SHOP both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
CSCO (Cisco Systems, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and risk resilience.
SHOP (Shopify Inc.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 72.6% against 40.4%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
CSCOCSCO on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
CSCOCSCO on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
CSCOCSCO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points.
Momentum
SHOPSHOP on the Momentum factor, by 22 points.
Lower downside
CSCOCSCO on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
CSCOCSCO on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | CSCO | SHOP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +20% | +14.2% | CSCO has more room |
| Target dispersion | +30.7% | +46.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 17 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor CSCO. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | CSCO | 53 vs 47 |
| Fundamentals | CSCOon balance | revenue growth 8.9% vs 13%; EPS growth 15.3% vs 3.6%; ROE 25.1% vs 15.1%; gross margin 64.3% vs 47.8%; operating margin 23.4% vs 13.9% — CSCO takes 4 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | CSCO | Value 49 vs 24 |
| Technicals | SHOP | Price vs 50-day -5.8% vs 6.4%; vs 200-day 17.4% vs 12.2% |
| Risk Resilience | CSCO | Risk Resilience 55 vs 43 |
| Analyst expectations | CSCO | Target upside 20% vs 14.2% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of CSCO and SHOP and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on CSCO.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1CSCO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 11 to 6 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- CSCO +6
- 53 vs 47
- 7 sessions ago
- CSCO +4
- 53 vs 49
- 30 sessions ago
- CSCO +11
- 66 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- CSCO +6
- 56 vs 50
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 25 when CSCO moved ahead of SHOP.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (22.38%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.11%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
CSCO leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.12%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.1%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SHOP closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to CSCO's edge.
- 2SHOP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3CSCO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate CSCO's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
CSCO leads on balance| Metric | CSCO | SHOP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.9% | 13% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 15.3% | 3.6% |
| Gross margin | 64.3% | 47.8% |
| Operating margin | 23.4% | 13.9% |
| Return on equity | 25.1% | 15.1% |
| Debt to equity | 0.64 | 0.01 |
Technicals
SHOP has the stronger structure| Metric | CSCO | SHOP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 32 | 44.1 |
| ADX (14) | 23 | 29.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -5.8% | 6.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 17.4% | 12.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 40.4% | 72.6% |
Risk
CSCO is the more resilient| Metric | CSCO | SHOP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.03 | 1.87 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.43 | 0.29 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.85 | 0.43 |
| Max drawdown | -15.7% | -46.7% |
| Current drawdown | -15% | -17.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 33.9% | 57.6% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.8% | -5.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, CSCO or SHOP?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, CSCO is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 53 against SHOP's 47. The edge comes from value and risk resilience. SHOP is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is CSCO or SHOP the better buy right now?
CSCO carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor CSCO over SHOP?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. CSCO leads Value by 25 points; SHOP leads Momentum by 22 points; CSCO leads Risk Resilience by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, CSCO or SHOP?
Analyst price targets imply +20% upside for CSCO and +14.2% for SHOP, so the Street currently favors CSCO. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, CSCO or SHOP?
CSCO is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. CSCO on the peer-relative Value factor, by 25 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, CSCO or SHOP?
CSCO on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, CSCO or SHOP?
SHOP on the Momentum factor, by 22 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, CSCO or SHOP?
CSCO is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. CSCO on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is CSCO more profitable than SHOP?
CSCO leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 64.3% vs 47.8%; operating margin 23.4% vs 13.9%; roe 25.1% vs 15.1%.
Is CSCO's lead over SHOP getting stronger or weaker?
CSCO lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 11 to 6 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-25, when CSCO moved ahead of SHOP.
What would change the CSCO vs SHOP verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SHOP closes the Value gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to CSCO's edge; SHOP generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; CSCO's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 5 points over 30 sessions, and a further 6-point move would eliminate CSCO's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about CSCO and SHOP?
CSCO: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. SHOP: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on CSCO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SHOP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare CSCO and SHOP with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.