ENPH vs ETH Stock Comparison
Compare ENPH and ETH across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between ENPH and ETH?
ETH leads the current stock comparison as Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Enphase Energy, Inc. vs Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF
ETH leads
ETH leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum.
Fragile: 2 of 5 evidence groups support ETH.
Enphase Energy, Inc.
Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ETH over ENPH, 48 versus 46 as of Sep 11, 2026. ETH's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while ENPH holds the stronger value profile. ETH also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor ETH today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. ETH lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Enphase Energy, Inc. and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare ENPH and ETH against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum37 vs 71ETH +34
- Value46 vs 23ENPH +23
- Quality56 vs 58Even
- Risk Resilience43 vs 41Even
2 of 5 evidence groups favor ETH. ETH’s edge is concentrated in momentum; ENPH keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -7
No new signals fired.
ETH's lead narrowed by 2 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ENPH and ETH both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ETH (Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
ENPH (Enphase Energy, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ETHETH on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
ETHETH on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ENPHENPH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points.
Momentum
ETHETH on the Momentum factor, by 34 points.
Lower downside
ENPHENPH carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ENPH | ETH | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +26.2% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +131.9% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 5 covered evidence groups favor ETH. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 46 vs 48 |
| Fundamentals | ETHon balance | revenue growth 3.2% vs 8%; EPS growth 5.5% vs 100%; TTM ROE 12.3% vs 8.4%; gross margin 46.9% vs 61.2%; operating margin 8.3% vs 7.8% — ETH takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ENPH | Value 46 vs 23 |
| Technicals | ETH | Price vs 50-day -8.5% vs 24.6%; vs 200-day -9.9% vs 8.5% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 43 vs 41 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ENPH and ETH and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ETH.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10ETH lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ETH +2
- 46 vs 48
- 7 sessions ago
- ETH +4
- 46 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- ETH +2
- 47 vs 49
- 90 sessions ago
- ENPH +4
- 43 vs 39
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 7 when ENPH moved ahead of ETH.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.01%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (11.24%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ENPH is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.38%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +3.24%, AIQ -2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ENPH closes the Momentum gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to ETH's edge.
- 2ENPH's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3ETH starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ETH leads on balance| Metric | ENPH | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.2% | 8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 5.5% | 100% |
| Gross margin | 46.9% | 61.2% |
| Operating margin | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 12.3% | 8.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.52 | 0.26 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | ENPH | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -9.6% | 31.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -27.1% | 51.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -15% | 19.4% |
| Year to date | 15% | -16.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -5% | -41.9% |
Technicals
ETH has the stronger structure| Metric | ENPH | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.2 | 61.1 |
| ADX (14) | 10 | 37 |
| Price vs 50-day | -8.5% | 24.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -9.9% | 8.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 51.3% | 57% |
Risk
Split| Metric | ENPH | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.56 | 2.5 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.31 | -0.59 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.56 | -0.91 |
| Max drawdown | -51.5% | -66.8% |
| Current drawdown | -49% | -47.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 82.7% | 64% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.8% | -5.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ENPH or ETH?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ETH is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 48 against ENPH's 46. The edge comes from momentum. ENPH is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ENPH or ETH the better buy right now?
ETH carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ETH over ENPH?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ETH leads Momentum by 34 points; ENPH leads Value by 23 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ENPH or ETH?
Analyst price targets imply +26.2% upside for ENPH and not covered for ETH. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ENPH or ETH?
ENPH is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ENPH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 23 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ENPH or ETH?
ETH on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ENPH or ETH?
ETH on the Momentum factor, by 34 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ENPH or ETH?
ENPH is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. ENPH carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ENPH more profitable than ETH?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 46.9% vs 61.2%; operating margin 8.3% vs 7.8%; ttm roe 12.3% vs 8.4%. Each name leads on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ETH's lead over ENPH getting stronger or weaker?
ETH lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 2 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-07, when ENPH moved ahead of ETH.
What would change the ENPH vs ETH verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ENPH closes the Momentum gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to ETH's edge; ENPH's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; ETH starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ENPH and ETH?
ENPH: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. ETH: 0 bullish / 2 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ENPH is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On ETH it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.