EXPD vs JPM Stock Comparison
EXPD currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 71 vs 52. The clearest difference is quality.
What is the main difference between EXPD and JPM?
EXPD leads the current stock comparison as Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
EXPD leads
EXPD leads by 19 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 22 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JPM on target upside.
Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support EXPD, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors EXPD over JPM, 71 versus 52 as of Oct 21, 2026. EXPD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. EXPD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors JPM. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor EXPD today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. EXPD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 19 points over 30 sessions. EXPD leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare EXPD and JPM against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality77 vs 46EXPD +31
- Momentum80 vs 58EXPD +22
- Value55 vs 44EXPD +11
- Risk Resilience73 vs 68EXPD +5
5 of 6 evidence groups favor EXPD. EXPD’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
New signals
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
EXPD's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — EXPD and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
EXPD (Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EXPDEXPD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EXPDEXPD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EXPDEXPD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.
Momentum
EXPDEXPD on the Momentum factor, by 22 points.
Lower downside
EXPDEXPD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors EXPD, analyst targets favor JPM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | EXPD | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -9.7% | +11.3% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +42.2% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | EXPD | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 8.17% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.040 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.540 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #141 | #120 |
JPM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.04% a year against EXPD's 8.17%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor EXPD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | EXPD | 71 vs 52 |
| Fundamentals | EXPDon balance | revenue growth 25.8% vs -7.6%; EPS growth 18% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 40.7% vs 17.9%; gross margin 23.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 9.8% vs 28.2% — EXPD takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | EXPD | Value 55 vs 44 |
| Technicals | EXPD | Price vs 50-day 3.8% vs -3.4%; vs 200-day 20% vs 4% |
| Risk Resilience | EXPD | Risk Resilience 73 vs 68 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside -9.7% vs 11.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of EXPD and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 19 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on EXPD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20EXPD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 19 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- EXPD +19
- 71 vs 52
- 7 sessions ago
- EXPD +24
- 71 vs 47
- 30 sessions ago
- EXPD +22
- 65 vs 43
- 90 sessions ago
- EXPD +18
- 71 vs 53
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only EXPD
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.7%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, MACD Bullish Crossover.
EXPD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.71%, AIQ +2 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Quality gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to EXPD's edge.
- 2JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active.
- 3EXPD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 19-point move would eliminate EXPD's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
EXPD leads on balance| Metric | EXPD | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 25.8% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 18% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 23.9% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 9.8% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 40.7% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.27 | 3.32 |
Performance
EXPD leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | EXPD | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 5.8% | -1.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 11.8% | -3.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 31.4% | 7.1% |
| Year to date | 32.6% | 4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 67.8% | 12.3% |
Technicals
EXPD has the stronger structure| Metric | EXPD | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 75.8 | 57.4 |
| ADX (14) | 24.6 | 20.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | 3.8% | -3.4% |
| Price vs 200-day | 20% | 4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 20.3% | 14.8% |
Risk
EXPD is the more resilient| Metric | EXPD | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.67 | 0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.03 | 0.66 |
| Max drawdown | -15.9% | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | -0.1% | -8.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 30.7% | 22.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.2% | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, EXPD or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, EXPD is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 71 against JPM's 52. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is EXPD or JPM the better buy right now?
EXPD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor EXPD over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. EXPD leads Quality by 31 points; EXPD leads Momentum by 22 points; EXPD leads Value by 11 points. EXPD leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by JPM simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, EXPD or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply -9.7% upside for EXPD and +11.3% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors EXPD. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, EXPD or JPM?
EXPD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. EXPD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, EXPD or JPM?
EXPD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, EXPD or JPM?
EXPD on the Momentum factor, by 22 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, EXPD or JPM?
EXPD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. EXPD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is EXPD more profitable than JPM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 23.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 9.8% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 40.7% vs 17.9%. EXPD leads on one measure and JPM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is EXPD's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
EXPD lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 19 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the EXPD vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Quality gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to EXPD's edge; JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active; EXPD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 5 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 3 points over 30 sessions, and a further 19-point move would eliminate EXPD's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about EXPD and JPM?
EXPD: 5 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on EXPD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare EXPD and JPM with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.