EXPE vs XLK Stock Comparison
Compare EXPE and XLK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between EXPE and XLK?
XLK leads the current stock comparison as State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Expedia Group, Inc. vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK leads
XLK leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, having only recently taken the lead back from EXPE.
Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support XLK, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Expedia Group, Inc.
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XLK over EXPE, 59 versus 44 as of Sep 11, 2026. XLK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience, while EXPE holds the stronger value profile. XLK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. XLK lead: Reversed — EXPE led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XLK now leads by 15.
Compare Expedia Group, Inc. and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare EXPE and XLK against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum15 vs 65XLK +50
- Risk Resilience39 vs 62XLK +23
- Value44 vs 36EXPE +8
- Quality70 vs 74XLK +4
3 of 4 evidence groups favor XLK. XLK’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience; EXPE keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
No new signals fired.
XLK's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — EXPE and XLK both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
XLK (State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
EXPE (Expedia Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 48.5% against 20.6%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
XLKXLK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EXPEEXPE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points.
Momentum
XLKXLK on the Momentum factor, by 50 points.
Lower downside
XLKXLK on Risk Resilience, by 23 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | EXPE | XLK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +13.4% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +59.7% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | XLK | 44 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | EXPE | Value 44 vs 36 |
| Technicals | XLK | Price vs 50-day -5% vs 2.7%; vs 200-day 6.8% vs 15% |
| Risk Resilience | XLK | Risk Resilience 39 vs 62 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of EXPE and XLK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XLK.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10XLK lead: Reversed — EXPE led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XLK now leads by 15.
- Today
- XLK +15
- 44 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- XLK +6
- 50 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- EXPE +2
- 61 vs 59
- 90 sessions ago
- EXPE +19
- 62 vs 43
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Aug 31 when XLK moved ahead of EXPE.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (14.00%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.78%)
4 bullish / 0 bearish
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.41%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
EXPE is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +1.43%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.32%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1EXPE closes the Momentum gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge.
- 2EXPE's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3XLK's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | EXPE | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 25.9% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 149.4% | — |
| Gross margin | 90.4% | — |
| Operating margin | 18.8% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 184.8% | — |
| Debt to equity | 4.7 | — |
Performance
XLK leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | EXPE | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -10.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -15% | -1.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 26.5% | 4.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 20.2% | 31.9% |
| Year to date | -2.3% | 28.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 27.5% | 39.9% |
Technicals
XLK has the stronger structure| Metric | EXPE | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 30.2 | 54.1 |
| ADX (14) | 30.6 | 10.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -5% | 2.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 6.8% | 15% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 48.5% | 20.6% |
Risk
XLK is the more resilient| Metric | EXPE | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 1.75 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.65 | 1.25 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.97 | 1.94 |
| Max drawdown | -37.4% | -16.1% |
| Current drawdown | -18.4% | -6.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 50.3% | 26.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.3% | -2.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, EXPE or XLK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XLK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 59 against EXPE's 44. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. EXPE is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is EXPE or XLK the better buy right now?
XLK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor XLK over EXPE?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. XLK leads Momentum by 50 points; XLK leads Risk Resilience by 23 points; EXPE leads Value by 8 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, EXPE or XLK?
Analyst price targets imply +13.4% upside for EXPE and not covered for XLK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, EXPE or XLK?
EXPE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. EXPE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 8 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, EXPE or XLK?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, EXPE or XLK?
XLK on the Momentum factor, by 50 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, EXPE or XLK?
XLK is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. XLK on Risk Resilience, by 23 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is EXPE more profitable than XLK?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is XLK's lead over EXPE getting stronger or weaker?
XLK lead: Reversed — EXPE led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; XLK now leads by 15. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-31, when XLK moved ahead of EXPE.
What would change the EXPE vs XLK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: EXPE closes the Momentum gap — currently 50 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge; EXPE's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; XLK's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about EXPE and XLK?
EXPE: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. XLK: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on EXPE is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On XLK it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.