GRNY vs SPY ETF Comparison
Compare GRNY and SPY across fund costs, diversification, holdings, performance, income, risk and current AlgovestIQ evidence.
What is the main difference between GRNY and SPY?
GRNY is Tidal Trust III - Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF, while SPY is State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Current AlgovestIQ evidence has SPY ahead on AIQ Score, 64 versus 54.
| Metric | GRNY | SPY | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Y return | +21.4% | +19.6% | Performance |
| YTD return | +13.6% | +12.9% | Performance |
| AIQ Score | 54/100 | 64/100 | AlgovestIQ |
| AIQ Edge Score | 5/10 | 9/10 | AlgovestIQ |
| Momentum | 64/100 | 57/100 | AlgovestIQ |
| Risk Resilience | 76/100 | 89/100 | AlgovestIQ |
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Tidal Trust III - Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPY leads
SPY leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.
Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support SPY.
Tidal Trust III - Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over GRNY, 64 versus 54 as of Sep 6, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while GRNY holds the stronger momentum profile. SPY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability.
Compare Tidal Trust III - Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across performance, expense ratio, dividend yield, drawdown, volatility and the Algovestiq AIQ Score.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison for both ETFs using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare GRNY and SPY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality30%57 vs 84SPY +27
- Risk Resilience15%76 vs 89SPY +13
- Momentum25%64 vs 57GRNY +7
- Value30%33 vs 39SPY +6
3 of 4 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; GRNY keeps a meaningful momentum edge.
The central trade-off
SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
GRNY (Tidal Trust III - Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF): the counter-case, on momentum — but at materially higher volatility, 13.5% against 8.1%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPYSPY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
SPYSPY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
GRNYGRNY on the Momentum factor, by 7 points.
Lower downside
SPYSPY on Risk Resilience, by 13 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
ETF comparison questions
Short answers to the fund-specific questions behind this comparison.
Which ETF is more diversified, GRNY or SPY?
Use holdings count, top-10 concentration and sector exposure together; the current dataset does not show a decisive holdings-count edge.
Which has the lower expense ratio?
The current fund profile does not show a lower-cost winner.
Which ETF has the higher distribution yield?
The current dataset does not show a higher-yield winner.
Which ETF has been more volatile?
The current risk snapshot does not show a volatility difference.
Which ETF has the stronger current AlgovestIQ evidence?
SPY currently leads on supporting AlgovestIQ evidence, 64 to 54.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPY | 54 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | SPY | Value 33 vs 39 |
| Technicals | Even | Price vs 50-day 1.8% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day 7.9% vs 8.1% |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 76 vs 89 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of GRNY and SPY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1GRNY closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
- 2GRNY generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3SPY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Performance
GRNY leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | GRNY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 1% | -0.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 4.5% | 4.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 15.2% | 14.5% |
| Year to date | 13.6% | 12.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 21.4% | 19.6% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | GRNY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 52.2 | 47.5 |
| ADX (14) | 12.4 | 13.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 7.9% | 8.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13.5% | 8.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, GRNY or SPY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 64 against GRNY's 54. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. GRNY is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is GRNY or SPY the better buy right now?
SPY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPY over GRNY?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SPY leads Quality by 27 points; SPY leads Risk Resilience by 13 points; GRNY leads Momentum by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which is better value, GRNY or SPY?
SPY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SPY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, GRNY or SPY?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, GRNY or SPY?
GRNY on the Momentum factor, by 7 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, GRNY or SPY?
SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 13 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is GRNY more profitable than SPY?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
What would change the GRNY vs SPY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: GRNY closes the Quality gap — currently 27 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge; GRNY generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; SPY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
Compare GRNY and SPY with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.