HES vs JPM Stock Comparison
HES currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 54 vs 53. The clearest difference is quality, while JPM has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between HES and JPM?
HES leads the current stock comparison as Hess Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Hess Corporation vs JPMorgan Chase & Co.
HES leads
HES leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 10 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors JPM on target upside.
Fragile: 1 of 5 evidence groups support HES, and its lead is narrowing.
Hess Corporation
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors HES over JPM, 54 versus 53 as of Oct 31, 2026. HES's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality, while JPM holds the stronger value profile. Analyst target upside, however, currently favors JPM. 1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor HES today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. HES lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Hess Corporation and JPMorgan Chase & Co. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare HES and JPM against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality75 vs 46HES +29
- Value32 vs 44JPM +12
- Risk Resilience57 vs 69JPM +12
1 of 5 evidence groups favor HES. HES’s edge is concentrated in quality; JPM keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
HES's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — HES and JPM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
HES (Hess Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, valuation.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
HESHES on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
HESHES on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
JPMJPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
JPMJPM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors HES, analyst targets favor JPM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | HES | JPM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +4% | +10.7% | JPM has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +32.2% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | HES | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 0.00% | 9.04% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $1.000 | $3.600 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $1.000 | $5.550 |
| Years increased | 3 | 5 |
| No cut in window | No (1) | Yes |
| Cohort rank | not ranked | #120 |
JPM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.04% a year against HES's 0.00%. JPM never reduced its regular dividend in the window; HES did in 1 year. They are ranked in different cohorts — variable-dividend payers and US dividend-paying corporations — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 5 covered evidence groups favor HES. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 54 vs 53 |
| Fundamentals | HES | revenue growth 26.1% vs -7.6%; EPS growth 2.8% vs -27.6%; TTM ROE 27.4% vs 17.9%; gross margin 78.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 37% vs 28.2% |
| Valuation | JPM | Value 32 vs 44 |
| Technicals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 57 vs 69 |
| Analyst expectations | JPM | Target upside 4% vs 10.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of HES and JPM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on HES.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28HES lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- HES +1
- 54 vs 53
- 7 sessions ago
- HES +4
- 54 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- HES +10
- 54 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- JPM +7
- 45 vs 52
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Sep 2 when HES moved ahead of JPM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
No active signals
No signal that the other name lacks.
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.57%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
JPM is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.9%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Quality gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to HES's edge.
- 2JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3HES starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate HES's advantage entirely.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
HES leads on balance| Metric | HES | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 26.1% | -7.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 2.8% | -27.6% |
| Gross margin | 78.9% | 63.2% |
| Operating margin | 37% | 28.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 27.4% | 17.9% |
| Debt to equity | 0.84 | 3.32 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | HES | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | — | 1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | — | 2.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | — | -3.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | — | 9.7% |
| Year to date | — | 5.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | — | 12.9% |
Technicals
Split| Metric | HES | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | — | 60.9 |
| ADX (14) | — | 15 |
| Price vs 50-day | — | -2% |
| Price vs 200-day | — | 5.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | — | 13% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | HES | JPM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | — | 0.73 |
| Sharpe ratio | — | 0.41 |
| Sortino ratio | — | 0.56 |
| Max drawdown | — | -15.5% |
| Current drawdown | — | -7.1% |
| Annualized volatility | — | 22% |
| Value at risk (95%) | — | -2.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, HES or JPM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, HES is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 54 against JPM's 53. The edge comes from quality. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is HES or JPM the better buy right now?
HES carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 5 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor HES over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. HES leads Quality by 29 points; JPM leads Value by 12 points; JPM leads Risk Resilience by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, HES or JPM?
Analyst price targets imply +4% upside for HES and +10.7% for JPM, so the Street currently favors JPM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors HES. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, HES or JPM?
JPM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. JPM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 12 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, HES or JPM?
HES on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, HES or JPM?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, HES or JPM?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is HES more profitable than JPM?
HES leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 78.9% vs 63.2%; operating margin 37% vs 28.2%; ttm roe 27.4% vs 17.9%.
Is HES's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
HES lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-09-02, when HES moved ahead of JPM.
What would change the HES vs JPM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Quality gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to HES's edge; JPM's BB Upper Band Breach resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; HES starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 9 points over 30 sessions, and a further 1-point move would eliminate HES's advantage entirely.
What do the current signals say about HES and JPM?
HES: No active signals. JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. On JPM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare HES and JPM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.