HLT vs QQQ Stock Comparison
HLT currently leads QQQ in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 52 vs 51. The clearest difference is momentum, while QQQ has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between HLT and QQQ?
HLT leads the current stock comparison as Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. vs Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
HLT leads
HLT leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.
Fragile: 1 of 4 evidence groups support HLT, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors HLT over QQQ, 52 versus 51 as of Oct 22, 2026. HLT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while QQQ holds the stronger quality profile. HLT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor HLT today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. HLT lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; HLT now leads by 1.
Compare Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare HLT and QQQ against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum91 vs 21HLT +70
- Quality50 vs 82QQQ +32
- Risk Resilience50 vs 72QQQ +22
- Value24 vs 35QQQ +11
1 of 4 evidence groups favor HLT. HLT’s edge is concentrated in momentum; QQQ keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
New signals
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
HLT's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — HLT and QQQ both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, value.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
HLTHLT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
QQQQQQ on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.
Momentum
HLTHLT on the Momentum factor, by 70 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | HLT | QQQ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | -3% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +20.5% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor HLT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 52 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | QQQ | Value 24 vs 35 |
| Technicals | HLT | Price vs 50-day 13% vs -0.2%; vs 200-day 12.8% vs 6.2% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 50 vs 72 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of HLT and QQQ and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on HLT.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20HLT lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; HLT now leads by 1.
- Today
- HLT +1
- 52 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- QQQ +6
- 51 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +13
- 52 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- QQQ +24
- 43 vs 67
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only HLT
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only QQQ
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
HLT leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.82%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.05%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 70 points behind, the largest single contributor to HLT's edge.
- 2QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3HLT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | HLT | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.8% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 26.2% | — |
| Gross margin | 44.1% | — |
| Operating margin | 23.3% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | -28.1% | — |
| Debt to equity | -2.22 | — |
Performance
HLT leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | HLT | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 7.8% | -3.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 13.5% | -4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 10.8% | 1.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 5.6% | 11.4% |
| Year to date | 21.4% | 16.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 34.4% | 19.6% |
Technicals
HLT has the stronger structure| Metric | HLT | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 84.1 | 37.2 |
| ADX (14) | 30.9 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 13% | -0.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 24.5% | 15.4% |
Risk
QQQ is the more resilient| Metric | HLT | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.58 | 1.45 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.3 | 0.77 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.28 | 1.2 |
| Max drawdown | -13.6% | -12.2% |
| Current drawdown | 0% | -5.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 24.2% | 19.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.3% | -1.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, HLT or QQQ?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, HLT is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 52 against QQQ's 51. The edge comes from momentum. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is HLT or QQQ the better buy right now?
HLT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor HLT over QQQ?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. HLT leads Momentum by 70 points; QQQ leads Quality by 32 points; QQQ leads Risk Resilience by 22 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, HLT or QQQ?
Analyst price targets imply -3% upside for HLT and not covered for QQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, HLT or QQQ?
QQQ is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. QQQ on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, HLT or QQQ?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, HLT or QQQ?
HLT on the Momentum factor, by 70 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, HLT or QQQ?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is HLT more profitable than QQQ?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is HLT's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?
HLT lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; HLT now leads by 1. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the HLT vs QQQ verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 70 points behind, the largest single contributor to HLT's edge; QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; HLT's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 6 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about HLT and QQQ?
HLT: 6 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. QQQ: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on HLT is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On QQQ it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.