INFY vs SPY Stock Comparison
Infosys Limited vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
INFY leads
INFY leads by 2 AIQ points, primarily on Value, having only recently taken the lead back from SPY.
Fragile: 1 of 4 evidence groups support INFY, and the lead recently changed hands.
Infosys Limited
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors INFY over SPY, 66 versus 64 as of Sep 5, 2026. INFY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while SPY holds the stronger risk resilience profile. INFY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor INFY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. INFY lead: Reversed — SPY led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INFY now leads by 2.
Compare Infosys Limited and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare INFY and SPY against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%52 vs 89SPY +37
- Value30%71 vs 39INFY +32
- Quality30%75 vs 84SPY +9
- Momentum25%56 vs 57Even
1 of 4 evidence groups favor INFY. INFY’s edge is concentrated in value; SPY keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-04, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-03.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No new signals fired.
INFY's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INFY and SPY both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
INFY (Infosys Limited): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
INFYINFY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
INFYINFY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SPYSPY on Risk Resilience, by 37 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | INFY | SPY | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +7.4% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +31.8% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 5 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor INFY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 66 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | INFY | Value 71 vs 39 |
| Technicals | SPY | Price vs 50-day 0.2% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day -17.1% vs 8.1% |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 52 vs 89 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INFY and SPY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on INFY.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 23 – Sep 4INFY lead: Reversed — SPY led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INFY now leads by 2.
- Today
- INFY +2
- 66 vs 64
- 7 sessions ago
- SPY +1
- 63 vs 64
- 30 sessions ago
- SPY +3
- 68 vs 71
- 90 sessions ago
- SPY +5
- 57 vs 62
The lead changed hands 7 times in this window, most recently on Sep 1 when INFY moved ahead of SPY.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (20.85%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.28%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.8%)
SPY is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -3.23%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.39%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SPY closes the Value gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to INFY's edge.
- 2SPY generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3INFY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | INFY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 0.8% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -13% | — |
| Gross margin | 30.3% | — |
| Operating margin | 20.4% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 33% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.1 | — |
Performance
SPY leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | INFY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -2.9% | 0.1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -6.6% | -0.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -5.6% | 4.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -19% | 14.5% |
| Year to date | -34.3% | 12.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -29.7% | 19.6% |
Technicals
SPY has the stronger structure| Metric | INFY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.7 | 47.5 |
| ADX (14) | 8.2 | 13.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.2% | 1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | -17.1% | 8.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 29.5% | 8.1% |
Risk
SPY is the more resilient| Metric | INFY | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.48 | 1 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.78 | 1.1 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.17 | 1.56 |
| Max drawdown | -48.1% | -9.1% |
| Current drawdown | -42.1% | -1% |
| Annualized volatility | 39.8% | 12.8% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4% | -1.4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, INFY or SPY?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, INFY is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 66 against SPY's 64. The edge comes from value. SPY is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is INFY or SPY the better buy right now?
INFY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 2 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor INFY over SPY?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SPY leads Risk Resilience by 37 points; INFY leads Value by 32 points; SPY leads Quality by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, INFY or SPY?
Analyst price targets imply +7.4% upside for INFY and not covered for SPY. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, INFY or SPY?
INFY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. INFY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, INFY or SPY?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, INFY or SPY?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, INFY or SPY?
SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 37 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is INFY more profitable than SPY?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is INFY's lead over SPY getting stronger or weaker?
INFY lead: Reversed — SPY led by 3 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; INFY now leads by 2. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-23 and 2026-09-04. The lead has changed hands 7 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-01, when INFY moved ahead of SPY.
What would change the INFY vs SPY verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SPY closes the Value gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to INFY's edge; SPY generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; INFY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about INFY and SPY?
INFY: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. SPY: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on INFY is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On SPY it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.