JPM vs MDU Stock Comparison
JPM currently leads MDU in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 52 vs 51. The clearest difference is risk resilience, while MDU has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between JPM and MDU?
JPM leads the current stock comparison as JPMorgan Chase & Co., with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs MDU Resources Group, Inc.
JPM leads
JPM leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience. Wall Street currently favors MDU on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support JPM, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
MDU Resources Group, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JPM over MDU, 52 versus 51 as of Oct 22, 2026. JPM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience, while MDU holds the stronger value profile. JPM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors MDU. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. JPM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare JPMorgan Chase & Co. and MDU Resources Group, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JPM and MDU against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience68 vs 56JPM +12
- Value44 vs 51MDU +7
- Quality46 vs 43Even
- Momentum58 vs 56Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor JPM. JPM’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience; MDU keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +9
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
JPM's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JPM and MDU both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience.
MDU (MDU Resources Group, Inc.): the counter-case, on value, valuation, analyst expectations.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
JPMJPM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
JPMJPM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MDUMDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
MDUMDU on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors JPM, analyst targets favor MDU. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | JPM | MDU | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.3% | +30.8% | MDU has more room |
| Target dispersion | +32.2% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | JPM | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.04% | 11.21% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.600 | $0.318 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $5.550 | $0.540 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (1) |
| Cohort rank | #120 | not ranked |
MDU grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 11.21% a year against JPM's 9.04%. JPM never reduced its regular dividend in the window; MDU did in 1 year.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 52 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | JPM | revenue growth -7.6% vs -38.1%; EPS growth -27.6% vs -74.4%; TTM ROE 17.9% vs 6.9%; gross margin 63.2% vs 42.4%; operating margin 28.2% vs 17% |
| Valuation | MDU | Value 44 vs 51 |
| Technicals | JPM | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs -1%; vs 200-day 4% vs -7.4% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 68 vs 56 |
| Analyst expectations | MDU | Target upside 11.3% vs 30.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JPM and MDU and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JPM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20JPM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- JPM +1
- 52 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- JPM +1
- 47 vs 46
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 43 vs 43
- 90 sessions ago
- JPM +7
- 53 vs 46
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Oct 14 when JPM moved ahead of MDU.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.65%)
1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted
Only MDU
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (6.79%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
MDU is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.1%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1MDU closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge.
- 2MDU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3JPM's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JPM leads on balance| Metric | JPM | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | -38.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.6% | -74.4% |
| Gross margin | 63.2% | 42.4% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 17% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.9% | 6.9% |
| Debt to equity | 3.32 | 0.88 |
Performance
JPM leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | JPM | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.4% | 2.9% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.7% | -9.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 7.1% | -10.8% |
| Year to date | 4% | -2.2% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.3% | 0.5% |
Technicals
JPM has the stronger structure| Metric | JPM | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.4 | 66.3 |
| ADX (14) | 20.5 | 24.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | -1% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4% | -7.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 14.8% | 14.1% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | JPM | MDU |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.75 | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.47 | -0.12 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.66 | -0.17 |
| Max drawdown | -15.5% | -19.3% |
| Current drawdown | -8.2% | -16.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 22.2% | 20% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JPM or MDU?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JPM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 22, 2026, scoring 52 against MDU's 51. The edge comes from risk resilience. MDU is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JPM or MDU the better buy right now?
JPM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 22, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor JPM over MDU?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Risk Resilience by 12 points; MDU leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JPM or MDU?
Analyst price targets imply +11.3% upside for JPM and +30.8% for MDU, so the Street currently favors MDU. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors JPM. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JPM or MDU?
MDU is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MDU on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JPM or MDU?
JPM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JPM or MDU?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JPM or MDU?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JPM more profitable than MDU?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 63.2% vs 42.4%; operating margin 28.2% vs 17%; ttm roe 17.9% vs 6.9%.
Is JPM's lead over MDU getting stronger or weaker?
JPM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-10-14, when JPM moved ahead of MDU.
What would change the JPM vs MDU verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MDU closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge; MDU's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; JPM's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JPM and MDU?
JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. MDU: 1 bullish / 3 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JPM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On MDU it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JPM and MDU with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.