JPM vs PCAR Stock Comparison
JPM currently leads PCAR in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 53 vs 45. The clearest difference is momentum, while PCAR has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between JPM and PCAR?
JPM leads the current stock comparison as JPMorgan Chase & Co., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs PACCAR Inc
JPM leads
JPM leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality, having only recently taken the lead back from PCAR. Wall Street currently favors PCAR on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support JPM, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
PACCAR Inc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors JPM over PCAR, 53 versus 45 as of Oct 31, 2026. JPM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while PCAR holds the stronger value profile. JPM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors PCAR. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. JPM lead: Reversed — PCAR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; JPM now leads by 8.
Compare JPMorgan Chase & Co. and PACCAR Inc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JPM and PCAR against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum61 vs 24JPM +37
- Value44 vs 55PCAR +11
- Quality46 vs 39JPM +7
- Risk Resilience69 vs 73PCAR +4
3 of 6 evidence groups favor JPM. JPM’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; PCAR keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2
New signals
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -11
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
JPM's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JPM and PCAR both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
PCAR (PACCAR Inc): the counter-case, on value, risk resilience, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 22.3% against 13%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
JPMJPM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
PCARPCAR on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
PCARPCAR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points.
Momentum
JPMJPM on the Momentum factor, by 37 points.
Lower downside
PCARPCAR on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
PCARPCAR on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors JPM, analyst targets favor PCAR. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | JPM | PCAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +10.7% | +29.9% | PCAR has more room |
| Target dispersion | +32.2% | +23.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 6 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | JPM | PCAR |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.04% | 9.12% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.600 | $0.853 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $5.550 | $1.320 |
| Years increased | 5 | 5 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #120 | not ranked |
PCAR grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 9.12% a year against JPM's 9.04%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor JPM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | JPM | 53 vs 45 |
| Fundamentals | JPMon balance | revenue growth -7.6% vs 21.1%; EPS growth -27.6% vs 24.3%; TTM ROE 17.9% vs 12.7%; gross margin 63.2% vs 14.9%; operating margin 28.2% vs 9.8% — JPM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | PCAR | Value 44 vs 55 |
| Technicals | JPM | Price vs 50-day -2% vs -12%; vs 200-day 5.2% vs -13.8% |
| Risk Resilience | PCAR | Risk Resilience 69 vs 73 |
| Analyst expectations | PCAR | Target upside 10.7% vs 29.9% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JPM and PCAR and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on JPM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28JPM lead: Reversed — PCAR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; JPM now leads by 8.
- Today
- JPM +8
- 53 vs 45
- 7 sessions ago
- JPM +1
- 50 vs 49
- 30 sessions ago
- PCAR +2
- 44 vs 46
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 52 vs 52
The lead changed hands 10 times in this window, most recently on Oct 19 when JPM moved ahead of PCAR.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.57%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted
Only PCAR
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (3.81%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
JPM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -1.9%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -0.37%, AIQ -3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PCAR closes the Momentum gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge.
- 2PCAR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3JPM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
JPM leads on balance| Metric | JPM | PCAR |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | 21.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.6% | 24.3% |
| Gross margin | 63.2% | 14.9% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 9.8% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.9% | 12.7% |
| Debt to equity | 3.32 | 0.72 |
Performance
JPM leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | JPM | PCAR |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | -7% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 2.6% | -6.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.3% | -21.3% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.7% | -13.3% |
| Year to date | 5.3% | -3.4% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.9% | 3.5% |
Technicals
JPM has the stronger structure| Metric | JPM | PCAR |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 60.9 | 28.3 |
| ADX (14) | 15 | 51.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2% | -12% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.2% | -13.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13% | 22.3% |
Risk
PCAR is the more resilient| Metric | JPM | PCAR |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.73 | 0.9 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.41 | 0.11 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.56 | 0.19 |
| Max drawdown | -15.5% | -25.9% |
| Current drawdown | -7.1% | -25.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 22% | 26.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -2.3% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JPM or PCAR?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, JPM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 53 against PCAR's 45. The edge comes from momentum and quality. PCAR is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JPM or PCAR the better buy right now?
JPM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor JPM over PCAR?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Momentum by 37 points; PCAR leads Value by 11 points; JPM leads Quality by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JPM or PCAR?
Analyst price targets imply +10.7% upside for JPM and +29.9% for PCAR, so the Street currently favors PCAR. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors JPM. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JPM or PCAR?
PCAR is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. PCAR on the peer-relative Value factor, by 11 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JPM or PCAR?
PCAR on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JPM or PCAR?
JPM on the Momentum factor, by 37 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JPM or PCAR?
PCAR is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. PCAR on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JPM more profitable than PCAR?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 63.2% vs 14.9%; operating margin 28.2% vs 9.8%; ttm roe 17.9% vs 12.7%.
Is JPM's lead over PCAR getting stronger or weaker?
JPM lead: Reversed — PCAR led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; JPM now leads by 8. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 10 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-19, when JPM moved ahead of PCAR.
What would change the JPM vs PCAR verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: PCAR closes the Momentum gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to JPM's edge; PCAR's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; JPM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JPM and PCAR?
JPM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. PCAR: 2 bullish / 4 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JPM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On PCAR it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JPM and PCAR with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.