JPM vs YUMC Stock Comparison
YUMC currently leads JPM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 56 vs 52. The clearest difference is momentum, while JPM has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between JPM and YUMC?
YUMC leads the current stock comparison as Yum China Holdings, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
JPMorgan Chase & Co. vs Yum China Holdings, Inc.
YUMC leads
YUMC leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 1 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support YUMC, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Yum China Holdings, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors YUMC over JPM, 56 versus 52 as of Oct 21, 2026. YUMC's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while JPM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. YUMC also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor YUMC today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. YUMC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Yum China Holdings, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare JPM and YUMC against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience68 vs 48JPM +20
- Momentum58 vs 74YUMC +16
- Value44 vs 51YUMC +7
- Quality46 vs 49Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor YUMC. YUMC’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; JPM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
No factor moved materially.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
YUMC's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — JPM and YUMC both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
YUMC (Yum China Holdings, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
JPM (JPMorgan Chase & Co.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
YUMCYUMC on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
YUMCYUMC on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
YUMCYUMC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
YUMCYUMC on the Momentum factor, by 16 points.
Lower downside
JPMJPM on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
YUMCYUMC on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | JPM | YUMC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.3% | +32.7% | YUMC has more room |
| Target dispersion | +32.2% | 0% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 11 | 1 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | JPM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 9.04% | 31.95% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.600 | $0.240 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $5.550 | $0.960 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #120 | not ranked |
YUMC grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 31.95% a year against JPM's 9.04%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window. They are ranked in different cohorts — US dividend-paying corporations and variable-dividend payers — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor YUMC. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | YUMC | 52 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | Even | revenue growth -7.6% vs -4.1%; EPS growth -27.6% vs -20.5%; TTM ROE 17.9% vs 17.8%; gross margin 63.2% vs 17.2%; operating margin 28.2% vs 12.2% |
| Valuation | YUMC | Value 44 vs 51 |
| Technicals | JPM | Price vs 50-day -3.4% vs 1.5%; vs 200-day 4% vs -3.9% |
| Risk Resilience | JPM | Risk Resilience 68 vs 48 |
| Analyst expectations | YUMC | Target upside 11.3% vs 32.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of JPM and YUMC and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on YUMC.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20YUMC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- YUMC +4
- 52 vs 56
- 7 sessions ago
- YUMC +9
- 47 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- YUMC +1
- 43 vs 44
- 90 sessions ago
- YUMC +1
- 53 vs 54
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Aug 26 when JPM moved ahead of YUMC.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only JPM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.65%)
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only YUMC
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (7.17%)
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bullish Crossover.
YUMC leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.02%, AIQ +3 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.42%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to YUMC's edge.
- 2JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active.
- 3YUMC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | JPM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -7.6% | -4.1% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -27.6% | -20.5% |
| Gross margin | 63.2% | 17.2% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 12.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 17.9% | 17.8% |
| Debt to equity | 3.32 | 0.43 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | JPM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 1.2% | 4.6% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.4% | 8.5% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -3.7% | 3.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 7.1% | -7% |
| Year to date | 4% | -5.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 12.3% | 4.2% |
Technicals
JPM has the stronger structure| Metric | JPM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 57.4 | 80.2 |
| ADX (14) | 20.5 | 27.8 |
| Price vs 50-day | -3.4% | 1.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 4% | -3.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 14.8% | 23.1% |
Risk
JPM is the more resilient| Metric | JPM | YUMC |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.75 | 0.27 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.47 | 0.09 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.66 | 0.15 |
| Max drawdown | -15.5% | -31% |
| Current drawdown | -8.2% | -22.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 22.2% | 25.4% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -2.4% | -2.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, JPM or YUMC?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, YUMC is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 56 against JPM's 52. The edge comes from momentum and value. JPM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is JPM or YUMC the better buy right now?
YUMC carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor YUMC over JPM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. JPM leads Risk Resilience by 20 points; YUMC leads Momentum by 16 points; YUMC leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, JPM or YUMC?
Analyst price targets imply +11.3% upside for JPM and +32.7% for YUMC, so the Street currently favors YUMC. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, JPM or YUMC?
YUMC is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. YUMC on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, JPM or YUMC?
YUMC on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, JPM or YUMC?
YUMC on the Momentum factor, by 16 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, JPM or YUMC?
JPM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. JPM on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is JPM more profitable than YUMC?
JPM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 63.2% vs 17.2%; operating margin 28.2% vs 12.2%; ttm roe 17.9% vs 17.8%.
Is YUMC's lead over JPM getting stronger or weaker?
YUMC lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 1 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-26, when JPM moved ahead of YUMC.
What would change the JPM vs YUMC verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: JPM closes the Momentum gap — currently 16 points behind, the largest single contributor to YUMC's edge; JPM generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish or Uptrend Structure Active; YUMC's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about JPM and YUMC?
JPM: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. YUMC: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on JPM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On YUMC it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare JPM and YUMC with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.