MARO vs TSM Stock Comparison

TSM currently leads MARO in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 58 vs 27. The clearest difference is risk resilience, while MARO has the stronger momentum profile.

Market data as of Oct 21, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 31 points
MARO
Alternatives
vs
TSM
Technology
MARO
YieldMax MARA Option Income Strategy ETF
Price
$2.62
Day move
+3.15%
AIQ Score
27/100
Best edge
Momentum
Sector
Alternatives
TSM
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Leads
Price
$432
Day move
+1.6%
AIQ Score
58/100
Best edge
Risk Resilience
Sector
Technology

What is the main difference between MARO and TSM?

TSM leads the current stock comparison as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

YieldMax MARA Option Income Strategy ETF vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Data as of Oct 21, 2026· market close· TSM (stock) vs MARO (ETF)· Coverage 60/66 fields· 41/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 9/10

TSM leads

TSM leads by 31 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality, but the lead has narrowed from 42 points over 30 sessions.

Competitive: 3 of 3 evidence groups support TSM, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 3Comparison trend: Weakening
MARO

YieldMax MARA Option Income Strategy ETF

AIQ Score
27/100
AIQ Edge Score
1/10
TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Leads
AIQ Score
58/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSM over MARO, 58 versus 27 as of Oct 21, 2026. TSM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while MARO holds the stronger momentum profile. TSM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor TSM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 42 to 31 points over 30 sessions.

Compare YieldMax MARA Option Income Strategy ETF and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.

MARO
-71.7%
TSM
+126.3%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

MARO $2,827 · TSM $22,633

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

Compare MARO and TSM against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

MARO advantage
0
TSM advantage
  • Risk Resilience1 vs 67
    TSM +66
  • Quality42 vs 98
    TSM +56
  • Momentum25 vs 21
    MARO +4

3 of 3 evidence groups favor TSM. TSM’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; MARO keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.

MARO0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 8 active signals are unchanged.

TSM+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +3

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.

TSM's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MARO and TSM both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.

MARO (YieldMax MARA Option Income Strategy ETF): the counter-case, on momentum — but at materially higher volatility, 47.8% against 28.8%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

TSM

TSM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

Even

The two are level on Value.

Momentum

MARO

MARO on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.

Lower downside

TSM

TSM on Risk Resilience, by 66 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureMAROTSMNote
Implied upside to target—+36.4%Level
Target dispersion—+34%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
Consensus—BuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering—7Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor TSM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreTSM27 vs 58
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationNot coveredNot covered
TechnicalsTSMPrice vs 50-day -33% vs -0.6%; vs 200-day -54.7% vs 7.3%
Risk ResilienceTSMRisk Resilience 1 vs 67
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of MARO and TSM and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 31 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • 3 of 3 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSM.

How the comparison changed

45 daily snapshots · Sep 6 – Oct 20

TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 42 to 31 points over 30 sessions.

Sep 6MARO leads above the line · TSM leads belowOct 20
Today
TSM +31
27 vs 58
7 sessions ago
TSM +29
27 vs 56
30 sessions ago
TSM +42
30 vs 72
90 sessions ago
Not covered

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

MAROConflicted

1 bullish / 5 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted

Only MARO

  • Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (43.32%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (8.92%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
  • 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (0.0%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
TSMConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

Only TSM

  • Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (9.68%)

Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.

TSM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

MARONo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +3.15%, AIQ 0 points).

TSMConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.6%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1MARO closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 66 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge.
  2. 2MARO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 11 points over 30 sessions, and a further 31-point move would eliminate TSM's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricMAROTSM
Revenue growth (YoY)—17.6%
EPS growth (YoY)—8%
Gross margin—65.8%
Operating margin—57.9%
Return on equity (TTM)—41.2%
Debt to equity—0.14

Performance

TSM leads 6 of 6 windows
MetricMAROTSM
1 week (5 sessions)-18.1%-4.5%
1 month (20 sessions)-44.9%-6%
3 months (63 sessions)-51.8%0.9%
6 months (126 sessions)-59.7%15.5%
Year to date-63.2%39.9%
1 year (252 sessions)-86%41.8%

Technicals

TSM has the stronger structure
MetricMAROTSM
RSI (14)5.836.7
ADX (14)30.721.6
Price vs 50-day-33%-0.6%
Price vs 200-day-54.7%7.3%
Volatility (1M, annualized)47.8%28.8%

Risk

TSM is the more resilient
MetricMAROTSM
Beta2.82.11
Sharpe ratio-2.591.04
Sortino ratio-3.91.66
Max drawdown-86.6%-21.6%
Current drawdown-86.3%-12.5%
Annualized volatility67.7%38.9%
Value at risk (95%)-7.7%-3.8%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, MARO or TSM?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 58 against MARO's 27. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. MARO is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is MARO or TSM the better buy right now?

TSM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 3 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor TSM over MARO?

The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSM leads Risk Resilience by 66 points; TSM leads Quality by 56 points; MARO leads Momentum by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, MARO or TSM?

Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for MARO and +36.4% for TSM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, MARO or TSM?

Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, MARO or TSM?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, MARO or TSM?

MARO on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, MARO or TSM?

TSM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TSM on Risk Resilience, by 66 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is MARO more profitable than TSM?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is TSM's lead over MARO getting stronger or weaker?

TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 42 to 31 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 45 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-09-06 and 2026-10-20. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the MARO vs TSM verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: MARO closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 66 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge; MARO's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; the narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 11 points over 30 sessions, and a further 31-point move would eliminate TSM's advantage entirely.

What do the current signals say about MARO and TSM?

MARO: 1 bullish / 5 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. TSM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MARO is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.