MSI vs TSM Stock Comparison
Compare MSI vs TSM on performance, valuation, growth, fundamentals, momentum and risk; the current AIQ evidence does not show a clear headline leader.
What is the main difference between MSI and TSM?
MSI and TSM are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Motorola Solutions, Inc. vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
MSI and TSM are effectively level
MSI and TSM are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Motorola Solutions, Inc.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate MSI and TSM as of Oct 31, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.
Compare Motorola Solutions, Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare MSI and TSM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum91 vs 52MSI +39
- Quality62 vs 98TSM +36
- Value51 vs 45MSI +6
- Risk Resilience63 vs 65Even
Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 7 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
MSI's lead narrowed by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — MSI and TSM both carry a full feed there.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
EvenNeither separates on the overall score.
Growth
MSIMSI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
MSIMSI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.
Momentum
MSIMSI on the Momentum factor, by 39 points.
Lower downside
MSIMSI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TSMTSM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | MSI | TSM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +7% | +45% | TSM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +14.1% | +34% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 7 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | MSI | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 11.24% | 15.29% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $2.630 | $1.360 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $4.480 | $2.769 |
| Years increased | 5 | 4 |
| No cut in window | Yes | No (1) |
| Cohort rank | #72 | not ranked |
TSM grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 15.29% a year against MSI's 11.24%. MSI never reduced its regular dividend in the window; TSM did in 1 year.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 66 vs 66 |
| Fundamentals | TSMon balance | revenue growth 15.4% vs 17.6%; EPS growth 52% vs 8%; TTM ROE 85.8% vs 41.2%; gross margin 50% vs 65.8%; operating margin 25% vs 57.9% — TSM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | MSI | Value 51 vs 45 |
| Technicals | MSI | Price vs 50-day 5.6% vs -6.6%; vs 200-day 10.2% vs 10.1% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 63 vs 65 |
| Analyst expectations | TSM | Target upside 7% vs 45% |
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 0 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28TSM lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 22 to 0 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- Level
- 66 vs 66
- 7 sessions ago
- MSI +9
- 66 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- TSM +22
- 52 vs 74
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +1
- 61 vs 62
The lead changed hands 8 times in this window, most recently on Oct 19 when MSI moved ahead of TSM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only MSI
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (2.1%)
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only TSM
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, Uptrend Structure Active.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.11%, AIQ 0 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -5.95%, AIQ +3 points).
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TSM leads on balance| Metric | MSI | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 52% | 8% |
| Gross margin | 50% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 25% | 57.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 85.8% | 41.2% |
| Debt to equity | 3.6 | 0.14 |
Performance
MSI leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | MSI | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 8.4% | -3.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 12.2% | 9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 12.5% | 11.6% |
| Year to date | 26.1% | 44.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 9.3% | 49% |
Technicals
MSI has the stronger structure| Metric | MSI | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 82.9 | 41.8 |
| ADX (14) | 25.5 | 19.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | 5.6% | -6.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 10.2% | 10.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 14.9% | 35.7% |
Risk
Split| Metric | MSI | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.13 | 2.14 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.34 | 1.06 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.45 | 1.68 |
| Max drawdown | -21% | -21.6% |
| Current drawdown | -1.6% | -9.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 25.8% | 39.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -4.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which has more analyst upside, MSI or TSM?
Analyst price targets imply +7% upside for MSI and +45% for TSM, so the Street currently favors TSM. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, MSI or TSM?
MSI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. MSI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, MSI or TSM?
MSI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, MSI or TSM?
MSI on the Momentum factor, by 39 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, MSI or TSM?
MSI is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. MSI carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is MSI more profitable than TSM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 50% vs 65.8%; operating margin 25% vs 57.9%; ttm roe 85.8% vs 41.2%. MSI leads on one measure and TSM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
What do the current signals say about MSI and TSM?
MSI: 6 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. TSM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on MSI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare MSI and TSM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.