NCLH vs QQQ Stock Comparison
Compare NCLH and QQQ across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between NCLH and QQQ?
QQQ leads the current stock comparison as Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1, with the clearest separation coming from risk resilience and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. vs Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
QQQ leads
QQQ leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality.
Stable: 3 of 4 evidence groups support QQQ.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors QQQ over NCLH, 59 versus 45 as of Sep 6, 2026. QQQ's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while NCLH holds the stronger value profile. QQQ also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability.
Compare Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. and Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare NCLH and QQQ against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Risk Resilience15%20 vs 75QQQ +55
- Value30%70 vs 30NCLH +40
- Quality30%51 vs 83QQQ +32
- Momentum25%24 vs 54QQQ +30
3 of 4 evidence groups favor QQQ. QQQ’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; NCLH keeps a meaningful value edge.
The central trade-off
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.
NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.): the counter-case, on value, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 36.7% against 12.9%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
QQQQQQ on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
NCLHNCLH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 40 points.
Momentum
QQQQQQ on the Momentum factor, by 30 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 55 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | NCLH | QQQ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +33.3% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +149.4% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 13 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | QQQ | 45 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | NCLH | Value 70 vs 30 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day -17% vs 1.1%; vs 200-day -21.5% vs 9.3% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 20 vs 75 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of NCLH and QQQ and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on QQQ.
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1NCLH closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 55 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge.
- 2NCLH generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3QQQ starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | NCLH | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.3% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 108.7% | — |
| Gross margin | 42.5% | — |
| Operating margin | 15.1% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 32.3% | — |
| Debt to equity | 5.84 | — |
Performance
QQQ leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | NCLH | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -6.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -19.1% | -0.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -17% | 2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -22.3% | 19.9% |
| Year to date | -30.2% | 17% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -38.6% | 26.1% |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | NCLH | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 17.3 | 42.1 |
| ADX (14) | 25.4 | 10.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -17% | 1.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -21.5% | 9.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 36.7% | 12.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, NCLH or QQQ?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, QQQ is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 59 against NCLH's 45. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. NCLH is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is NCLH or QQQ the better buy right now?
QQQ carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.
Why does the AIQ Score favor QQQ over NCLH?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. QQQ leads Risk Resilience by 55 points; NCLH leads Value by 40 points; QQQ leads Quality by 32 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, NCLH or QQQ?
Analyst price targets imply +33.3% upside for NCLH and not covered for QQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, NCLH or QQQ?
NCLH is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NCLH on the peer-relative Value factor, by 40 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, NCLH or QQQ?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, NCLH or QQQ?
QQQ on the Momentum factor, by 30 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, NCLH or QQQ?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 55 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is NCLH more profitable than QQQ?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
What would change the NCLH vs QQQ verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: NCLH closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 55 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge; NCLH generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; QQQ starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.