ODFL vs QQQ Stock Comparison
ODFL currently leads QQQ in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 51. The clearest difference is momentum, while QQQ has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between ODFL and QQQ?
ODFL leads the current stock comparison as Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. vs Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
ODFL leads
ODFL leads by 10 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.
Fragile: 1 of 4 evidence groups support ODFL, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ODFL over QQQ, 61 versus 51 as of Oct 21, 2026. ODFL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while QQQ holds the stronger quality profile. ODFL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor ODFL today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. ODFL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 15 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ODFL now leads by 10.
Compare Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. and Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare ODFL and QQQ against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum78 vs 21ODFL +57
- Quality69 vs 82QQQ +13
- Value32 vs 35Even
- Risk Resilience72 vs 72Even
1 of 4 evidence groups favor ODFL. ODFL’s edge is concentrated in momentum; QQQ keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +17
New signals
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
ODFL's lead widened by 6 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — ODFL and QQQ both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ODFL (Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on quality, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ODFLODFL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
ODFLODFL on the Momentum factor, by 57 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | ODFL | QQQ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +21.8% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +27.4% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 4 covered evidence groups favor ODFL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ODFL | 61 vs 51 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | Even | Value 32 vs 35 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day 0.4% vs -0.2%; vs 200-day -6.4% vs 6.2% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 72 vs 72 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of ODFL and QQQ and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 10 points.
- Only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ODFL.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20ODFL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 15 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ODFL now leads by 10.
- Today
- ODFL +10
- 61 vs 51
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 57 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +15
- 50 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- QQQ +18
- 49 vs 67
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jul 30 when QQQ moved ahead of ODFL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only ODFL
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (6.99%)
- RSI Overbought — bearish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only QQQ
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.50%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
ODFL leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.3%, AIQ +5 points).
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.05%, AIQ -1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 57 points behind, the largest single contributor to ODFL's edge.
- 2QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3ODFL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | ODFL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 16.4% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 47.4% | — |
| Gross margin | 31.7% | — |
| Operating margin | 25.8% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 24.9% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0 | — |
Performance
ODFL leads 4 of 6 windows| Metric | ODFL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | 2.8% | -3.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 6.2% | -4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -19.1% | 1.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -15.5% | 11.4% |
| Year to date | 20.1% | 16.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 36.4% | 19.6% |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | ODFL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 75.5 | 37.2 |
| ADX (14) | 30.3 | 20.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.4% | -0.2% |
| Price vs 200-day | -6.4% | 6.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 23.3% | 15.4% |
Risk
Split| Metric | ODFL | QQQ |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.93 | 1.45 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.91 | 0.77 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Max drawdown | -30.4% | -12.2% |
| Current drawdown | -24.3% | -5.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 37.7% | 19.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -1.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, ODFL or QQQ?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ODFL is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 61 against QQQ's 51. The edge comes from momentum. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is ODFL or QQQ the better buy right now?
ODFL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 1 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ODFL over QQQ?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. ODFL leads Momentum by 57 points; QQQ leads Quality by 13 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, ODFL or QQQ?
Analyst price targets imply +21.8% upside for ODFL and not covered for QQQ. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, ODFL or QQQ?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, ODFL or QQQ?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, ODFL or QQQ?
ODFL on the Momentum factor, by 57 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, ODFL or QQQ?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is ODFL more profitable than QQQ?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is ODFL's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?
ODFL lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 15 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; ODFL now leads by 10. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-07-30, when QQQ moved ahead of ODFL.
What would change the ODFL vs QQQ verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 57 points behind, the largest single contributor to ODFL's edge; QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; ODFL's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about ODFL and QQQ?
ODFL: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. QQQ: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on ODFL is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On QQQ it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.