OGN vs TSM Stock Comparison
OGN currently leads TSM in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 64 vs 58. The clearest difference is momentum, while TSM has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between OGN and TSM?
OGN leads the current stock comparison as Organon & Co., with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Organon & Co. vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
OGN leads
OGN leads by 6 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from TSM. Wall Street currently favors TSM on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support OGN, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Organon & Co.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors OGN over TSM, 64 versus 58 as of Oct 21, 2026. OGN's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while TSM holds the stronger quality profile. OGN also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TSM. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OGN today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. OGN lead: Reversed — TSM led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OGN now leads by 6.
Compare Organon & Co. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare OGN and TSM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality47 vs 98TSM +51
- Momentum69 vs 21OGN +48
- Value75 vs 45OGN +30
- Risk Resilience70 vs 67Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor OGN. OGN’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; TSM keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +6
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
OGN's lead was unchanged in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — OGN and TSM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
OGN (Organon & Co.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 28.8% against 3.3%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
OGNOGN on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TSMTSM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
OGNOGN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points.
Momentum
OGNOGN on the Momentum factor, by 48 points.
Lower downside
OGNOGN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
TSMTSM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors OGN, analyst targets favor TSM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | OGN | TSM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +1.8% | +36.4% | TSM has more room |
| Target dispersion | 0% | +34% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 1 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor OGN. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | OGN | 64 vs 58 |
| Fundamentals | TSM | revenue growth 6.7% vs 17.6%; EPS growth -25.5% vs 8%; TTM ROE 23.4% vs 41.2%; gross margin 53% vs 65.8%; operating margin 19.3% vs 57.9% |
| Valuation | OGN | Value 75 vs 45 |
| Technicals | OGN | Price vs 50-day 0.2% vs -0.6%; vs 200-day 22.2% vs 7.3% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 70 vs 67 |
| Analyst expectations | TSM | Target upside 1.8% vs 36.4% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of OGN and TSM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 6 points.
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on OGN.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20OGN lead: Reversed — TSM led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OGN now leads by 6.
- Today
- OGN +6
- 64 vs 58
- 7 sessions ago
- OGN +7
- 63 vs 56
- 30 sessions ago
- TSM +6
- 66 vs 72
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +4
- 67 vs 71
The lead changed hands 6 times in this window, most recently on Oct 14 when OGN moved ahead of TSM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only OGN
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (0.33%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (0.2%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
No signal that the other name lacks.
Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, MACD Bearish Crossover.
OGN leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.07%, AIQ +1 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.6%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to OGN's edge.
- 2TSM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3OGN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TSM leads on balance| Metric | OGN | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 6.7% | 17.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -25.5% | 8% |
| Gross margin | 53% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 19.3% | 57.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 23.4% | 41.2% |
| Debt to equity | 8.5 | 0.14 |
Performance
OGN leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | OGN | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.1% | -4.5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 0.4% | -6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 55.7% | 15.5% |
| Year to date | 91.9% | 39.9% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 46.7% | 41.8% |
Technicals
OGN has the stronger structure| Metric | OGN | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.8 | 36.7 |
| ADX (14) | 23.9 | 21.6 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.2% | -0.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 22.2% | 7.3% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 3.3% | 28.8% |
Risk
Split| Metric | OGN | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.55 | 2.11 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.85 | 1.04 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| Max drawdown | -41.6% | -21.6% |
| Current drawdown | -0.4% | -12.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 66.7% | 38.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, OGN or TSM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, OGN is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 64 against TSM's 58. The edge comes from momentum and value. TSM is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is OGN or TSM the better buy right now?
OGN carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor OGN over TSM?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSM leads Quality by 51 points; OGN leads Momentum by 48 points; OGN leads Value by 30 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, OGN or TSM?
Analyst price targets imply +1.8% upside for OGN and +36.4% for TSM, so the Street currently favors TSM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors OGN. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, OGN or TSM?
OGN is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. OGN on the peer-relative Value factor, by 30 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, OGN or TSM?
TSM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, OGN or TSM?
OGN on the Momentum factor, by 48 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, OGN or TSM?
OGN is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. OGN carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is OGN more profitable than TSM?
TSM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 53% vs 65.8%; operating margin 19.3% vs 57.9%; ttm roe 23.4% vs 41.2%.
Is OGN's lead over TSM getting stronger or weaker?
OGN lead: Reversed — TSM led by 6 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; OGN now leads by 6. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 6 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-14, when OGN moved ahead of TSM.
What would change the OGN vs TSM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to OGN's edge; TSM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; OGN's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about OGN and TSM?
OGN: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TSM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on OGN is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare OGN and TSM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.