PDBA vs SPY: Performance, Holdings, Fees & Risk
PDBA and SPY are ETFs, but they can differ materially in exposure, yield, fees and risk. PDBA is Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF, while SPY is State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Current AlgovestIQ evidence has SPY ahead on AIQ Score, 66 versus 53.
| Metric | PDBA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| Performance | ||
| 1Y return | +5.9% | +16.4% |
| YTD return | +10.7% | +12.8% |
| AlgovestIQ | ||
| AIQ Score | 53/100 | 66/100 |
| AIQ Edge Score | 5/10 | 9/10 |
| Momentum | 49/100 | 63/100 |
| Risk Resilience | 66/100 | 88/100 |
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF vs State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPY leads
SPY leads by 13 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.
Stable: 3 of 3 evidence groups support SPY.
Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over PDBA, 66 versus 53 as of Oct 21, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience. SPY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability.
Compare Invesco Agriculture Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF across performance, expense ratio, dividend yield, drawdown, volatility and the Algovestiq AIQ Score.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare PDBA and SPY against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality51 vs 84SPY +33
- Risk Resilience66 vs 88SPY +22
- Momentum49 vs 63SPY +14
3 of 3 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 3 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SPY | 53 vs 66 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | Not covered | Not covered |
| Technicals | SPY | Price vs 50-day -1.4% vs 0.6%; vs 200-day 3.3% vs 5.9% |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 66 vs 88 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of PDBA and SPY and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 13 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- 3 of 3 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1PDBA closes the Quality gap — currently 33 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
- 2PDBA generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3SPY starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Performance
SPY leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | PDBA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -0.2% | 2.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 3.9% | 9.2% |
| Year to date | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 5.9% | 16.4% |
Technicals
SPY has the stronger structure| Metric | PDBA | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 51.5 | 56.2 |
| ADX (14) | 14.1 | 12.5 |
| Price vs 50-day | -1.4% | 0.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 3.3% | 5.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 8.9% | 9% |
Compare PDBA and SPY with others
Continue your research
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How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.