QQQ vs AXP Stock Comparison
Compare QQQ and AXP across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between QQQ and AXP?
QQQ leads the current stock comparison as Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 vs American Express Company
QQQ leads
QQQ leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality.
Fragile: 2 of 4 evidence groups support QQQ, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
American Express Company
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors QQQ over AXP, 56 versus 49 as of Sep 11, 2026. QQQ's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while AXP holds the stronger value profile. QQQ also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. QQQ lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 and American Express Company across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare QQQ and AXP against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum45 vs 25QQQ +20
- Quality83 vs 68QQQ +15
- Value30 vs 39AXP +9
- Risk Resilience75 vs 73Even
2 of 4 evidence groups favor QQQ. QQQ’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; AXP keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-10, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-09.
Largest factor move: Momentum -17
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Momentum +4
No new signals fired.
QQQ's lead narrowed by 6 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — QQQ and AXP both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
AXP (American Express Company): the counter-case, on value, valuation.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
QQQQQQ on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
AXPAXP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points.
Momentum
QQQQQQ on the Momentum factor, by 20 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | QQQ | AXP | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +14.2% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +27% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | — | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | — | 11 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor QQQ. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | QQQ | 56 vs 49 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | AXP | Value 30 vs 39 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day 0.6% vs -4.6%; vs 200-day 7.5% vs -4.8% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 75 vs 73 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of QQQ and AXP and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
- Only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on QQQ.
How the comparison changed
119 daily snapshots · May 4 – Sep 10QQQ lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- QQQ +7
- 56 vs 49
- 7 sessions ago
- QQQ +9
- 59 vs 50
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +9
- 64 vs 55
- 90 sessions ago
- AXP +13
- 50 vs 63
The lead changed hands 8 times in this window, most recently on Aug 4 when QQQ moved ahead of AXP.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.75%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (1.27%)
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.07%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
QQQ leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.87%, AIQ -5 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +1.24%, AIQ +1 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1AXP closes the Momentum gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge.
- 2AXP's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3QQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | QQQ | AXP |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | 3.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | — | 6.1% |
| Gross margin | — | 84.3% |
| Operating margin | — | 27.2% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | — | 34.1% |
| Debt to equity | — | 1.72 |
Performance
QQQ leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | QQQ | AXP |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -2.1% | -6.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.2% | 2.4% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 16.6% | 4.8% |
| Year to date | 15.4% | -13.3% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 22.4% | -1.4% |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | QQQ | AXP |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.1 | 35 |
| ADX (14) | 9.8 | 15.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.6% | -4.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | 7.5% | -4.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 13% | 16.9% |
Risk
Split| Metric | QQQ | AXP |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.42 | 0.97 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.92 | -0.06 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.38 | -0.07 |
| Max drawdown | -12.2% | -24.1% |
| Current drawdown | -5% | -16.7% |
| Annualized volatility | 19.7% | 26.7% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -2.5% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, QQQ or AXP?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, QQQ is the stronger of the two as of Sep 11, 2026, scoring 56 against AXP's 49. The edge comes from momentum and quality. AXP is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is QQQ or AXP the better buy right now?
QQQ carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 11, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor QQQ over AXP?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. QQQ leads Momentum by 20 points; QQQ leads Quality by 15 points; AXP leads Value by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, QQQ or AXP?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for QQQ and +14.2% for AXP. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, QQQ or AXP?
AXP is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AXP on the peer-relative Value factor, by 9 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, QQQ or AXP?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, QQQ or AXP?
QQQ on the Momentum factor, by 20 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, QQQ or AXP?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is QQQ more profitable than AXP?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is QQQ's lead over AXP getting stronger or weaker?
QQQ lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 7 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 119 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-05-04 and 2026-09-10. The lead has changed hands 8 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-04, when QQQ moved ahead of AXP.
What would change the QQQ vs AXP verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: AXP closes the Momentum gap — currently 20 points behind, the largest single contributor to QQQ's edge; AXP's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; QQQ's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about QQQ and AXP?
QQQ: 2 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. AXP: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on QQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On AXP it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.