QQQ vs UMBF Stock Comparison
UMBF currently leads QQQ in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 59 vs 51. The clearest difference is momentum, while QQQ has the stronger quality profile.
What is the main difference between QQQ and UMBF?
UMBF leads the current stock comparison as UMB Financial Corporation, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 vs UMB Financial Corporation
UMBF leads
UMBF leads by 8 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, having only recently taken the lead back from QQQ.
Fragile: 2 of 4 evidence groups support UMBF, the lead recently changed hands, and its signal state is cleanly positive.
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
UMB Financial Corporation
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors UMBF over QQQ, 59 versus 51 as of Oct 21, 2026. UMBF's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while QQQ holds the stronger quality profile. UMBF also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor UMBF today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. UMBF lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; UMBF now leads by 8.
Compare Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 and UMB Financial Corporation across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare QQQ and UMBF against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum21 vs 57UMBF +36
- Value35 vs 56UMBF +21
- Quality82 vs 62QQQ +20
- Risk Resilience72 vs 60QQQ +12
2 of 4 evidence groups favor UMBF. UMBF’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; QQQ keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum -2
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +19
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
UMBF's lead widened by 6 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — QQQ and UMBF both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
UMBF (UMB Financial Corporation): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1): the counter-case, on quality, risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
UMBFUMBF on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
UMBFUMBF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points.
Momentum
UMBFUMBF on the Momentum factor, by 36 points.
Lower downside
QQQQQQ on Risk Resilience, by 12 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | QQQ | UMBF | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +22.1% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +31.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | — | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | — | 10 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor UMBF. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | UMBF | 51 vs 59 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | UMBF | Value 35 vs 56 |
| Technicals | QQQ | Price vs 50-day -0.2% vs -3.7%; vs 200-day 6.2% vs 1.8% |
| Risk Resilience | QQQ | Risk Resilience 72 vs 60 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of QQQ and UMBF and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is moderate at 8 points.
- Only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on UMBF.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20UMBF lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; UMBF now leads by 8.
- Today
- UMBF +8
- 51 vs 59
- 7 sessions ago
- QQQ +2
- 57 vs 55
- 30 sessions ago
- QQQ +13
- 65 vs 52
- 90 sessions ago
- QQQ +3
- 67 vs 64
The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Oct 19 when UMBF moved ahead of QQQ.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted
Only QQQ
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
2 bullish / 0 bearish
Only UMBF
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active.
QQQ is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.05%, AIQ -1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 5 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.14%, AIQ +5 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to UMBF's edge.
- 2QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3UMBF's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | QQQ | UMBF |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | 28.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | — | 6.5% |
| Gross margin | — | 58.5% |
| Operating margin | — | 22.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | — | 12.2% |
| Debt to equity | — | 0.44 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | QQQ | UMBF |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -3.5% | 2.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -4% | -0.8% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 1.7% | -5.5% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Year to date | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 19.6% | 23.9% |
Technicals
QQQ has the stronger structure| Metric | QQQ | UMBF |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 37.2 | 58.2 |
| ADX (14) | 20.3 | 29.4 |
| Price vs 50-day | -0.2% | -3.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 15.4% | 19.9% |
Risk
QQQ is the more resilient| Metric | QQQ | UMBF |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.45 | 0.68 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.2 | 1.21 |
| Max drawdown | -12.2% | -18.9% |
| Current drawdown | -5.5% | -12.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 19.9% | 24.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.9% | -2.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, QQQ or UMBF?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, UMBF is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 59 against QQQ's 51. The edge comes from momentum and value. QQQ is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is QQQ or UMBF the better buy right now?
UMBF carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor UMBF over QQQ?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. UMBF leads Momentum by 36 points; UMBF leads Value by 21 points; QQQ leads Quality by 20 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, QQQ or UMBF?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for QQQ and +22.1% for UMBF. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, QQQ or UMBF?
UMBF is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. UMBF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, QQQ or UMBF?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, QQQ or UMBF?
UMBF on the Momentum factor, by 36 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, QQQ or UMBF?
QQQ is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. QQQ on Risk Resilience, by 12 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is QQQ more profitable than UMBF?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is UMBF's lead over QQQ getting stronger or weaker?
UMBF lead: Reversed — QQQ led by 13 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; UMBF now leads by 8. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands once in that window, most recently on 2026-10-19, when UMBF moved ahead of QQQ.
What would change the QQQ vs UMBF verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: QQQ closes the Momentum gap — currently 36 points behind, the largest single contributor to UMBF's edge; QQQ's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; UMBF's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about QQQ and UMBF?
QQQ: 1 bullish / 2 bearish, conflicted. UMBF: 2 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on QQQ is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On UMBF it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.