RDDT vs TSM Stock Comparison
TSM currently leads RDDT in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 66 vs 45. The clearest difference is momentum.
What is the main difference between RDDT and TSM?
TSM leads the current stock comparison as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Reddit, Inc. vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSM leads
TSM leads by 21 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience. Wall Street currently favors RDDT on target upside.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support TSM, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Reddit, Inc.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSM over RDDT, 66 versus 45 as of Oct 31, 2026. TSM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience. TSM also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors RDDT. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 21 points over 30 sessions. TSM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.
Compare Reddit, Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare RDDT and TSM against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum18 vs 52TSM +34
- Risk Resilience41 vs 65TSM +24
- Value24 vs 45TSM +21
- Quality89 vs 98TSM +9
4 of 6 evidence groups favor TSM. TSM’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-28, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-27.
Largest factor move: Momentum -5
New signals
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 3 active signals are unchanged.
TSM's lead widened by 4 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — RDDT and TSM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.
RDDT (Reddit, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 47.8% against 35.7%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
TSMTSM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
RDDTRDDT on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
TSMTSM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points.
Momentum
TSMTSM on the Momentum factor, by 34 points.
Lower downside
TSMTSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points.
Analyst upside
RDDTRDDT on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors TSM, analyst targets favor RDDT. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | RDDT | TSM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +122.4% | +45% | RDDT has more room |
| Target dispersion | +60.3% | +34% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 18 | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor TSM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | TSM | 45 vs 66 |
| Fundamentals | RDDTon balance | revenue growth 21.3% vs 17.6%; EPS growth 22.4% vs 8%; TTM ROE 29% vs 41.2%; gross margin 91.4% vs 65.8%; operating margin 28.2% vs 57.9% — RDDT takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | TSM | Value 24 vs 45 |
| Technicals | TSM | Price vs 50-day -39.6% vs -6.6%; vs 200-day -16.2% vs 10.1% |
| Risk Resilience | TSM | Risk Resilience 41 vs 65 |
| Analyst expectations | RDDT | Target upside 122.4% vs 45% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of RDDT and TSM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 21 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSM.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 29 – Oct 28TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 21 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- TSM +21
- 45 vs 66
- 7 sessions ago
- TSM +8
- 49 vs 57
- 30 sessions ago
- TSM +23
- 51 vs 74
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +11
- 51 vs 62
The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Jul 22 when TSM moved ahead of RDDT.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only RDDT
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (5.81%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.57%)
- BB Lower Band Breach — bullish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only TSM
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (8.88%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.
TSM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved down over the latest session (price -29.22%, AIQ -1 points).
Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 3 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -5.95%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1RDDT closes the Momentum gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge.
- 2RDDT's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
RDDT leads on balance| Metric | RDDT | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 22.4% | 8% |
| Gross margin | 91.4% | 65.8% |
| Operating margin | 28.2% | 57.9% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 29% | 41.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.01 | 0.14 |
Performance
TSM leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | RDDT | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -12.1% | 1.8% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -5.4% | -3.7% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -24.3% | 9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -8.8% | 11.6% |
| Year to date | -41.4% | 44.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -37.1% | 49% |
Technicals
TSM has the stronger structure| Metric | RDDT | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 28.8 | 41.8 |
| ADX (14) | 12.2 | 19.9 |
| Price vs 50-day | -39.6% | -6.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -16.2% | 10.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 47.8% | 35.7% |
Risk
TSM is the more resilient| Metric | RDDT | TSM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.98 | 2.14 |
| Sharpe ratio | -0.36 | 1.06 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.58 | 1.68 |
| Max drawdown | -52.9% | -21.6% |
| Current drawdown | -48% | -9.5% |
| Annualized volatility | 69.9% | 39.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -6.8% | -4.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, RDDT or TSM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSM is the stronger of the two as of Oct 31, 2026, scoring 66 against RDDT's 45. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is RDDT or TSM the better buy right now?
TSM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 31, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor TSM over RDDT?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TSM leads Momentum by 34 points; TSM leads Risk Resilience by 24 points; TSM leads Value by 21 points. TSM leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by RDDT simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.
Which has more analyst upside, RDDT or TSM?
Analyst price targets imply +122.4% upside for RDDT and +45% for TSM, so the Street currently favors RDDT. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors TSM. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, RDDT or TSM?
TSM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TSM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 21 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, RDDT or TSM?
RDDT on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, RDDT or TSM?
TSM on the Momentum factor, by 34 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, RDDT or TSM?
TSM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is RDDT more profitable than TSM?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 91.4% vs 65.8%; operating margin 28.2% vs 57.9%; ttm roe 29% vs 41.2%. RDDT leads on one measure and TSM on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is TSM's lead over RDDT getting stronger or weaker?
TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 21 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-29 and 2026-10-28. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-22, when TSM moved ahead of RDDT.
What would change the RDDT vs TSM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: RDDT closes the Momentum gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge; RDDT's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about RDDT and TSM?
RDDT: 2 bullish / 4 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TSM: 2 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on RDDT is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare RDDT and TSM with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.