TSM vs SCHD Stock Comparison
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited vs Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
SCHD leads
SCHD leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value, and the lead has widened from 0 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 4 of 4 evidence groups support SCHD, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SCHD over TSM, 66 versus 62 as of Sep 5, 2026. SCHD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while TSM holds the stronger quality profile. SCHD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SCHD today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. SCHD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited and Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Compare TSM and SCHD against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%42 vs 71SCHD +29
- Quality30%96 vs 76TSM +20
- Value30%42 vs 49SCHD +7
- Risk Resilience15%69 vs 74SCHD +5
4 of 4 evidence groups favor SCHD. SCHD’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; TSM keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-03, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-02.
Largest factor move: Momentum +3
No new signals fired.
Largest factor move: Value -1
No new signals fired.
SCHD's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSM and SCHD both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the counter-case, on quality — but at materially higher volatility, 24.3% against 9.3%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SCHDSCHD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
SCHDSCHD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points.
Momentum
SCHDSCHD on the Momentum factor, by 29 points.
Lower downside
SCHDSCHD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TSM | SCHD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +35.1% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +38% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SCHD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SCHD | 62 vs 66 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | SCHD | Value 42 vs 49 |
| Technicals | SCHD | Price vs 50-day 2% vs 3.7%; vs 200-day 12.1% vs 12.8% |
| Risk Resilience | SCHD | Risk Resilience 69 vs 74 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSM and SCHD and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- 4 of 4 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SCHD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 22 – Sep 3SCHD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SCHD +4
- 62 vs 66
- 7 sessions ago
- SCHD +5
- 62 vs 67
- 30 sessions ago
- Level
- 68 vs 68
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +9
- 68 vs 59
The lead changed hands 12 times in this window, most recently on Jul 7 when SCHD moved ahead of TSM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (13.02%)
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (7.95%)
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
SCHD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.85%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.8%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to SCHD's edge.
- 2TSM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it.
- 3SCHD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | TSM | SCHD |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 22.1% | — |
| Gross margin | 64.2% | — |
| Operating margin | 56% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 39.3% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.15 | — |
Technicals
SCHD has the stronger structure| Metric | TSM | SCHD |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.6 | 61.3 |
| ADX (14) | 7.6 | 34.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | 2% | 3.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12.1% | 12.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 24.3% | 9.3% |
Risk
SCHD is the more resilient| Metric | TSM | SCHD |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.18 | 0.24 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.57 | 1.88 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.52 | 3.61 |
| Max drawdown | -21.6% | -4.6% |
| Current drawdown | -12.7% | -0.4% |
| Annualized volatility | 40.4% | 11% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.1% | -0.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSM or SCHD?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SCHD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 66 against TSM's 62. The edge comes from momentum and value. TSM is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSM or SCHD the better buy right now?
SCHD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SCHD over TSM?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SCHD leads Momentum by 29 points; TSM leads Quality by 20 points; SCHD leads Value by 7 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSM or SCHD?
Analyst price targets imply +35.1% upside for TSM and not covered for SCHD. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSM or SCHD?
SCHD is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SCHD on the peer-relative Value factor, by 7 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSM or SCHD?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSM or SCHD?
SCHD on the Momentum factor, by 29 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSM or SCHD?
SCHD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SCHD on Risk Resilience, by 5 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSM more profitable than SCHD?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is SCHD's lead over TSM getting stronger or weaker?
SCHD lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 0 to 4 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-22 and 2026-09-03. The lead has changed hands 12 times in that window, most recently on 2026-07-07, when SCHD moved ahead of TSM.
What would change the TSM vs SCHD verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 29 points behind, the largest single contributor to SCHD's edge; TSM's MACD Bearish Crossover resolves — a bearish momentum rule currently active against it; SCHD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TSM and SCHD?
TSM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. SCHD: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SCHD it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.