SMCI vs SNOW Stock Comparison
Super Micro Computer, Inc. vs Snowflake Inc.
SMCI leads
SMCI leads by 21 AIQ points, primarily on Value and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 8 points over 30 sessions.
Competitive: 4 of 6 evidence groups support SMCI, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
Snowflake Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SMCI over SNOW, 60 versus 39 as of Sep 2, 2026. SMCI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value and momentum, while SNOW holds the stronger risk resilience profile. SMCI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 21 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Super Micro Computer, Inc. and Snowflake Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value30%72 vs 24SMCI +48
- Momentum25%73 vs 52SMCI +21
- Quality30%51 vs 39SMCI +12
- Risk Resilience15%35 vs 46SNOW +11
4 of 6 evidence groups favor SMCI. SMCI’s edge is concentrated in value and momentum; SNOW keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
SMCI's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SMCI and SNOW both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SMCI (Super Micro Computer, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value and momentum.
SNOW (Snowflake Inc.): the counter-case, on risk resilience, technicals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SMCISMCI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
SMCISMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
SMCISMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 48 points.
Momentum
SMCISMCI on the Momentum factor, by 21 points.
Lower downside
SNOWSNOW on Risk Resilience, by 11 points.
Analyst upside
SMCISMCI on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | SMCI | SNOW | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +11.8% | -0.6% | SMCI has more room |
| Target dispersion | +44.3% | +98.7% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Hold | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 9 | 22 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
4 of 6 covered evidence groups favor SMCI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | SMCI | 60 vs 39 |
| Fundamentals | SMCIon balance | revenue growth 8.6% vs 8.3%; EPS growth 133.3% vs 4.4%; ROE 24.9% vs -57.2%; gross margin 10.8% vs 67.1%; operating margin 7.1% vs -26.1% — SMCI takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | SMCI | Value 72 vs 24 |
| Technicals | SNOW | Price vs 50-day 16% vs 5.7%; vs 200-day 19% vs 52.4% |
| Risk Resilience | SNOW | Risk Resilience 35 vs 46 |
| Analyst expectations | SMCI | Target upside 11.8% vs -0.6% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SMCI and SNOW and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 21 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SMCI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 21 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SMCI +21
- 60 vs 39
- 7 sessions ago
- SMCI +23
- 61 vs 38
- 30 sessions ago
- SMCI +8
- 56 vs 48
- 90 sessions ago
- SMCI +10
- 49 vs 39
The lead has not changed hands in this window.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (0.04%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (32.92%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (2.7%)
SMCI leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.99%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -4.41%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1SNOW closes the Value gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge.
- 2SNOW generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
SMCI leads on balance| Metric | SMCI | SNOW |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 133.3% | 4.4% |
| Gross margin | 10.8% | 67.1% |
| Operating margin | 7.1% | -26.1% |
| Return on equity | 24.9% | -57.2% |
| Debt to equity | 0.6 | 1.43 |
Technicals
SNOW has the stronger structure| Metric | SMCI | SNOW |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 63.3 | 48.1 |
| ADX (14) | 25.2 | 28.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 16% | 5.7% |
| Price vs 200-day | 19% | 52.4% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 95.9% | 32.8% |
Risk
SNOW is the more resilient| Metric | SMCI | SNOW |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.75 | 1.23 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.25 | 0.74 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.34 | 1.28 |
| Max drawdown | -65% | -56.3% |
| Current drawdown | -36.5% | -1.8% |
| Annualized volatility | 91.6% | 62.9% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -7.5% | -4.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SMCI or SNOW?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SMCI is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 60 against SNOW's 39. The edge comes from value and momentum. SNOW is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SMCI or SNOW the better buy right now?
SMCI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 4 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SMCI over SNOW?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. SMCI leads Value by 48 points; SMCI leads Momentum by 21 points; SMCI leads Quality by 12 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SMCI or SNOW?
Analyst price targets imply +11.8% upside for SMCI and -0.6% for SNOW, so the Street currently favors SMCI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SMCI or SNOW?
SMCI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SMCI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 48 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SMCI or SNOW?
SMCI on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SMCI or SNOW?
SMCI on the Momentum factor, by 21 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SMCI or SNOW?
SNOW is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SNOW on Risk Resilience, by 11 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SMCI more profitable than SNOW?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 10.8% vs 67.1%; operating margin 7.1% vs -26.1%; roe 24.9% vs -57.2%. SMCI leads on two measures and SNOW on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is SMCI's lead over SNOW getting stronger or weaker?
SMCI lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 8 to 21 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has not changed hands in that window.
What would change the SMCI vs SNOW verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SNOW closes the Value gap — currently 48 points behind, the largest single contributor to SMCI's edge; SNOW generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; SMCI's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 3 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SMCI and SNOW?
SMCI: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. SNOW: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SMCI is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SNOW it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare SMCI and SNOW with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.