SPY vs SYF Stock Comparison

Compare SPY vs SYF on performance, valuation, growth, fundamentals, momentum and risk; the current AIQ evidence does not show a clear headline leader.

Market data as of Oct 31, 2026 market close· AIQ score gap 0 points
SPY
Equity
vs
SYF
Financial Services
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Price
$756
Day move
-1.77%
AIQ Score
65/100
Best edge
Quality
Sector
Equity
SYF
Synchrony Financial
Price
$75.35
Day move
-2.1%
AIQ Score
65/100
Best edge
Value
Sector
Financial Services

What is the main difference between SPY and SYF?

SPY and SYF are close on the current AIQ evidence, so the better fit depends more on objective, risk tolerance and valuation preference than on a single headline score.

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF vs Synchrony Financial

Data as of Oct 31, 2026· market close· SYF (stock) vs SPY (ETF)· Coverage 65/66 fields· 42/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 1/10

SPY and SYF are effectively level

SPY and SYF are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Evidence agreement: 0 of 4Comparison trend: Weakening
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

AIQ Score
65/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10
SYF

Synchrony Financial

AIQ Score
65/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate SPY and SYF as of Oct 31, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Compare State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Synchrony Financial across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.

SPY
+79.5%
SYF
+76.9%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

SPY $17,952 · SYF $17,693

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

Compare SPY and SYF against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

SPY advantage
0
SYF advantage
  • Value41 vs 68
    SYF +27
  • Quality83 vs 58
    SPY +25
  • Risk Resilience87 vs 65
    SPY +22
  • Momentum59 vs 68
    SYF +9

Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-30, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-29.

SPY0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Quality -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 6 active signals are unchanged.

SYF0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SPY and SYF both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

Even

Neither separates on the overall score.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

SYF

SYF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points.

Momentum

SYF

SYF on the Momentum factor, by 9 points.

Lower downside

SPY

SPY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureSPYSYFNote
Implied upside to target—+17.7%Level
Target dispersion—+29.3%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
Consensus—BuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering—14Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven65 vs 65
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationSYFValue 41 vs 68
TechnicalsEvenPrice vs 50-day -1.6% vs 0.3%; vs 200-day 6.1% vs 2.4%
Risk ResilienceSPYRisk Resilience 87 vs 65
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • Only 0 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Jul 1 – Oct 30

SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 10 to 0 points over 30 sessions.

Jul 1SPY leads above the line · SYF leads belowOct 30
Today
Level
65 vs 65
7 sessions ago
Level
59 vs 59
30 sessions ago
SPY +10
68 vs 58
90 sessions ago
SYF +2
64 vs 66

The lead changed hands 15 times in this window, most recently on Oct 27 when SPY moved ahead of SYF.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

SPYConflicted

3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted

Only SPY

  • ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (0.90%)
  • EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.1%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
SYF

3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

Only SYF

  • Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon

Both carry 2 more signals that do not separate them: Golden Cross Active, Uptrend Structure Active.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

SPYNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.77%, AIQ 0 points).

SYFNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -2.1%, AIQ 0 points).

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricSPYSYF
Revenue growth (YoY)—2.2%
EPS growth (YoY)—3.8%
Gross margin—51.7%
Operating margin—23.1%
Return on equity (TTM)—20%
Debt to equity—1.03

Performance

SPY leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricSPYSYF
1 week (5 sessions)-0.1%1.7%
1 month (20 sessions)1.3%6.2%
3 months (63 sessions)4.1%-2.3%
6 months (126 sessions)8.5%0.3%
Year to date13.3%-9.7%
1 year (252 sessions)14%0.7%

Technicals

Split
MetricSPYSYF
RSI (14)48.656.5
ADX (14)1414.9
Price vs 50-day-1.6%0.3%
Price vs 200-day6.1%2.4%
Volatility (1M, annualized)10%22.1%

Risk

SPY is the more resilient
MetricSPYSYF
Beta11.18
Sharpe ratio0.680.06
Sortino ratio1.040.07
Max drawdown-9.1%-27.9%
Current drawdown-0.9%-14.8%
Annualized volatility12.7%31.2%
Value at risk (95%)-1.4%-3%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which has more analyst upside, SPY or SYF?

Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for SPY and +17.7% for SYF. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, SPY or SYF?

SYF is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SYF on the peer-relative Value factor, by 27 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, SPY or SYF?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, SPY or SYF?

SYF on the Momentum factor, by 9 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, SPY or SYF?

SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 22 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is SPY more profitable than SYF?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What do the current signals say about SPY and SYF?

SPY: 3 bullish / 1 bearish / 2 neutral, conflicted. SYF: 3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SPY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On SYF it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.