SPY vs VGIT: Performance, Holdings, Fees & Risk

SPY and VGIT are ETFs, but they can differ materially in exposure, yield, fees and risk. SPY is State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, while VGIT is Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF. SPY is broader by holdings count, with 505 positions versus 106 for VGIT. SPY is more concentrated at the top, based on top-10 holdings weight. Current AlgovestIQ evidence has SPY ahead on AIQ Score, 66 versus 59.

Market data as of Oct 21, 2026 market close· Fund characteristics as of Oct 21, 2026
SPY
SPDR
vs
VGIT
Vanguard
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
Issuer
SPDR
Inception
1993-01-22
VGIT
Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF
Issuer
Vanguard
Inception
2009-11-19

What is the main difference between SPY and VGIT?

VGIT puts 100% of its assets in Government, while SPY spreads across 11 sectors with none above 38%.

Expense ratio
SPY
0.09%
VGIT
0.03%
Lower annual fund costVGIT
Holdings
SPY
505
VGIT
106
Broader reported basketSPY
1Y return
SPY
+16.4%
VGIT
-5.8%
Trailing performanceSPY
Annualized volatility
SPY
12.8%
VGIT
3.6%
Lower realized volatilityVGIT
MetricSPYVGIT
Fund
Expense ratio0.09%0.03%
Holdings505106
Top-10 concentration38.2%18.6%
Distribution yieldTrailing 12 months0.99%4.02%
Average volume46,698,7054,545,069
Performance
1Y return+16.4%-5.8%
YTD return+12.8%-4.8%
5Y annualized returnTotal return, distributions reinvested+12.6%-0.1%
Risk
Annualized volatility12.8%3.6%
Max drawdown (1Y)-9.1%-7%
Max drawdown (5Y)Total return, distributions reinvested-24.5%-13.7%
Beta1.000.09
Sharpe ratio0.91-2.65
Sortino ratio1.39-3.76
AlgovestIQ
AIQ Score66/10059/100
AIQ Edge Score9/107/10
Momentum63/10057/100
Risk Resilience88/10087/100

AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF vs Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Data as of Oct 21, 2026· market close· Coverage 64/66 fields· High confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 5/10

SPY leads

SPY leads by 7 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, but the lead has narrowed from 15 points over 30 sessions.

Fragile: 3 of 4 evidence groups support SPY, its lead is narrowing, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Weakening
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
66/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10
VGIT

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

AIQ Score
59/100
AIQ Edge Score
7/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over VGIT, 66 versus 59 as of Oct 21, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. SPY also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the leader's advantage has been narrowing. SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 7 points over 30 sessions.

Compare State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF across performance, expense ratio, dividend yield, drawdown, volatility and the Algovestiq AIQ Score.

SPY vs VGIT: which fits what

Each row is settled by a single measure. Where the gap is too small to matter it reads Similar, and no row decides the comparison as a whole.

If you wantSPYVGITFits
Lower costExpense ratio0.09%0.03%VGIT
Broader diversificationNumber of holdings505106SPY
Lower concentrationWeight of the 10 largest holdings38.2%18.6%VGIT
Higher incomeTrailing 12-month distribution yield0.99%4.02%VGIT
Smaller drawdownsMax drawdown, 5 years-24.5%-13.7%VGIT
Lower volatilityAnnualized volatility, 1 year12.8%3.6%VGIT

Similar means the gap is within 0.01 percentage points of expense ratio, 25% more holdings, 3 points of top-10 weight, 0.2 points of yield, 2 points of drawdown or 1 point of volatility. Past drawdowns and volatility describe the funds’ history, not their future.

Currently unavailable

Performance over time

Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes for both ETFs.

SPY
+80.5%
VGIT
-0.4%

Total return comparison

Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested

SPY $18,052 · VGIT $9,957

Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.

Compare SPY and VGIT against another ticker

Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.

Basic: 2 symbols·Explorer: 3 symbols·Pro and Premium: 5 symbols·Your limit: 2

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

SPY advantage
0
VGIT advantage
  • Quality84 vs 70
    SPY +14
  • Momentum63 vs 57
    SPY +6
  • Value41 vs 36
    SPY +5
  • Risk Resilience88 vs 87
    Even

3 of 4 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.

SPY+4 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +16

New signals

  • Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
VGIT+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +3

No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.

SPY's lead widened by 3 AIQ points in the latest session.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SPY and VGIT both carry a full feed there.

Fund facts, side by side

Two funds tracking overlapping universes are separated by cost and risk far more than by holdings. Those lead here.

MeasureSPYVGITWhy it matters
Expense ratio0.09%0.03%Lower is better — it compounds against you every year you hold.
Holdings505106More holdings means broader diversification, not better returns.
Average volume46,698,7054,545,069Liquidity — matters most if you trade size.
Annualized volatility12.8%3.6%Lower is a steadier ride for the same exposure.
Max drawdown (1Y)-9.1%-7%The worst peak-to-trough loss over the past year.
Sharpe ratio0.91-2.65Return per unit of risk. Higher is better.
Beta1.000.09Sensitivity to the broad market. Neither direction is better — it depends on the role in your portfolio.

Where the exposure actually sits

Sector exposure for each fund, ordered by the size of the difference.

Technology38.4% vs 0.0%
Financial Services11.7% vs 0.0%
Communication Services9.8% vs 0.0%
Healthcare9.6% vs 0.0%
Consumer Cyclical8.8% vs 0.0%
Industrials8.0% vs 0.0%
Consumer Defensive4.7% vs 0.0%
Energy3.6% vs 0.0%
SPYVGIT

How much of the same holdings they own

SPY and VGIT share 0% of their weighted exposure across 0 common holdings.

504 holdings are unique to SPY, and 103 holdings are unique to VGIT. Owning both is genuinely additive — most of the capital sits in different securities.

SPY is the more concentrated of the two: its ten largest positions are 38.17% of the fund, against 18.61% for VGIT (505 holdings vs 106). Concentration cuts both ways — it is what drives outperformance when the top names work, and what makes the drawdown deeper when they do not.

What SPY adds that VGIT doesn’t

HoldingSPYVGIT
NVDANVIDIA CORP8.08%Not held
AAPLAPPLE INC7.33%Not held
MSFTMICROSOFT CORP5.59%Not held
AMZNAMAZON.COM INC3.77%Not held
GOOGLALPHABET INC CL A2.98%Not held
AVGOBROADCOM INC2.61%Not held

What VGIT adds that SPY doesn’t

HoldingVGITSPY
United States Treasury Note/Bond 4.63% 02/15/20351.94%Not held
United States Treasury Note/Bond 4.38% 05/15/20341.91%Not held
United States Treasury Note/Bond 4.25% 11/15/20341.9%Not held
United States Treasury Note/Bond 3.88% 08/15/20341.86%Not held
United States Treasury Note/Bond 4.38% 05/15/20361.85%Not held
United States Treasury Note/Bond 4.13% 02/15/20361.84%Not held

Each list is a fund’s largest positions by weight that the other fund does not hold, or holds at less than half the weight.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreSPY66 vs 59
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationSPYValue 41 vs 36
TechnicalsSPYPrice vs 50-day 0.6% vs -0.8%; vs 200-day 5.9% vs -3.1%
Risk ResilienceEvenRisk Resilience 88 vs 87
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SPY and VGIT and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 7 points.
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20

SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 15 to 7 points over 30 sessions.

Jun 21SPY leads above the line · VGIT leads belowOct 20
Today
SPY +7
66 vs 59
7 sessions ago
SPY +9
66 vs 57
30 sessions ago
SPY +15
66 vs 51
90 sessions ago
SPY +16
70 vs 54

The lead changed hands once in this window, most recently on Jun 30 when SPY moved ahead of VGIT.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

SPYConflicted

4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

Only SPY

  • Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.84%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.2%)
  • Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
  • MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
VGITConflicted

1 bullish / 3 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

Only VGIT

  • Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (2.37%)
  • 52-Week Low Proximity — bearish, risk, long horizon (1.1%)
  • Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
  • MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon

Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: ATR Contraction - Coiling.

SPY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

SPYConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.53%, AIQ +4 points).

VGITNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.05%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1VGIT closes the Quality gap — currently 14 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
  2. 2VGIT's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
  3. 3SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4The narrowing continues — the lead has already given back 8 points over 30 sessions, and a further 7-point move would eliminate SPY's advantage entirely.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Performance

SPY leads 4 of 6 windows
MetricSPYVGIT
1 week (5 sessions)-1.2%0.5%
1 month (20 sessions)-0.6%-0.5%
3 months (63 sessions)2.9%-2.2%
6 months (126 sessions)9.2%-4.2%
Year to date12.8%-4.8%
1 year (252 sessions)16.4%-5.8%

Technicals

SPY has the stronger structure
MetricSPYVGIT
RSI (14)56.268.1
ADX (14)12.533.4
Price vs 50-day0.6%-0.8%
Price vs 200-day5.9%-3.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)9%4.2%

Risk

Split
MetricSPYVGIT
Beta10.09
Sharpe ratio0.91-2.65
Sortino ratio1.39-3.76
Max drawdown-9.1%-7%
Current drawdown-1.3%-6.1%
Annualized volatility12.8%3.6%
Value at risk (95%)-1.4%-0.4%

Straight answers

Short answers to the questions fund investors ask about this pair, from the figures above.

What is the difference between SPY and VGIT?

VGIT puts 100% of its assets in Government, while SPY spreads across 11 sectors with none above 38%.

How much do SPY and VGIT overlap?

SPY and VGIT share 0% of their weighted exposure across 0 common holdings. 504 holdings are unique to SPY, and 103 holdings are unique to VGIT. Owning both is genuinely additive — most of the capital sits in different securities.

Which ETF is more diversified, SPY or VGIT?

SPY holds more positions: 505 versus 106 for VGIT.

Which has the lower expense ratio?

VGIT has the lower expense ratio, 0.03% a year against 0.09% for SPY.

Which ETF has the higher distribution yield?

VGIT, with a trailing 12-month distribution yield of 4.02% against 0.99% for SPY.

Which ETF has been more volatile?

SPY has been more volatile over the past year, at 12.8% annualized against 3.6% for VGIT.

Which ETF has had the smaller drawdown?

VGIT fell less from peak to trough over the past five years: -13.7% against -24.5% for SPY.

Compare SPY and VGIT with others

Continue your research

This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.