SSO vs TSM Stock Comparison

ProShares - Ultra S&P500 vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· TSM (stock) vs SSO (ETF)· Coverage 54/66 fields· 30/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 6/10

TSM leads

TSM leads by 11 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.

Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support TSM, and its current signal state is conflicted.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Stable
SSO

ProShares - Ultra S&P500

AIQ Score
51/100
AIQ Edge Score
4/10
TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

Leads
AIQ Score
62/100
AIQ Edge Score
8/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors TSM over SSO, 62 versus 51 as of Sep 5, 2026. TSM's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while SSO holds the stronger momentum profile. TSM also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor TSM today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: the leader is throwing conflicting signals. TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions.

Compare ProShares - Ultra S&P500 and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

SSO advantage
0
TSM advantage
  • Quality30%62 vs 96
    TSM +34
  • Risk Resilience15%45 vs 69
    TSM +24
  • Momentum25%57 vs 42
    SSO +15
  • Value30%37 vs 42
    TSM +5

3 of 4 evidence groups favor TSM. TSM’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; SSO keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-03, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-02.

SSO+2 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +9

New signals

  • 52-Week High Proximity bullish, risk, long horizon (1.7%)
TSM+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +3

No new signals fired.

TSM's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SSO and TSM both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.

SSO (ProShares - Ultra S&P500): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

TSM

TSM on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

TSM

TSM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points.

Momentum

SSO

SSO on the Momentum factor, by 15 points.

Lower downside

TSM

TSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureSSOTSMNote
Implied upside to target+35.1%Level
Target dispersion+38%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering6Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor TSM. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreTSM51 vs 62
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationTSMValue 37 vs 42
TechnicalsSSOPrice vs 50-day 3% vs 2%; vs 200-day 15% vs 12.1%
Risk ResilienceTSMRisk Resilience 45 vs 69
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SSO and TSM and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is moderate at 11 points.
  • The lead has been steady session to session. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on TSM.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 22 Sep 3

TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 22SSO leads above the line · TSM leads belowSep 3
Today
TSM +11
51 vs 62
7 sessions ago
TSM +12
50 vs 62
30 sessions ago
TSM +13
55 vs 68
90 sessions ago
TSM +17
51 vs 68

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

SSOConflicted

4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (10.74%)
  • Bollinger Band Squeeze neutral, volatility, short horizon
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
TSMConflicted

1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (13.02%)
  • MACD Bearish Crossover bearish, momentum, short horizon

TSM leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

SSODivergence

Price is down while the AIQ Score moved up 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price -0.8%, AIQ +2 points).

TSMConfirmed strength

Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2.85%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1SSO closes the Quality gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge.
  2. 2SSO's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricSSOTSM
Revenue growth (YoY)12%
EPS growth (YoY)22.1%
Gross margin64.2%
Operating margin56%
Return on equity (TTM)39.3%
Debt to equity0.15

Technicals

SSO has the stronger structure
MetricSSOTSM
RSI (14)45.543.6
ADX (14)137.6
Price vs 50-day3%2%
Price vs 200-day15%12.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)16.5%24.3%

Risk

TSM is the more resilient
MetricSSOTSM
Beta1.992.18
Sharpe ratio1.191.57
Sortino ratio1.72.52
Max drawdown-18.3%-21.6%
Current drawdown-1.6%-12.7%
Annualized volatility25.6%40.4%
Value at risk (95%)-2.8%-4.1%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, SSO or TSM?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, TSM is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 62 against SSO's 51. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. SSO is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is SSO or TSM the better buy right now?

TSM carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor TSM over SSO?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. TSM leads Quality by 34 points; TSM leads Risk Resilience by 24 points; SSO leads Momentum by 15 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, SSO or TSM?

Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for SSO and +35.1% for TSM. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, SSO or TSM?

TSM is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TSM on the peer-relative Value factor, by 5 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, SSO or TSM?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, SSO or TSM?

SSO on the Momentum factor, by 15 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, SSO or TSM?

TSM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is SSO more profitable than TSM?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is TSM's lead over SSO getting stronger or weaker?

TSM lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 11 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-22 and 2026-09-03. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the SSO vs TSM verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: SSO closes the Quality gap — currently 34 points behind, the largest single contributor to TSM's edge; SSO's Bollinger Band Squeeze turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; TSM's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about SSO and TSM?

SSO: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TSM: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SSO is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TSM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.