SPY vs TEL Stock Comparison
SPY currently leads TEL in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 66 vs 65. The clearest difference is quality, while TEL has the stronger value profile.
What is the main difference between SPY and TEL?
SPY leads the current stock comparison as State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF, with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF vs TE Connectivity plc
SPY leads
SPY leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Risk Resilience.
Fragile: 2 of 4 evidence groups support SPY, and its current signal state is conflicted.
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
TE Connectivity plc
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors SPY over TEL, 66 versus 65 as of Oct 21, 2026. SPY's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and risk resilience, while TEL holds the stronger value profile. SPY also shows the weaker technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. SPY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
Compare State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF and TE Connectivity plc across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare SPY and TEL against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value41 vs 67TEL +26
- Quality84 vs 63SPY +21
- Risk Resilience88 vs 68SPY +20
- Momentum63 vs 62Even
2 of 4 evidence groups favor SPY. SPY’s edge is concentrated in quality and risk resilience; TEL keeps a meaningful value edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +16
New signals
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
Largest factor move: Momentum +10
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 2 active signals are unchanged.
SPY's lead widened by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SPY and TEL both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and risk resilience.
TEL (TE Connectivity plc): the counter-case, on value, valuation — but at materially higher volatility, 22.6% against 9%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
SPYSPY on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
TELTEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
SPYSPY on Risk Resilience, by 20 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | SPY | TEL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | — | +16.8% | Level |
| Target dispersion | — | +32% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | — | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | — | 7 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor SPY. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 66 vs 65 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | TEL | Value 41 vs 67 |
| Technicals | SPY | Price vs 50-day 0.6% vs 1.8%; vs 200-day 5.9% vs 0.1% |
| Risk Resilience | SPY | Risk Resilience 88 vs 68 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of SPY and TEL and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on SPY.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20SPY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- SPY +1
- 66 vs 65
- 7 sessions ago
- SPY +5
- 66 vs 61
- 30 sessions ago
- SPY +1
- 66 vs 65
- 90 sessions ago
- SPY +7
- 70 vs 63
The lead changed hands 12 times in this window, most recently on Oct 5 when SPY moved ahead of TEL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only SPY
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (5.84%)
- ATR Contraction - Coiling — neutral, volatility, short horizon (0.92%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- 52-Week High Proximity — bullish, risk, long horizon (1.2%)
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish
Only TEL
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.50%)
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.
SPY leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.53%, AIQ +4 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +0.2%, AIQ +3 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TEL closes the Quality gap — currently 21 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge.
- 2TEL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it.
- 3SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | SPY | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | — | 8.8% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | — | -12% |
| Gross margin | — | 35.4% |
| Operating margin | — | 19.1% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | — | 23.2% |
| Debt to equity | — | 0.43 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | SPY | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -1.2% | -1% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | 2.9% | 6.7% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 9.2% | -12.1% |
| Year to date | 12.8% | -6.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 16.4% | -4.7% |
Technicals
SPY has the stronger structure| Metric | SPY | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 56.2 | 53.9 |
| ADX (14) | 12.5 | 14.3 |
| Price vs 50-day | 0.6% | 1.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 5.9% | 0.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 9% | 22.6% |
Risk
SPY is the more resilient| Metric | SPY | TEL |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1 | 1.6 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.91 | -0.05 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.39 | -0.07 |
| Max drawdown | -9.1% | -21.4% |
| Current drawdown | -1.3% | -14.2% |
| Annualized volatility | 12.8% | 35.3% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -1.4% | -3.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, SPY or TEL?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, SPY is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 66 against TEL's 65. The edge comes from quality and risk resilience. TEL is not without a case — it holds the better value profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is SPY or TEL the better buy right now?
SPY carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor SPY over TEL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. TEL leads Value by 26 points; SPY leads Quality by 21 points; SPY leads Risk Resilience by 20 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, SPY or TEL?
Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for SPY and +16.8% for TEL. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, SPY or TEL?
TEL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. TEL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 26 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, SPY or TEL?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, SPY or TEL?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, SPY or TEL?
SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 20 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is SPY more profitable than TEL?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
Is SPY's lead over TEL getting stronger or weaker?
SPY lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 1 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 12 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-05, when SPY moved ahead of TEL.
What would change the SPY vs TEL verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TEL closes the Quality gap — currently 21 points behind, the largest single contributor to SPY's edge; TEL's Death Cross Active resolves — a bearish trend rule currently active against it; SPY's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 4 bullish and 1 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about SPY and TEL?
SPY: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. TEL: 0 bullish / 2 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SPY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On TEL it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.