TSM vs ADBE Stock Comparison
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited vs Adobe Inc.
ADBE leads
ADBE leads by 14 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Value. Wall Street currently favors TSM on target upside.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support ADBE, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Adobe Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors ADBE over TSM, 75 versus 61 as of Sep 2, 2026. ADBE's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and value, while TSM holds the stronger risk resilience profile. ADBE also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors TSM. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADBE today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. ADBE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions.
Compare Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited and Adobe Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%45 vs 82ADBE +37
- Value30%38 vs 70ADBE +32
- Risk Resilience15%67 vs 43TSM +24
- Quality30%96 vs 91TSM +5
3 of 6 evidence groups favor ADBE. ADBE’s edge is concentrated in momentum and value; TSM keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
ADBE's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TSM and ADBE both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
ADBE (Adobe Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and value.
TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
ADBEADBE on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
TSMTSM on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
ADBEADBE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points.
Momentum
ADBEADBE on the Momentum factor, by 37 points.
Lower downside
TSMTSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points.
Analyst upside
TSMTSM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors ADBE, analyst targets favor TSM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | TSM | ADBE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +40.2% | -2.8% | TSM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +38% | +93.6% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Hold | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 6 | 19 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor ADBE. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | ADBE | 61 vs 75 |
| Fundamentals | TSMon balance | revenue growth 12% vs 3.4%; EPS growth 22.1% vs -7.6%; ROE 39.3% vs 62.4%; gross margin 64.2% vs 89.1%; operating margin 56% vs 36.1% — TSM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | ADBE | Value 38 vs 70 |
| Technicals | ADBE | Price vs 50-day -2.2% vs 16.8%; vs 200-day 12.2% vs 8.2% |
| Risk Resilience | TSM | Risk Resilience 67 vs 43 |
| Analyst expectations | TSM | Target upside 40.2% vs -2.8% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TSM and ADBE and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 14 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on ADBE.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1ADBE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- ADBE +14
- 61 vs 75
- 7 sessions ago
- ADBE +6
- 67 vs 73
- 30 sessions ago
- ADBE +12
- 62 vs 74
- 90 sessions ago
- TSM +5
- 63 vs 58
The lead changed hands 11 times in this window, most recently on Aug 17 when TSM moved ahead of ADBE.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (14.14%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- EMA Ribbon Compression — neutral, trend, medium horizon
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (11.09%)
- BB Upper Band Breach — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- Keltner Channel Breakout — bullish, volatility, short horizon
ADBE leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.18%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.18%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADBE's edge.
- 2TSM's EMA Ribbon Compression turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
- 3ADBE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TSM leads on balance| Metric | TSM | ADBE |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12% | 3.4% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 22.1% | -7.6% |
| Gross margin | 64.2% | 89.1% |
| Operating margin | 56% | 36.1% |
| Return on equity | 39.3% | 62.4% |
| Debt to equity | 0.15 | 0.61 |
Technicals
ADBE has the stronger structure| Metric | TSM | ADBE |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 45.8 | 68.6 |
| ADX (14) | 8.2 | 26 |
| Price vs 50-day | -2.2% | 16.8% |
| Price vs 200-day | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.1% | 40.4% |
Risk
TSM is the more resilient| Metric | TSM | ADBE |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.21 | 0.31 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.48 | -0.38 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.4 | -0.56 |
| Max drawdown | -21.6% | -47.4% |
| Current drawdown | -13% | -20.3% |
| Annualized volatility | 40.6% | 39.5% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.1% | -4.1% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TSM or ADBE?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, ADBE is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 75 against TSM's 61. The edge comes from momentum and value. TSM is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TSM or ADBE the better buy right now?
ADBE carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor ADBE over TSM?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. ADBE leads Momentum by 37 points; ADBE leads Value by 32 points; TSM leads Risk Resilience by 24 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TSM or ADBE?
Analyst price targets imply +40.2% upside for TSM and -2.8% for ADBE, so the Street currently favors TSM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors ADBE. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TSM or ADBE?
ADBE is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. ADBE on the peer-relative Value factor, by 32 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TSM or ADBE?
TSM on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TSM or ADBE?
ADBE on the Momentum factor, by 37 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TSM or ADBE?
TSM is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TSM on Risk Resilience, by 24 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TSM more profitable than ADBE?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 64.2% vs 89.1%; operating margin 56% vs 36.1%; roe 39.3% vs 62.4%. TSM leads on one measure and ADBE on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is ADBE's lead over TSM getting stronger or weaker?
ADBE lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 14 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 11 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-17, when TSM moved ahead of ADBE.
What would change the TSM vs ADBE verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TSM closes the Momentum gap — currently 37 points behind, the largest single contributor to ADBE's edge; TSM's EMA Ribbon Compression turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; ADBE's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 2 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TSM and ADBE?
TSM: 3 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. ADBE: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TSM is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ADBE it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare TSM and ADBE with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.