TXN vs NXPI Stock Comparison
NXPI currently leads TXN in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 61 vs 57. The clearest difference is value, while TXN has the stronger risk resilience profile.
What is the main difference between TXN and NXPI?
NXPI leads the current stock comparison as NXP Semiconductors N.V., with the clearest separation coming from value and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Texas Instruments Incorporated vs NXP Semiconductors N.V.
NXPI leads
NXPI leads by 4 AIQ points, primarily on Value, having only recently taken the lead back from TXN.
Fragile: 2 of 6 evidence groups support NXPI, and the lead recently changed hands.
Texas Instruments Incorporated
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors NXPI over TXN, 61 versus 57 as of Oct 21, 2026. NXPI's advantage is driven primarily by stronger value, while TXN holds the stronger risk resilience profile. NXPI also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. NXPI lead: Reversed — TXN led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 4.
Compare Texas Instruments Incorporated and NXP Semiconductors N.V. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Total return with distributions reinvested, from daily closes.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000, distributions reinvested
Split-adjusted closes; each distribution is reinvested at the close on its ex-dividend date. Taxes and trading costs are not modeled.
Compare TXN and NXPI against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Value35 vs 66NXPI +31
- Risk Resilience62 vs 44TXN +18
- Quality80 vs 69TXN +11
- Momentum54 vs 55Even
2 of 6 evidence groups favor NXPI. NXPI’s edge is concentrated in value; TXN keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +2, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum +8
New signals
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.53%)
NXPI's lead widened by 2 AIQ points in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — TXN and NXPI both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
NXPI (NXP Semiconductors N.V.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by value.
TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated): the counter-case, on risk resilience, quality, fundamentals.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
NXPINXPI on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
TXNTXN on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
NXPINXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 31 points.
Momentum
EvenThe two are level on Momentum.
Lower downside
TXNTXN on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | TXN | NXPI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +16% | +16.7% | Level |
| Target dispersion | +54.5% | +52.3% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 15 | 8 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Dividend growth
| Dividend metric | TXN | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| 5Y dividend CAGR | 8.13% | 22.01% |
| 2020 regular DPS | $3.720 | $1.500 |
| 2025 regular DPS | $5.500 | $4.056 |
| Years increased | 5 | 3 |
| No cut in window | Yes | Yes |
| Cohort rank | #143 | not ranked |
NXPI grew its split-adjusted regular dividend faster over 2020–2025 — 22.01% a year against TXN's 8.13%. Neither company reduced its regular dividend in any year of the window. They are ranked in different cohorts — US dividend-paying corporations and variable-dividend payers — so their ranks are not comparable with each other.
Yield and payout ratio shown elsewhere on this page are current values, not part of the study window.
Split-adjusted regular dividends per share, 2020–2025, excluding special dividends. Research as of Sep 19, 2026.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 6 covered evidence groups favor NXPI. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | NXPI | 57 vs 61 |
| Fundamentals | TXN | revenue growth 13.2% vs 9.9%; EPS growth 25.9% vs -31.5%; TTM ROE 35.8% vs 28%; gross margin 58.3% vs 55.9%; operating margin 37.3% vs 28.7% |
| Valuation | NXPI | Value 35 vs 66 |
| Technicals | TXN | Price vs 50-day 4.6% vs 5.3%; vs 200-day 8.8% vs -3.5% |
| Risk Resilience | TXN | Risk Resilience 62 vs 44 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 16% vs 16.7% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of TXN and NXPI and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on NXPI.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20NXPI lead: Reversed — TXN led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 4.
- Today
- NXPI +4
- 57 vs 61
- 7 sessions ago
- TXN +1
- 59 vs 58
- 30 sessions ago
- TXN +2
- 66 vs 64
- 90 sessions ago
- TXN +2
- 55 vs 53
The lead changed hands 10 times in this window, most recently on Oct 19 when NXPI moved ahead of TXN.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted
Only TXN
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (6.57%)
- EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish — bullish, trend, medium horizon
- Uptrend Structure Active — bullish, trend, long horizon
0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral
Only NXPI
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (7.00%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (3.53%)
Both carry 1 more signal that do not separate them: MACD Bearish Crossover.
TXN is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +2.47%, AIQ 0 points).
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +2%, AIQ +2 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1TXN closes the Value gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge.
- 2TXN generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
TXN leads on balance| Metric | TXN | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 13.2% | 9.9% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 25.9% | -31.5% |
| Gross margin | 58.3% | 55.9% |
| Operating margin | 37.3% | 28.7% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 35.8% | 28% |
| Debt to equity | 0.78 | 0.96 |
Performance
TXN leads 5 of 6 windows| Metric | TXN | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -3.5% | 5% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | 2.3% | 0% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -5.6% | -14.8% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 19.1% | 5.8% |
| Year to date | 60.1% | 9.5% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | 58.3% | 9.3% |
Technicals
TXN has the stronger structure| Metric | TXN | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 47.8 | 50.1 |
| ADX (14) | 14.1 | 13 |
| Price vs 50-day | 4.6% | 5.3% |
| Price vs 200-day | 8.8% | -3.5% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 26.7% | 33.2% |
Risk
TXN is the more resilient| Metric | TXN | NXPI |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.43 | 1.72 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.18 | 0.37 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.14 | 0.7 |
| Max drawdown | -23.8% | -34.2% |
| Current drawdown | -16.4% | -28.6% |
| Annualized volatility | 42.6% | 49.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -3.3% | -4% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, TXN or NXPI?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, NXPI is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 61 against TXN's 57. The edge comes from value. TXN is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is TXN or NXPI the better buy right now?
NXPI carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 2 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 4 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor NXPI over TXN?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. NXPI leads Value by 31 points; TXN leads Risk Resilience by 18 points; TXN leads Quality by 11 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, TXN or NXPI?
Analyst price targets imply +16% upside for TXN and +16.7% for NXPI. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, TXN or NXPI?
NXPI is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. NXPI on the peer-relative Value factor, by 31 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, TXN or NXPI?
TXN on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, TXN or NXPI?
The two are level on Momentum. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, TXN or NXPI?
TXN is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. TXN on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is TXN more profitable than NXPI?
TXN leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 58.3% vs 55.9%; operating margin 37.3% vs 28.7%; ttm roe 35.8% vs 28%.
Is NXPI's lead over TXN getting stronger or weaker?
NXPI lead: Reversed — TXN led by 2 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; NXPI now leads by 4. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 10 times in that window, most recently on 2026-10-19, when NXPI moved ahead of TXN.
What would change the TXN vs NXPI verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: TXN closes the Value gap — currently 31 points behind, the largest single contributor to NXPI's edge; TXN generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as MACD Bullish Crossover; NXPI starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about TXN and NXPI?
TXN: 3 bullish / 1 bearish, conflicted. NXPI: 0 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on TXN is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On NXPI it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare TXN and NXPI with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.