UAL vs UBER Stock Comparison
UBER currently leads UAL in this stock comparison, with AIQ scores of 64 vs 49. The clearest difference is quality.
What is the main difference between UAL and UBER?
UBER leads the current stock comparison as Uber Technologies, Inc., with the clearest separation coming from quality and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. vs Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER leads
UBER leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Quality and Momentum, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions.
Fragile: 3 of 6 evidence groups support UBER, its lead is widening, and its current signal state is conflicted.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc.
Uber Technologies, Inc.
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors UBER over UAL, 64 versus 49 as of Oct 21, 2026. UBER's advantage is driven primarily by stronger quality and momentum. UBER also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor UBER today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. UBER lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
Compare United Airlines Holdings, Inc. and Uber Technologies, Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price return from daily closes; distributions are not included.
Price return comparison
Growth of $10,000, price only
Split-adjusted closes only. Distributions are excluded, which understates the return of any fund or stock that pays them.
Compare UAL and UBER against another ticker
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AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Quality52 vs 77UBER +25
- Momentum21 vs 44UBER +23
- Risk Resilience41 vs 59UBER +18
- Value72 vs 70Even
3 of 6 evidence groups favor UBER. UBER’s edge is concentrated in quality and momentum.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-10-20, compared against the prior scored session 2026-10-19.
Largest factor move: Momentum +1
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 5 active signals are unchanged.
Largest factor move: Momentum -1, not enough on its own to move the overall score.
No signal started or stopped since the prior session; its 4 active signals are unchanged.
UBER's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ point in the latest session.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — UAL and UBER both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
UBER (Uber Technologies, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by quality and momentum.
UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.): the counter-case, on fundamentals — but at materially higher volatility, 36.1% against 24.8%.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
UBERUBER on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value most heavily.
Growth
UALUAL on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
UBERUBER on the Momentum factor, by 23 points.
Lower downside
UBERUBER on Risk Resilience, by 18 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | UAL | UBER | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +54.9% | +54.3% | Level |
| Target dispersion | +49.5% | +72.8% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 10 | 18 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
3 of 6 covered evidence groups favor UBER. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | UBER | 49 vs 64 |
| Fundamentals | UALon balance | revenue growth 21% vs 7.5%; EPS growth 15% vs 8.1%; TTM ROE 22.5% vs 35.7%; gross margin 65.1% vs 42.3%; operating margin 7.7% vs 12.5% — UAL takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 72 vs 70 |
| Technicals | UBER | Price vs 50-day -8.1% vs -7.1%; vs 200-day -9.9% vs -6.9% |
| Risk Resilience | UBER | Risk Resilience 41 vs 59 |
| Analyst expectations | Even | Target upside 54.9% vs 54.3% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of UAL and UBER and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
- The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on UBER.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Jun 21 – Oct 20UBER lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 15 points over 30 sessions.
- Today
- UBER +15
- 49 vs 64
- 7 sessions ago
- UBER +16
- 49 vs 65
- 30 sessions ago
- UBER +2
- 59 vs 61
- 90 sessions ago
- UBER +12
- 55 vs 67
The lead changed hands 10 times in this window, most recently on Sep 23 when UBER moved ahead of UAL.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only UAL
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (1.95%)
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (4.34%)
- Keltner Channel Breakdown — bearish, volatility, short horizon
- RSI Oversold - Potential Bounce — bullish, momentum, short horizon
- MACD Bearish Crossover — bearish, momentum, short horizon
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
Only UBER
- Bollinger Band Squeeze — neutral, volatility, short horizon
- Death Cross Active — bearish, trend, long horizon (1.73%)
- Downtrend Structure Active — bearish, trend, long horizon
- MACD Bullish Crossover — bullish, momentum, short horizon
UBER leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Price and the AIQ Score both moved up over the latest session (price +3.99%, AIQ +1 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.91%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1UAL closes the Quality gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to UBER's edge.
- 2UAL's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it.
- 3UBER's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
UAL leads on balance| Metric | UAL | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 21% | 7.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 15% | 8.1% |
| Gross margin | 65.1% | 42.3% |
| Operating margin | 7.7% | 12.5% |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 22.5% | 35.7% |
| Debt to equity | 2.02 | 0.54 |
Performance
Split across windows| Metric | UAL | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -5.3% | -3.3% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -15.1% | -1.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -16.6% | -2% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | 0.7% | -10.8% |
| Year to date | -12.6% | -15.6% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -0.4% | -25.5% |
Technicals
UBER has the stronger structure| Metric | UAL | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 27.4 | 51.7 |
| ADX (14) | 23.1 | 17 |
| Price vs 50-day | -8.1% | -7.1% |
| Price vs 200-day | -9.9% | -6.9% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 36.1% | 24.8% |
Risk
UBER is the more resilient| Metric | UAL | UBER |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.2 | 0.86 |
| Sharpe ratio | 0.13 | -0.77 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.25 | -1.26 |
| Max drawdown | -29.8% | -33.9% |
| Current drawdown | -28.2% | -30.9% |
| Annualized volatility | 48.2% | 35.1% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -4.4% | -3.6% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, UAL or UBER?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, UBER is the stronger of the two as of Oct 21, 2026, scoring 64 against UAL's 49. The edge comes from quality and momentum. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is UAL or UBER the better buy right now?
UBER carries the stronger systematic profile as of Oct 21, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: only 3 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor UBER over UAL?
The composite weights Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience. UBER leads Quality by 25 points; UBER leads Momentum by 23 points; UBER leads Risk Resilience by 18 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, UAL or UBER?
Analyst price targets imply +54.9% upside for UAL and +54.3% for UBER. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, UAL or UBER?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, UAL or UBER?
UAL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, UAL or UBER?
UBER on the Momentum factor, by 23 points. Momentum is one of the four weighted factors in the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, UAL or UBER?
UBER is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. UBER on Risk Resilience, by 18 points. Risk Resilience is a weighted factor in the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is UAL more profitable than UBER?
The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 65.1% vs 42.3%; operating margin 7.7% vs 12.5%; ttm roe 22.5% vs 35.7%. UAL leads on one measure and UBER on two measures, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.
Is UBER's lead over UAL getting stronger or weaker?
UBER lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 15 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-06-21 and 2026-10-20. The lead has changed hands 10 times in that window, most recently on 2026-09-23, when UBER moved ahead of UAL.
What would change the UAL vs UBER verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: UAL closes the Quality gap — currently 25 points behind, the largest single contributor to UBER's edge; UAL's Keltner Channel Breakdown resolves — a bearish volatility rule currently active against it; UBER's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — Quality and Value carry the heaviest weights in the composite, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about UAL and UBER?
UAL: 2 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. UBER: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on UAL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On UBER it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).
Compare UAL and UBER with others
Continue your research
This page answers which of the two. These answer the questions on either side of it.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk, each carrying a fixed weight. Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.