SPY vs V Stock Comparison

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF vs Visa Inc.

Data as of Sep 2, 2026· market close· V (stock) vs SPY (ETF)· Coverage 54/66 fields· 30/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictFragileAIQ Comparison Conviction 3/10

SPY and V are effectively level

SPY and V are effectively level on the AIQ Score; the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Weakening
SPY

State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF

AIQ Score
62/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10
V

Visa Inc.

AIQ Score
62/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score does not currently separate SPY and V as of Sep 2, 2026. Both names are scored on the same 0–100 scale across Quality, Value, Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the factor table below shows where each one holds its advantage.

Compare State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF and Visa Inc. across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

SPY advantage
0
V advantage
  • Momentum25%47 vs 73
    V +26
  • Risk Resilience15%89 vs 63
    SPY +26
  • Value30%39 vs 25
    SPY +14
  • Quality30%84 vs 90
    V +6

Neither name separates cleanly on the covered dimensions.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.

SPY-2 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -8

No new signals fired.

V-1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum -5

No new signals fired.

SPY's lead narrowed by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — SPY and V both carry a full feed there.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

Even

Neither separates on the overall score.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

SPY

SPY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points.

Momentum

V

V on the Momentum factor, by 26 points.

Lower downside

SPY

SPY on Risk Resilience, by 26 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureSPYVNote
Implied upside to target+7.9%Level
Target dispersion+26.9%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering17Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

How each independent group of evidence reads the pair.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreEven62 vs 62
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationSPYValue 39 vs 25
TechnicalsVPrice vs 50-day 1.4% vs 5.2%; vs 200-day 7.2% vs 11.8%
Risk ResilienceSPYRisk Resilience 89 vs 63
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

AIQ Decision Stability

Fragile

The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.

  • The AIQ gap is narrow at 0 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's advantage has been narrowing. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 Sep 1

SPY lead: Weakening — the AIQ differential moved from 11 to 0 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 20SPY leads above the line · V leads belowSep 1
Today
Level
62 vs 62
7 sessions ago
Level
64 vs 64
30 sessions ago
SPY +11
71 vs 60
90 sessions ago
V +6
57 vs 63

The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 1 when SPY moved ahead of V.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

SPYConflicted

4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (6.20%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity bullish, risk, long horizon (1.9%)
V

5 bullish / 0 bearish

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (8.10%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • 52-Week High Proximity bullish, risk, long horizon (1.3%)

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

SPYDivergence

Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 2 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +0.45%, AIQ -2 points).

VDivergence

Price is up while the AIQ Score moved down 1 points over the same session — price and model disagree (price +1.69%, AIQ -1 points).

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricSPYV
Revenue growth (YoY)3.6%
EPS growth (YoY)-5.7%
Gross margin80.2%
Operating margin60.7%
Return on equity61.3%
Debt to equity0.68

Technicals

V has the stronger structure
MetricSPYV
RSI (14)38.462.4
ADX (14)14.224.1
Price vs 50-day1.4%5.2%
Price vs 200-day7.2%11.8%
Volatility (1M, annualized)7.2%20%

Risk

SPY is the more resilient
MetricSPYV
Beta10.3
Sharpe ratio1.060.19
Sortino ratio1.510.32
Max drawdown-9.1%-17.4%
Current drawdown-2.1%-3%
Annualized volatility12.8%22.2%
Value at risk (95%)-1.4%-1.8%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which has more analyst upside, SPY or V?

Analyst price targets imply not covered upside for SPY and +7.9% for V. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, SPY or V?

SPY is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. SPY on the peer-relative Value factor, by 14 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, SPY or V?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, SPY or V?

V on the Momentum factor, by 26 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, SPY or V?

SPY is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. SPY on Risk Resilience, by 26 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is SPY more profitable than V?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

What do the current signals say about SPY and V?

SPY: 4 bullish / 1 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. V: 5 bullish / 0 bearish. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on SPY is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On V it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare SPY and V with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.