INTC vs VGIT Stock Comparison

Intel Corp. vs Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Data as of Sep 5, 2026· market close· INTC (stock) vs VGIT (ETF)· Coverage 54/66 fields· 30/42 directly comparable· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictCompetitiveAIQ Comparison Conviction 8/10

VGIT leads

VGIT leads by 19 AIQ points, primarily on Risk Resilience and Quality.

Competitive: 3 of 4 evidence groups support VGIT.

Evidence agreement: 3 of 4Comparison trend: Stable
INTC

Intel Corp.

AIQ Score
33/100
AIQ Edge Score
1/10
VGIT

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Leads
AIQ Score
52/100
AIQ Edge Score
5/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors VGIT over INTC, 52 versus 33 as of Sep 5, 2026. VGIT's advantage is driven primarily by stronger risk resilience and quality, while INTC holds the stronger momentum profile. VGIT also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor VGIT today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. VGIT lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 19 points over 30 sessions.

Compare Intel Corp. and Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

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AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

INTC advantage
0
VGIT advantage
  • Risk Resilience15%30 vs 88
    VGIT +58
  • Quality30%39 vs 69
    VGIT +30
  • Value30%30 vs 36
    VGIT +6
  • Momentum25%33 vs 29
    INTC +4

3 of 4 evidence groups favor VGIT. VGIT’s edge is concentrated in risk resilience and quality; INTC keeps a meaningful momentum edge.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-03, compared against the prior scored session 2026-09-02.

INTC0 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +1

New signals

  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon
VGIT+1 AIQ

Largest factor move: Momentum +4

No new signals fired.

VGIT's lead widened by 1 AIQ points in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — INTC and VGIT both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

VGIT (Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by risk resilience and quality.

INTC (Intel Corp.): the counter-case, on momentum, technicals — but at materially higher volatility, 45.1% against 3.7%.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

VGIT

VGIT on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

Even

Growth figures are not covered for both names.

Value

VGIT

VGIT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points.

Momentum

INTC

INTC on the Momentum factor, by 4 points.

Lower downside

VGIT

VGIT on Risk Resilience, by 58 points.

Analyst upside

Even

Analyst targets are level or not covered for both names.

AIQ vs Wall Street

Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.

MeasureINTCVGITNote
Implied upside to target+7.6%Level
Target dispersion+135.8%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusHoldContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering27Higher coverage generally improves confidence

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

3 of 4 covered evidence groups favor VGIT. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreVGIT33 vs 52
FundamentalsNot coveredNot covered
ValuationVGITValue 30 vs 36
TechnicalsINTCPrice vs 50-day -5.5% vs -0.9%; vs 200-day 24.1% vs -2.3%
Risk ResilienceVGITRisk Resilience 30 vs 88
Analyst expectationsNot coveredNot covered

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of INTC and VGIT and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Competitive

The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 19 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • Signal direction runs against the verdict: the leader is net-bearish while the laggard is net-bullish. (argues the conclusion is provisional)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on VGIT.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 22 Sep 3

VGIT lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 19 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 22INTC leads above the line · VGIT leads belowSep 3
Today
VGIT +19
33 vs 52
7 sessions ago
VGIT +21
34 vs 55
30 sessions ago
VGIT +18
38 vs 56
90 sessions ago
VGIT +12
45 vs 57

The lead has not changed hands in this window.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

INTC

2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (37.24%)
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.65%)
  • MACD Bullish Crossover bullish, momentum, short horizon
VGIT

0 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral

  • Death Cross Active bearish, trend, long horizon (1.47%)
  • Keltner Channel Breakdown bearish, volatility, short horizon
  • 52-Week Low Proximity bearish, risk, long horizon (0.2%)

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

INTCNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +4.51%, AIQ 0 points).

VGITNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.07%, AIQ +1 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1INTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 58 points behind, the largest single contributor to VGIT's edge.
  2. 2INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend.
  3. 3VGIT starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

Split
MetricINTCVGIT
Revenue growth (YoY)18.8%
EPS growth (YoY)-195.9%
Gross margin38.9%
Operating margin0.1%
Return on equity (TTM)-10.8%
Debt to equity0.58

Technicals

INTC has the stronger structure
MetricINTCVGIT
RSI (14)30.635
ADX (14)15.113.4
Price vs 50-day-5.5%-0.9%
Price vs 200-day24.1%-2.3%
Volatility (1M, annualized)45.1%3.7%

Risk

VGIT is the more resilient
MetricINTCVGIT
Beta2.930.06
Sharpe ratio2.04-2.04
Sortino ratio3.79-2.98
Max drawdown-41.9%-4.7%
Current drawdown-35%-4.5%
Annualized volatility79.1%3.5%
Value at risk (95%)-6.2%-0.4%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, INTC or VGIT?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, VGIT is the stronger of the two as of Sep 5, 2026, scoring 52 against INTC's 33. The edge comes from risk resilience and quality. INTC is not without a case — it holds the better momentum profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is INTC or VGIT the better buy right now?

VGIT carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 5, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 3 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.

Why does the AIQ Score favor VGIT over INTC?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. VGIT leads Risk Resilience by 58 points; VGIT leads Quality by 30 points; VGIT leads Value by 6 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.

Which has more analyst upside, INTC or VGIT?

Analyst price targets imply +7.6% upside for INTC and not covered for VGIT. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, INTC or VGIT?

VGIT is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. VGIT on the peer-relative Value factor, by 6 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, INTC or VGIT?

Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, INTC or VGIT?

INTC on the Momentum factor, by 4 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, INTC or VGIT?

VGIT is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. VGIT on Risk Resilience, by 58 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is INTC more profitable than VGIT?

Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.

Is VGIT's lead over INTC getting stronger or weaker?

VGIT lead: Stable — the AIQ differential has held near 19 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-22 and 2026-09-03. The lead has not changed hands in that window.

What would change the INTC vs VGIT verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: INTC closes the Risk Resilience gap — currently 58 points behind, the largest single contributor to VGIT's edge; INTC's ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode turns directional — it is neutral today and would confirm a change in trend; VGIT starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about INTC and VGIT?

INTC: 2 bullish / 0 bearish / 1 neutral. VGIT: 0 bullish / 5 bearish / 1 neutral. The most decision-relevant rule on INTC is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On VGIT it is Death Cross Active (bearish, long horizon).

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.