VMC vs XLK Stock Comparison
Compare VMC and XLK across AIQ Score, fundamentals, valuation, momentum, risk, analyst expectations and current market evidence.
What is the main difference between VMC and XLK?
XLK leads the current stock comparison as State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF, with the clearest separation coming from momentum and the broader AIQ evidence mix.
AlgovestIQ AIQ Comparison
Vulcan Materials Company vs State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
XLK leads
XLK leads by 15 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Quality.
Competitive: 2 of 4 evidence groups support XLK.
Vulcan Materials Company
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors XLK over VMC, 56 versus 41 as of Sep 6, 2026. XLK's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and quality, while VMC holds the stronger risk resilience profile. XLK also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average. 2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK today, and the comparison is rated Competitive on stability: only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree.
Compare Vulcan Materials Company and State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
Performance over time
Price-return comparison using available daily close history.
Total return comparison
Growth of $10,000
Based on available close-price history. Distribution reinvestment is not added unless already reflected in the source series.
Compare VMC and XLK against another ticker
Open a multi-ticker workspace without changing this focused pair page.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%25 vs 57XLK +32
- Quality30%47 vs 74XLK +27
- Risk Resilience15%65 vs 61VMC +4
- Value30%35 vs 36Even
2 of 4 evidence groups favor XLK. XLK’s edge is concentrated in momentum and quality; VMC keeps a meaningful risk resilience edge.
The central trade-off
XLK (State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and quality.
VMC (Vulcan Materials Company): the counter-case, on risk resilience.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
XLKXLK on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
EvenGrowth figures are not covered for both names.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
XLKXLK on the Momentum factor, by 32 points.
Lower downside
VMCVMC on Risk Resilience, by 4 points.
Analyst upside
EvenAnalyst targets are level or not covered for both names.
AIQ vs Wall Street
Where the systematic read and the analyst consensus line up — and where they do not.
| Measure | VMC | XLK | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +21.3% | — | Level |
| Target dispersion | +20.7% | — | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | — | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 8 | — | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
2 of 4 covered evidence groups favor XLK. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | XLK | 41 vs 56 |
| Fundamentals | Not covered | Not covered |
| Valuation | Even | Value 35 vs 36 |
| Technicals | XLK | Price vs 50-day -7% vs 2.6%; vs 200-day -8.9% vs 16.8% |
| Risk Resilience | VMC | Risk Resilience 65 vs 61 |
| Analyst expectations | Not covered | Not covered |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of VMC and XLK and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
- The AIQ gap is wide at 15 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
- Only 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on XLK.
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1VMC closes the Momentum gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge.
- 2VMC generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover.
- 3XLK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
Split| Metric | VMC | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 22.8% | — |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 95.3% | — |
| Gross margin | 27.4% | — |
| Operating margin | 19.9% | — |
| Return on equity (TTM) | 13.1% | — |
| Debt to equity | 0.58 | — |
Performance
XLK leads 6 of 6 windows| Metric | VMC | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| 1 week (5 sessions) | -4.3% | 0.9% |
| 1 month (20 sessions) | -7.7% | -0.4% |
| 3 months (63 sessions) | -6.7% | 3.9% |
| 6 months (126 sessions) | -4.5% | 36.4% |
| Year to date | -7.9% | 30.1% |
| 1 year (252 sessions) | -8.8% | 43.3% |
Technicals
XLK has the stronger structure| Metric | VMC | XLK |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 34.6 | 44.9 |
| ADX (14) | 12.2 | 11.1 |
| Price vs 50-day | -7% | 2.6% |
| Price vs 200-day | -8.9% | 16.8% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 25.5% | 20.9% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, VMC or XLK?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, XLK is the stronger of the two as of Sep 6, 2026, scoring 56 against VMC's 41. The edge comes from momentum and quality. VMC is not without a case — it holds the better risk resilience profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is VMC or XLK the better buy right now?
XLK carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 6, 2026, and the comparison is rated Competitive — 2 of 4 covered evidence groups agree. A Competitive rating means the two are close enough that your objective, not the score, should decide.
Why does the AIQ Score favor XLK over VMC?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. XLK leads Momentum by 32 points; XLK leads Quality by 27 points; VMC leads Risk Resilience by 4 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, VMC or XLK?
Analyst price targets imply +21.3% upside for VMC and not covered for XLK. The model and the Street agree here, which is a broader base of evidence than either alone. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, VMC or XLK?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, VMC or XLK?
Growth figures are not covered for both names. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, VMC or XLK?
XLK on the Momentum factor, by 32 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, VMC or XLK?
VMC is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. VMC on Risk Resilience, by 4 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is VMC more profitable than XLK?
Margin data is not comparable for both names in the current snapshot.
What would change the VMC vs XLK verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: VMC closes the Momentum gap — currently 32 points behind, the largest single contributor to XLK's edge; VMC generates a confirmed bullish trend signal it does not currently carry, such as Golden Cross Active or MACD Bullish Crossover; XLK starts generating bearish momentum or trend signals; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.