AAPL vs ARM Stock Comparison

Apple Inc. vs Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

Data as of Sep 2, 2026· market close· Technology· Coverage 54/66 fields· Moderate confidence
AIQ VerdictStableAIQ Comparison Conviction 9/10

AAPL leads

AAPL leads by 23 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum and Risk Resilience, and the lead has widened from 2 points over 30 sessions. Wall Street currently favors ARM on target upside.

Stable: 5 of 6 evidence groups support AAPL, its lead is widening, and its signal state is cleanly positive.

Evidence agreement: 5 of 6Comparison trend: Strengthening
AAPL

Apple Inc.

Leads
AIQ Score
66/100
AIQ Edge Score
9/10
ARM

Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares

AIQ Score
43/100
AIQ Edge Score
3/10

The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AAPL over ARM, 66 versus 43 as of Sep 2, 2026. AAPL's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum and risk resilience. AAPL also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ARM. 5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL today, and the comparison is rated Stable on stability: the lead has swung materially session to session. AAPL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 23 points over 30 sessions. AAPL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so a sweep is not explained by valuation alone — it deserves additional scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, expectations or event risk.

Compare Apple Inc. and Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.

AIQ Factor Divergence

Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.

AAPL advantage
0
ARM advantage
  • Momentum25%78 vs 35
    AAPL +43
  • Risk Resilience15%66 vs 39
    AAPL +27
  • Value30%41 vs 24
    AAPL +17
  • Quality30%80 vs 72
    AAPL +8

5 of 6 evidence groups favor AAPL. AAPL’s edge is concentrated in momentum and risk resilience.

What changed since the last close

Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.

AAPL0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

ARM0 AIQ

No factor moved materially.

No new signals fired.

AAPL's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.

Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AAPL and ARM both carry a full feed there.

The central trade-off

AAPL (Apple Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum and risk resilience.

ARM (Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares): the counter-case, on analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 80.6% against 18%.

The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.

Which one fits your objective

The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.

Balanced

AAPL

AAPL on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.

Growth

AAPL

AAPL on combined revenue and EPS growth.

Value

AAPL

AAPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points.

Momentum

AAPL

AAPL on the Momentum factor, by 43 points.

Lower downside

AAPL

AAPL on Risk Resilience, by 27 points.

Analyst upside

ARM

ARM on implied upside to the consensus price target.

AIQ vs Wall Street

The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AAPL, analyst targets favor ARM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.

MeasureAAPLARMNote
Implied upside to target+0.8%+54.7%ARM has more room
Target dispersion+47.2%+119.4%Lower is tighter analyst agreement
ConsensusBuyBuyContext, not a primary driver
Analysts covering1812Higher coverage generally improves confidence

The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.

Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

AIQ Agreement Matrix

5 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AAPL. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.

Evidence groupFavorsReading
AIQ ScoreAAPL66 vs 43
FundamentalsAAPLon balancerevenue growth -1.6% vs -13.5%; ROE 137.2% vs 13%; gross margin 48.7% vs 95.3%; operating margin 33.2% vs 17.3% — AAPL takes 3 of 4 decided legs, not all of them
ValuationAAPLValue 41 vs 24
TechnicalsAAPLPrice vs 50-day 4.3% vs -17.8%; vs 200-day 12% vs 21.1%
Risk ResilienceAAPLRisk Resilience 66 vs 39
Analyst expectationsARMTarget upside 0.8% vs 54.7%

✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AAPL and ARM and are excluded from the count.

AIQ Decision Stability

Stable

The conclusion rests on a wide gap and broad agreement. It is unlikely to turn on a single session.

  • The AIQ gap is wide at 23 points. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • 5 of 6 covered evidence groups point the same way. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The leader's advantage has been widening. (supports the conclusion holding)
  • The lead has swung materially session to session. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
  • The leader's signal state is cleanly positive. (supports the conclusion holding)

Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AAPL.

How the comparison changed

120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 Sep 1

AAPL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 23 points over 30 sessions.

Apr 20AAPL leads above the line · ARM leads belowSep 1
Today
AAPL +23
66 vs 43
7 sessions ago
AAPL +17
61 vs 44
30 sessions ago
AAPL +2
51 vs 49
90 sessions ago
AAPL +5
51 vs 46

The lead changed hands 2 times in this window, most recently on Aug 18 when AAPL moved ahead of ARM.

AIQ Signal Divergence

Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.

AAPL

4 bullish / 0 bearish

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (10.45%)
  • EMA Ribbon Expansion Bullish bullish, trend, medium horizon
  • Uptrend Structure Active bullish, trend, long horizon
ARMConflicted

1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted

  • Golden Cross Active bullish, trend, long horizon (42.10%)
  • Beta Spike Warning bearish, risk, long horizon
  • ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode neutral, volatility, short horizon (7.37%)

ARM is conflicted, so the timing case there is weaker than the score alone suggests.

Price vs model alignment

Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.

AAPLNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price +0.21%, AIQ 0 points).

ARMNo material change

Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.62%, AIQ 0 points).

What would flip this result

A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.

  1. 1ARM closes the Momentum gap — currently 43 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge.
  2. 2ARM's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it.
  3. 3AAPL's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict.
  4. 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

The full evidence

Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.

Fundamentals

AAPL leads on balance
MetricAAPLARM
Revenue growth (YoY)-1.6%-13.5%
EPS growth (YoY)1%-13.8%
Gross margin48.7%95.3%
Operating margin33.2%17.3%
Return on equity137.2%13%
Debt to equity0.780.05

Technicals

AAPL has the stronger structure
MetricAAPLARM
RSI (14)65.134.9
ADX (14)13.310.7
Price vs 50-day4.3%-17.8%
Price vs 200-day12%21.1%
Volatility (1M, annualized)18%80.6%

Risk

AAPL is the more resilient
MetricAAPLARM
Beta0.73.3
Sharpe ratio1.211.02
Sortino ratio1.651.87
Max drawdown-13.8%-48.8%
Current drawdown-6.8%-45%
Annualized volatility25.1%76.2%
Value at risk (95%)-2%-6.8%

Straight answers

Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.

Which is better, AAPL or ARM?

On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AAPL is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 66 against ARM's 43. The edge comes from momentum and risk resilience. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.

Is AAPL or ARM the better buy right now?

AAPL carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Stable — 5 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Stable rating means the gap is wide and the evidence is broad, so the conclusion is unlikely to turn on a single session.

Why does the AIQ Score favor AAPL over ARM?

The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. AAPL leads Momentum by 43 points; AAPL leads Risk Resilience by 27 points; AAPL leads Value by 17 points. AAPL leads on all four AIQ factor dimensions. Value is itself one of those four, so the sweep is not explained by ARM simply being cheaper — it warrants extra scrutiny for unmodeled catalysts, forward expectations or event risk the factors do not capture.

Which has more analyst upside, AAPL or ARM?

Analyst price targets imply +0.8% upside for AAPL and +54.7% for ARM, so the Street currently favors ARM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AAPL. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.

Which is better value, AAPL or ARM?

AAPL is the better-valued of the two on the peer-relative Value factor. AAPL on the peer-relative Value factor, by 17 points. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.

Which has stronger growth, AAPL or ARM?

AAPL on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.

Which has stronger momentum, AAPL or ARM?

AAPL on the Momentum factor, by 43 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.

Which is riskier, AAPL or ARM?

AAPL is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AAPL on Risk Resilience, by 27 points. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.

Is AAPL more profitable than ARM?

The profitability evidence is mixed: gross margin 48.7% vs 95.3%; operating margin 33.2% vs 17.3%; roe 137.2% vs 13%. AAPL leads on two measures and ARM on one measure, and there is no single profitability composite that resolves the split — which of the two reads as "more profitable" depends on whether you weight pricing power or operating leverage.

Is AAPL's lead over ARM getting stronger or weaker?

AAPL lead: Strengthening — the AIQ differential moved from 2 to 23 points over 30 sessions. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 2 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-18, when AAPL moved ahead of ARM.

What would change the AAPL vs ARM verdict?

The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ARM closes the Momentum gap — currently 43 points behind, the largest single contributor to AAPL's edge; ARM's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it; AAPL's Golden Cross Active breaks down — it is the strongest rule currently supporting the verdict; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.

What do the current signals say about AAPL and ARM?

AAPL: 4 bullish / 0 bearish. ARM: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AAPL is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ARM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).

Compare AAPL and ARM with others

How this comparison is scored

The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.

The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.

How to use side-by-side comparison →

This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.