AMD vs ARM Stock Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. vs Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
AMD leads
AMD leads by 1 AIQ points, primarily on Momentum, having only recently taken the lead back from ARM. Wall Street currently favors ARM on target upside.
Fragile: 1 of 6 evidence groups support AMD, the lead recently changed hands, and its current signal state is conflicted.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares
The Algovestiq AIQ Score currently favors AMD over ARM, 44 versus 43 as of Sep 2, 2026. AMD's advantage is driven primarily by stronger momentum, while ARM holds the stronger quality profile. AMD also shows the stronger technical structure relative to its 50-day moving average, though analyst target upside currently favors ARM. 1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMD today, and the comparison is rated Fragile on stability: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. AMD lead: Reversed — ARM led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AMD now leads by 1.
Compare Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. and Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares across the Algovestiq AIQ Score, valuation, quality, momentum, risk, technicals and analyst expectations.
AIQ Factor Divergence
Where the two separate, on the four dimensions behind the AIQ Score. Bars read outward from a shared zero: further from the centre is a wider gap.
- Momentum25%47 vs 35AMD +12
- Quality30%63 vs 72ARM +9
- Value30%24 vs 24Even
- Risk Resilience15%39 vs 39Even
1 of 6 evidence groups favor AMD. AMD’s edge is concentrated in momentum; ARM keeps a meaningful quality edge.
What changed since the last close
Latest scored session 2026-09-01, compared against the prior scored session 2026-08-31.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
No factor moved materially.
No new signals fired.
AMD's lead was unchanged in the latest snapshot.
Deeper signal detail for each name lives on its own signals page — AMD and ARM both carry a full feed there.
The central trade-off
AMD (Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.): the stronger current systematic profile, led by momentum.
ARM (Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares): the counter-case, on quality, fundamentals, analyst expectations — but at materially higher volatility, 80.6% against 56%.
The AIQ Score and Wall Street therefore point in different directions on this pair.
Which one fits your objective
The same two names rank differently depending on what you are optimizing for. All six reads are shown at once — none of them is hidden behind a toggle.
Balanced
AMDAMD on the overall AIQ Score, which weights Quality and Value at 30% each.
Growth
AMDAMD on combined revenue and EPS growth.
Value
EvenThe two are level on Value.
Momentum
AMDAMD on the Momentum factor, by 12 points.
Lower downside
AMDAMD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility.
Analyst upside
ARMARM on implied upside to the consensus price target.
AIQ vs Wall Street
The model and the Street disagree here: AIQ favors AMD, analyst targets favor ARM. That disagreement is the most useful thing on this page.
| Measure | AMD | ARM | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied upside to target | +21.8% | +56% | ARM has more room |
| Target dispersion | +177.7% | +119.4% | Lower is tighter analyst agreement |
| Consensus | Buy | Buy | Context, not a primary driver |
| Analysts covering | 27 | 12 | Higher coverage generally improves confidence |
The two are measuring different things. The AIQ Score reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; analyst targets price forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something already priced in — it is worth resolving before acting on either.
Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions. Dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
AIQ Agreement Matrix
1 of 6 covered evidence groups favor AMD. A wide gap backed by one group is a weaker case than a narrow gap backed by five.
| Evidence group | Favors | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| AIQ Score | Even | 44 vs 43 |
| Fundamentals | ARMon balance | revenue growth 12.5% vs -13.5%; EPS growth 64.7% vs -13.8%; ROE 10.1% vs 13%; gross margin 53.2% vs 95.3%; operating margin 15.7% vs 17.3% — ARM takes 3 of 5 decided legs, not all of them |
| Valuation | Even | Value 24 vs 24 |
| Technicals | AMD | Price vs 50-day -9.4% vs -18.5%; vs 200-day 39.8% vs 21.1% |
| Risk Resilience | Even | Risk Resilience 39 vs 39 |
| Analyst expectations | ARM | Target upside 21.8% vs 56% |
✓ agrees with the overall verdict · ✕ points the other way. Groups marked “not covered” lack data on one or both of AMD and ARM and are excluded from the count.
AIQ Decision Stability
The conclusion is sensitive to small changes. Treat the lead as provisional and watch the flip conditions below.
- The AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Only 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The lead has already changed hands inside the comparison window. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- The leader is throwing conflicting signals. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
- Analyst targets on the leader are widely dispersed. (argues the conclusion is provisional)
Stability combines the score gap, how broadly the evidence agrees, how steady the lead has been across daily snapshots, the current signal state on both names, and analyst dispersion on AMD.
How the comparison changed
120 daily snapshots · Apr 20 – Sep 1AMD lead: Reversed — ARM led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AMD now leads by 1.
- Today
- AMD +1
- 44 vs 43
- 7 sessions ago
- Level
- 44 vs 44
- 30 sessions ago
- ARM +10
- 39 vs 49
- 90 sessions ago
- Level
- 46 vs 46
The lead changed hands 3 times in this window, most recently on Aug 25 when AMD moved ahead of ARM.
AIQ Signal Divergence
Only the signals that bear on the head-to-head. A conflicted name is carrying bullish and bearish rules at the same time — the technical evidence is not pointing one way.
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (49.90%)
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (5.13%)
1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted
- Golden Cross Active — bullish, trend, long horizon (42.10%)
- Beta Spike Warning — bearish, risk, long horizon
- ATR Expansion - Breakout Mode — neutral, volatility, short horizon (7.37%)
AMD leads the comparison while carrying a conflicted signal state, which is one reason the stability rating is not higher.
Price vs model alignment
Whether the latest session's price move confirms what the model did over the same session, or contradicts it.
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -0.46%, AIQ 0 points).
Neither the price nor the AIQ Score moved enough in the latest session to confirm or contradict the other (price -1.44%, AIQ 0 points).
What would flip this result
A state, not a forecast. These are the specific, observable changes that would reverse the verdict — not a price prediction.
- 1ARM closes the Momentum gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMD's edge.
- 2ARM's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it.
- 3AMD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once.
- 4A regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
The full evidence
Every number behind the verdict. The leader is called above each group so you are not left to solve it from the table.
Fundamentals
ARM leads on balance| Metric | AMD | ARM |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.5% | -13.5% |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 64.7% | -13.8% |
| Gross margin | 53.2% | 95.3% |
| Operating margin | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| Return on equity | 10.1% | 13% |
| Debt to equity | 0.06 | 0.05 |
Technicals
AMD has the stronger structure| Metric | AMD | ARM |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.8 | 34.9 |
| ADX (14) | 9.2 | 10.7 |
| Price vs 50-day | -9.4% | -18.5% |
| Price vs 200-day | 39.8% | 21.1% |
| Volatility (1M, annualized) | 56% | 80.6% |
Risk
Split| Metric | AMD | ARM |
|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.17 | 3.3 |
| Sharpe ratio | 1.73 | 1.02 |
| Sortino ratio | 3.02 | 1.87 |
| Max drawdown | -27.8% | -48.8% |
| Current drawdown | -19% | -45% |
| Annualized volatility | 71.8% | 76.2% |
| Value at risk (95%) | -5.9% | -6.8% |
Straight answers
Each answer is regenerated from the current snapshot, not written once and left to age.
Which is better, AMD or ARM?
On the Algovestiq AIQ Score, AMD is the stronger of the two as of Sep 2, 2026, scoring 44 against ARM's 43. The edge comes from momentum. ARM is not without a case — it holds the better quality profile, which matters more if that is the objective you are optimizing for. This is a systematic score, not a recommendation: it ranks the two on the same evidence, it does not know your holding period or tax position.
Is AMD or ARM the better buy right now?
AMD carries the stronger systematic profile as of Sep 2, 2026, and the comparison is rated Fragile — 1 of 6 covered evidence groups agree. A Fragile rating means the conclusion is sensitive: the AIQ gap is narrow at 1 points. Treat the lead as provisional.
Why does the AIQ Score favor AMD over ARM?
The composite weights Quality at 30%, Value at 30%, Momentum at 25% and Risk Resilience at 15%. AMD leads Momentum by 12 points; ARM leads Quality by 9 points. Where the two split, the factor with the larger weight carries the result.
Which has more analyst upside, AMD or ARM?
Analyst price targets imply +21.8% upside for AMD and +56% for ARM, so the Street currently favors ARM. That points the opposite way to the AIQ Score, which favors AMD. The two are measuring different things: the model reads current fundamentals, valuation, trend and risk; the Street is pricing forward expectations. A divergence of this kind is either a contrarian opportunity or a sign the model is missing something the analysts have already priced — it is the single most useful row on this page to investigate. Analyst targets are expectations, not predictions, and dispersion matters as much as the midpoint.
Which is better value, AMD or ARM?
Neither name separates on the peer-relative Value factor. The two are level on Value. The Value factor reads valuation relative to sector peers and to the company's own fundamental quality, so it is not the same as simply having the lower multiple.
Which has stronger growth, AMD or ARM?
AMD on combined revenue and EPS growth. Growth here is measured on reported revenue and earnings, not on forward estimates — it describes what the businesses have delivered, not what the Street expects next.
Which has stronger momentum, AMD or ARM?
AMD on the Momentum factor, by 12 points. Momentum carries 25% of the AIQ composite. It has documented persistence over three- to twelve-month horizons, which makes it a timing input rather than a reason to hold something indefinitely.
Which is riskier, AMD or ARM?
AMD is the more resilient of the two, so the other name carries the higher downside risk. AMD carries the lower 1-month annualized volatility. The Risk Resilience factor weights 15% of the composite; position sizing usually responds to it more usefully than the buy/avoid decision does.
Is AMD more profitable than ARM?
ARM leads on the comparable margin measures — gross margin 53.2% vs 95.3%; operating margin 15.7% vs 17.3%; roe 10.1% vs 13%.
Is AMD's lead over ARM getting stronger or weaker?
AMD lead: Reversed — ARM led by 10 AIQ points 30 sessions ago; AMD now leads by 1. This is measured from 120 daily comparison snapshots between 2026-04-20 and 2026-09-01. The lead has changed hands 3 times in that window, most recently on 2026-08-25, when AMD moved ahead of ARM.
What would change the AMD vs ARM verdict?
The result is a state, not a forecast, so it changes when the underlying evidence changes. Concretely: ARM closes the Momentum gap — currently 12 points behind, the largest single contributor to AMD's edge; ARM's Beta Spike Warning resolves — a bearish risk rule currently active against it; AMD's conflicting signal state resolves bearish — it currently carries 1 bullish and 2 bearish rules at once; a regime shift changes factor weighting — the composite weights Quality and Value at 30% each, so a rotation toward either would move the result most.
What do the current signals say about AMD and ARM?
AMD: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. ARM: 1 bullish / 2 bearish / 1 neutral, conflicted. A conflicted state means bullish and bearish rules are active on the same name at once — the technical evidence is not pointing one way, and a decision taken on it carries more timing risk. The most decision-relevant rule on AMD is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon). On ARM it is Golden Cross Active (bullish, long horizon).
Compare AMD and ARM with others
How this comparison is scored
The Algovestiq AIQ Score composites four factors — Quality (30%), Value (30%), Momentum (25%) and Risk (15%). Sentiment is reported separately as SentimentPulse and is not folded into the composite. Scores refresh every trading day, and this page regenerates from the latest snapshot rather than being written once.
The verdict names a leader, states how broadly six independent evidence groups agree, and rates how durable that conclusion is given the score gap, its recent trajectory and the current signal state on both names.
How to use side-by-side comparison →This comparison is informational and educational, not investment advice. AIQ scores update daily; re-check after earnings, guidance or macro data that materially changes either name’s factor profile.